FinalWin Prob.pScore
2725%89
94
975%98
107
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
106.88899.5
MIA logo MIA
118.99081.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0NYKCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)94
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAFitch Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0NYKMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0NYKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13NYKCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33NYKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Fitch 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53NYKLee Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11NYKCrawford Layup (7 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39NYKRobinson Driving Dunk (16 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45NYKLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12NYKAriza Reverse Layup (6 PTS)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56NYKLee Tip Shot (2 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57NYKLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59NYKMISS Frye 16' Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39NYKFrye 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47NYKAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MIAMISS Walker 10' Hook Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01NYKMISS Lee 6' Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45NYKRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54NYKLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15NYKMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15NYKMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21NYKCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40NYKMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAPosey Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07NYKLee Foul Turnover (P1.T12)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIAWalker Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38NYKMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47NYKWade STEAL (3 STL)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24NYKMarbury 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS)67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04NYKCrawford 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marbury 6 AST)67
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWade Driving Layup (31 PTS)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:46NYKCrawford Foul Turnover (P1.T10)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:58NYKCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:00NYKWade BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:07NYKCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 10:37NYKButler 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:54NYKKnicks Rebound63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 4' Turnaround Jump Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17NYKTaylor Foul Turnover (P3.T9)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 11:21NYKCrawford Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)63
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 11:31MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 11:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Doleac 8' Hook Shot62
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 11:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup62
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot62
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0NYKAriza Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)62
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)60
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0NYKButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)60
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:09NYKRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot58
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:25NYKTaylor Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)58
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:41MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 1:41MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 1:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:53NYKMISS Marbury 31' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:18NYKTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50NYKRobinson 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 3:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 3:16NYKMourning BLOCK (9 BLK)53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 3:32MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)53
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 3:52NYKMourning BLOCK (8 BLK)53
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 3:58NYKFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Williams Layup53
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 4:03NYKPosey STEAL (2 STL)53
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)53
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 4:34NYKFrye 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 4:45NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot51
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 4:57NYKMourning STEAL (1 STL)51
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 5:10NYKMarbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 5:37NYKDavis Dunk (2 PTS) (Marbury 5 AST)51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 6:00MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T7)49
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 6:15MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 6:16NYKMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot49
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 6:34MIAPosey Running Dunk (11 PTS)49
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 6:37NYKPosey STEAL (1 STL)49
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q3 - 6:48NYKFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot49
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 7:12NYKMarbury 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)47
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q3 - 7:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 7:37NYKMourning BLOCK (7 BLK)47
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 7:56MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T6)47
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 8:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 8:11NYKMISS Robinson 20' Jump Shot47
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)47
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)47
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 8:45MIAHEAT Rebound47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 8:45NYKMourning BLOCK (6 BLK)47
1.1%
69
98.9%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 9:21NYKMarbury Driving Layup (11 PTS)47
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 9:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 9:48NYKMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)45
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 9:49NYKMarbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 9:52NYKMISS Marbury Driving Layup45
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 9:58NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot45
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 10:28NYKRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)45
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 10:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)42
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 10:59NYKRobinson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)42
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 11:16NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 11:39NYKMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)39
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NYK39
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NYKKnicks Rebound39
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NYKWade BLOCK (1 BLK)39
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)39
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)39
1.0%
64
99.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0NYKRobinson Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)39
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)37
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 1:00MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
1.1%
61
98.9%
Q2 - 1:02NYKMISS Frye 19' Jump Shot37
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWilliams Driving Layup (16 PTS)37
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAHEAT Rebound37
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q2 - 1:34NYKMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot37
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q2 - 1:55MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)37
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
2.2%
57
97.8%
Q2 - 2:11NYKMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 137
2.2%
57
97.8%
Q2 - 2:23NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot35
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
1.7%
57
98.3%
Q2 - 2:34NYKMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot35
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade Driving Dunk (19 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)35
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q2 - 2:58NYKMISS Marbury 7' Jump Shot35
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)35
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 3:39NYKFrye 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST)35
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)33
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 4:17NYKMarbury 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 4:37MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)31
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q2 - 4:58NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)31
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWade Driving Dunk (17 PTS)28
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 5:19NYKWade STEAL (2 STL)28
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)28
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 228
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 5:34NYKWade STEAL (1 STL)28
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot28
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 6:07NYKRichardson Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)28
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 6:17NYKDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade 10' Fadeaway Jumper26
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 6:35NYKTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)26
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAWade Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)26
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 6:54MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q2 - 6:56NYKMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)26
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 7:20MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
6.8%
39
93.2%
Q2 - 7:38NYKCrawford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)26
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 7:56MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)24
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q2 - 8:16NYKRobinson 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)24
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q2 - 8:37MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)22
8.3%
33
91.7%
Q2 - 8:53MIAJump Ball Walker vs. Butler: Tip to Posey22
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q2 - 8:57NYKMISS Taylor 20' Jump Shot22
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q2 - 9:10MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 9:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q2 - 9:14NYKWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)22
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 9:34NYKRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Posey Layup22
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q2 - 9:41NYKPayton STEAL (1 STL)22
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q2 - 9:54NYKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q2 - 10:02MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q2 - 10:04NYKMISS Butler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot22
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 10:18NYKKnicks Rebound22
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Doleac Layup22
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q2 - 10:34NYKMISS Frye 19' Jump Shot22
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 10:46NYKRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q2 - 10:48NYKMISS Frye 12' Jump Shot22
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 10:52NYKTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q2 - 10:53NYKMISS Rose Layup22
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 11:03NYKKnicks Rebound22
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q2 - 11:05NYKMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 11:22MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q2 - 11:40NYKTaylor 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)22
11.1%
29
88.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0NYKTaylor 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)20
9.5%
29
90.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0NYKRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot18
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0NYKMISS Frye 6' Jump Bank Shot18
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q1 - 1:16MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)18
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 1:34NYKMISS Marbury Free Throw 2 of 218
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 1:34NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
10.2%
27
89.8%
Q1 - 1:38NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot17
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 1:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)17
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 1:47NYKMISS Taylor 8' Hook Shot17
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)17
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)17
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q1 - 2:03NYKMISS Frye 21' Jump Shot17
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q1 - 2:17MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q1 - 2:36NYKTaylor 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)17
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q1 - 2:49MIADoleac 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q1 - 3:10NYKMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q1 - 3:10NYKMISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 214
8.7%
25
91.3%
Q1 - 3:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)14
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)14
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 3:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:44NYKMISS Marbury 18' Jump Shot14
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 3:50NYKFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot14
10.2%
23
89.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
9.5%
23
90.5%
Q1 - 4:04NYKMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot14
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 4:20MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)14
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 4:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup14
12.0%
21
88.0%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 4:29NYKMISS Butler 3' Jump Shot14
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 4:31NYKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 4:33NYKMISS Rose 6' Jump Shot14
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 4:34NYKRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 4:36NYKMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot14
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 4:52MIAWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)14
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 5:11NYKButler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)14
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 5:28NYKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 214
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 5:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 5:41NYKMISS Frye Free Throw Technical14
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 5:41NYKRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 5:41NYKMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 213
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)13
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 5:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 213
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 5:59NYKMISS Richardson 16' Fadeaway Jumper13
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 6:15NYKMISS Richardson Free Throw Technical13
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMourning Slam Dunk (4 PTS)13
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)13
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot13
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot13
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIAHEAT Rebound13
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 6:33NYKMISS Davis Tip Shot13
17.7%
14
82.3%
Q1 - 6:34NYKDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 6:35NYKMISS Marbury Driving Layup13
17.7%
14
82.3%
Q1 - 6:39NYKMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot13
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 7:05NYKRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)13
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMourning 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 7:33NYKAriza Layup (2 PTS)10
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 7:33NYKAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
15.2%
12
84.8%
Q1 - 7:34NYKMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)8
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 7:41NYKDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
15.2%
12
84.8%
Q1 - 7:43NYKMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)8
15.2%
12
84.8%
Q1 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 8:05NYKPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)8
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 8:24MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 8:40NYKFrye 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWilliams 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 9:20NYKMarbury Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 9:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound4
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot4
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 10:00NYKFrye Dunk (4 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)4
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 10:15MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 10:33NYKFrye 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)2
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup0
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 11:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 11:04NYKMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:11NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 11:34NYKMISS Richardson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot0
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:50MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 11:50MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
17.0%
1
83.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Frye: Tip to Williams0
17.9%
0
82.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
18
35
51%
MIA
16
24
67%
Midrange
NYK
15
37
41%
MIA
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
NYK
10
18
56%
MIA
30
34
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marbury1953%9.5 / 18
N. Robinson1667%8.0 / 12
J. Crawford13108%6.5 / 6
C. Frye1238%6.0 / 16
Q. Richardson941%4.5 / 11
M. Taylor975%4.5 / 6
T. Ariza675%3.0 / 4
J. Butler440%2.0 / 5
D. Lee467%2.0 / 3
A. Davis225%1.0 / 4
M. Rose0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3359%16.5 / 28
J. Posey1973%9.5 / 13
J. Williams1882%9.0 / 11
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
A. Mourning990%4.5 / 5
A. Walker945%4.5 / 10
M. Doleac440%2.0 / 5
G. Payton338%1.5 / 4
G. Fitch250%1.0 / 2
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
76
+12
-12
88
MIA
80
+14
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
108.0
NYK 106.8
MIA 118.9 +12.1
Pace
91.0
92.2
NYK 99.5 +18.4
MIA 81.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.9
NYK 14.5 +3.3
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
51.7%
NYK 51.2%
MIA 52.0% +0.8%
TO %
18.5%
15.0%
NYK 11.8%
MIA 11.0% +0.8%
ORB %
31.3%
26.8%
NYK 25.0%
MIA 30.6% +5.6%
FTrt
41.7
36.3
NYK 22.0
MIA 45.9 +23.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.0%
55.7%
NYK 48.7%
MIA 54.3% +5.6%
STL %
7.3%
6.9%
NYK 3.4%
MIA 7.8% +4.4%
BLK %
5.6%
8.5%
NYK 3.6%
MIA 18.1% +14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
53.9%
NYK 52.8%
MIA 56.9% +4.1%
Rim FG%
55.2%
64.2%
NYK 51.4%
MIA 66.7% +15.3%
Mid FG%
38.6%
38.9%
NYK 40.5% +3.0%
MIA 37.5%
3P %
36.2%
34.5%
NYK 60.0% +21.1%
MIA 38.9%
FT %
72.6%
70.0%
NYK 55.6%
MIA 88.2% +32.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
43.4%
39.3%
NYK 42.7% +10.3%
MIA 32.4%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
38.0%
NYK 45.1%
MIA 43.2% +1.9%
3P Att. %
14.2%
22.7%
NYK 12.2%
MIA 24.3% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes21.226.6
Points94107
Rebounds3541
Assists1919
Steals37
Blocks213
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals39-8235-74
At-the-Rim FG18-3516-24
Midrange FG15-3712-32
2-Point FG33-7228-56
3-Point FG6-107-18
Free Throws10-1830-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 205 · 29
35.1
19
53%
3
6
1
0
2
1
1
2
7-9
78%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 255 · 23
34.4
12
38%
3
0
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-1
0%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 228 · 26
25.1
9
41%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
1-3
33%
1-7
14%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 245 · 37
21.8
2
25%
3
2
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 20
21.4
6
75%
2
1
2
0
1
4
1
1
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 180 · 21
26.1
16
67%
2
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 185 · 26
23.1
13
108%
3
3
0
0
2
4
1
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29
17.0
9
75%
2
1
0
0
3
3
1
1
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 21
13.8
4
40%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 31
12.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23
10.0
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 295 · 23
#9 · F · 6'7" 226 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 7'1" 285 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'7" 215 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
35
19
3
2
12
0
10
25
10-18
56%
33-72
46%
6-10
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.