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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 3, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic30%8984
22Bucks70%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.8
39.9
30.1
20
63%
5
9
3
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
47%
4-4
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.7
39.3
32.6
15
45%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-6
83%
5-14
4-9
36%
45%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.0
38.9
33.1
14
55%
17
1
1
1
1
5
6
11
2-4
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
52%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.3
23.5
11.6
2
17%
6
3
1
0
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
21.5
21.9
8
58%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.8
22.8
8.0
14
117%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
4-4
100%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.3
18.8
8.6
4
41%
2
0
2
0
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.9
18.6
9.4
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.3
16.8
20.2
7
51%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.7
33.2
1
3-8
42%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.7
7.8
0
1-2
48%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
5.4
0
0-1
48%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.8
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.0
39.8
30.3
12
47%
1
11
3
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.3
39.1
37.4
30
79%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
6-13
50%
47%
7-10
70%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 22.7
29.3
37.1
6
38%
2
6
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.0
29.1
27.3
5
32%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.5
27.9
30.1
12
64%
9
0
0
0
1
2
1
8
0-3
0%
6-8
4-8
75%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
23.7
17.3
4
41%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.2
20.3
19.6
14
117%
5
5
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
17.5
8.9
16
71%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
2-3
67%
7-10
1-3
70%
52%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.9
10.1
11.9
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.9
1.9
0.4
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.0
1.1
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.