| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 111.2 | 89 | 83.1 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
76
+15
-13
91
DEN
84
+15
-7
99
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.06 53.2%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | DEN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 99 0% | 101 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:01.0 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 99 0.4% | 101 99.6% |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS Posey 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper | 99 3.2% | 101 96.8% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | DEN | Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 7 AST) | 99 18.7% | 101 81.3% |
| Q4 - 0:29.0 | MIA | Walker 5' Running Hook Shot (20 PTS) | 99 53.2% | 98 46.8% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 97 39.2% | 98 60.8% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | DEN | MISS Camby Layup | 97 34.1% | 98 65.9% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | MIA | Wade Dunk (32 PTS) (Payton 5 AST) | 97 24.3% | 98 75.7% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 95 16.5% | 98 83.5% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | DEN | MISS Martin 19' Jump Shot | 95 14.2% | 98 85.8% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 95 11.7% | 98 88.3% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 13.8% | 98 86.2% |
| Q4 - 1:52 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 95 19.9% | 98 80.1% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | DEN | MISS Miller 16' Jump Bank Shot | 95 17.4% | 98 82.6% |
| Q4 - 2:15 | MIA | Payton 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 95 12.6% | 98 87.4% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | DEN | Miller Driving Finger Roll (22 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST) | 92 6.7% | 98 93.3% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | DEN | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 92 8.2% | 96 91.8% |
| Q4 - 2:44 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 10.0% | 96 90.0% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 92 16.3% | 96 83.7% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | DEN | MISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 | 92 15.3% | 96 84.7% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | DEN | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 92 12.0% | 96 88.0% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS) | 92 14.1% | 95 85.9% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS) | 91 13.2% | 95 86.8% |
| Q4 - 3:21 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 90 11.4% | 95 88.6% |
| Q4 - 3:21 | DEN | MISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot | 90 9.6% | 95 90.4% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | MIA | Simien Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15) | 90 9.6% | 95 90.4% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | DEN | Miller 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Camby 2 AST) | 90 12.9% | 95 87.1% |
| Q4 - 4:12 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 90 17.5% | 93 82.5% |
| Q4 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS Walker 6' Running Jump Shot | 90 19.2% | 93 80.8% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 90 23.9% | 93 76.1% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | DEN | MISS Najera Dunk | 90 21.7% | 93 78.3% |
| Q4 - 4:41 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 90 17.3% | 93 82.7% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | DEN | MISS Anthony 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 90 21.6% | 93 78.4% |
| Q4 - 5:03 | DEN | Najera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 90 19.5% | 93 80.5% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | MIA | Camby BLOCK (3 BLK) | 90 21.2% | 93 78.8% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | DEN | Miller 11' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 90 25.5% | 93 74.5% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | MIA | Payton 17' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) | 90 32.0% | 91 68.0% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | DEN | Anthony 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 88 25.4% | 91 74.6% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | DEN | Najera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 88 32.3% | 89 67.7% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | MIA | MISS Walker Driving Layup | 88 34.7% | 89 65.3% |
| Q4 - 6:32 | MIA | Simien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 88 40.3% | 89 59.7% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | DEN | MISS Camby 21' Jump Shot | 88 37.8% | 89 62.2% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 88 32.3% | 89 67.7% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot | 88 34.7% | 89 65.3% |
| Q4 - 7:02 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 88 40.7% | 89 59.3% |
| Q4 - 7:05 | DEN | MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 38.4% | 89 61.6% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | MIA | Kapono 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST) | 88 33.4% | 89 66.6% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | DEN | Anthony 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 86 28.2% | 89 71.8% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | MIA | Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 3 AST) | 86 33.3% | 87 66.7% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 83 23.9% | 87 76.1% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | DEN | MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot | 83 22.5% | 87 77.5% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | Posey Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14) | 83 19.5% | 87 80.5% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7) | 83 23.9% | 87 76.1% |
| Q4 - 8:28 | DEN | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 83 19.5% | 87 80.5% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | MIA | MISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 20.8% | 87 79.2% |
| Q4 - 8:51 | DEN | Miller Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T6) | 83 23.9% | 87 76.1% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | MIA | Kapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST) | 83 20.5% | 87 79.5% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 81 17.0% | 87 83.0% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | DEN | MISS Anthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 81 15.9% | 87 84.1% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | MIA | Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Posey 3 AST) | 81 13.7% | 87 86.3% |
| Q4 - 10:17 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 78 10.0% | 87 90.0% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | DEN | MISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 9.3% | 87 90.7% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MIA | Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST) | 78 7.9% | 87 92.1% |
| Q4 - 10:48 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 75 5.3% | 87 94.7% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | DEN | MISS Camby 4' Jump Shot | 75 4.9% | 87 95.1% |
| Q4 - 10:52 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 75 4.2% | 87 95.8% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | DEN | MISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot | 75 4.9% | 87 95.1% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | MIA | Payton Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 75 4.7% | 87 95.3% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | DEN | Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Najera 3 AST) | 73 3.9% | 87 96.1% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 73 5.8% | 84 94.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 73 5.8% | 84 94.2% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot | 73 7.0% | 84 93.0% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | DEN | Boykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 73 8.0% | 84 92.0% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | DEN | Boykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 73 8.2% | 83 91.8% |
| Q3 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Payton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 73 9.6% | 82 90.4% |
| Q3 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Payton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 72 9.2% | 82 90.8% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | DEN | Anthony 7' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Boykins 7 AST) | 71 8.0% | 82 92.0% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 71 9.6% | 80 90.4% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS) | 70 9.2% | 80 90.8% |
| Q3 - 0:51.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 69 7.9% | 80 92.1% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | DEN | MISS Najera 18' Jump Shot | 69 7.5% | 80 92.5% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 69 7.3% | 80 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 68 7.0% | 80 93.0% |
| Q3 - 1:31 | DEN | Anthony 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Najera 2 AST) | 67 6.1% | 80 93.9% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | DEN | Najera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 67 7.3% | 78 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | DEN | MISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 8.3% | 78 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:46 | MIA | Mourning Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13) | 67 7.3% | 78 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 67 8.8% | 78 91.2% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | MIA | MISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 67 7.7% | 78 92.3% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 67 8.7% | 78 91.3% |
| Q3 - 1:59 | DEN | MISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot | 67 8.3% | 78 91.7% |
| Q3 - 2:15 | MIA | Mourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12) | 67 7.8% | 78 92.2% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | DEN | Anthony 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 6 AST) | 67 9.4% | 78 90.6% |
| Q3 - 2:41 | DEN | Najera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 67 11.0% | 76 89.0% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | MIA | MISS Posey Layup | 67 11.6% | 76 88.4% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 67 13.1% | 76 86.9% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | DEN | MISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 2 | 67 12.8% | 76 87.2% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | DEN | MISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 2 | 67 11.6% | 76 88.4% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 67 11.0% | 76 89.0% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | MIA | MISS Walker 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 67 11.6% | 76 88.4% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | DEN | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 67 13.8% | 76 86.2% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | DEN | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 67 14.2% | 75 85.8% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 67 16.0% | 74 84.0% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 67 16.8% | 74 83.2% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | DEN | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 67 18.7% | 74 81.3% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | MIA | Wade 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 67 24.5% | 71 75.5% |
| Q3 - 4:09 | DEN | Miller Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS) | 65 22.1% | 71 77.9% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | MIA | Walker 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 65 28.1% | 68 71.9% |
| Q3 - 4:52 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 63 25.2% | 68 74.8% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | DEN | MISS Boykins 16' Jump Bank Shot | 63 24.1% | 68 75.9% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 63 22.4% | 68 77.6% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 62 21.8% | 68 78.2% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 62 22.6% | 68 77.4% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 62 19.6% | 68 80.4% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | DEN | MISS Buckner 22' Jump Shot | 62 21.6% | 68 78.4% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | MIA | Williams Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 62 19.6% | 68 80.4% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | DEN | Boykins 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Buckner 6 AST) | 60 17.3% | 68 82.7% |
| Q3 - 6:04 | DEN | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 60 20.1% | 66 79.9% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 60 23.1% | 66 76.9% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | MIA | MISS Wade Tip Shot | 60 21.0% | 66 79.0% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 21.0% | 66 79.0% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | DEN | Camby 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boykins 6 AST) | 60 23.0% | 66 77.0% |
| Q3 - 6:47 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 60 25.8% | 64 74.2% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | MIA | MISS Mourning 21' Jump Shot | 60 26.8% | 64 73.2% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 60 29.2% | 64 70.8% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | DEN | MISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot | 60 28.3% | 64 71.7% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 60 25.8% | 64 74.2% |
| Q3 - 7:11 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 | 60 26.3% | 64 73.7% |
| Q3 - 7:11 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 | 60 27.8% | 64 72.2% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 60 29.4% | 64 70.6% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | DEN | MISS Camby 19' Jump Shot | 60 28.3% | 64 71.7% |
| Q3 - 7:30 | MIA | Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 60 25.8% | 64 74.2% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 57 20.7% | 64 79.3% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | DEN | MISS Miller 5' Jump Shot | 57 19.8% | 64 80.2% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | MIA | Wade Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T11) | 57 17.9% | 64 82.1% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 57 20.7% | 64 79.3% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | MISS Mourning Layup | 57 19.3% | 64 80.7% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 21.1% | 64 78.9% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | DEN | MISS Miller 17' Jump Shot | 57 20.3% | 64 79.7% |
| Q3 - 8:34 | MIA | Wade Driving Dunk (21 PTS) | 57 18.4% | 64 81.6% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | DEN | Camby Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST) | 55 16.5% | 64 83.5% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 55 18.9% | 62 81.1% |
| Q3 - 9:05 | DEN | MISS Camby 20' Jump Shot | 55 20.5% | 62 79.5% |
| Q3 - 9:11 | DEN | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 55 18.9% | 62 81.1% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | MIA | MISS Wade Reverse Layup | 55 19.6% | 62 80.4% |
| Q3 - 9:36 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 55 21.3% | 62 78.7% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | DEN | MISS Martin 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 55 20.5% | 62 79.5% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Mourning 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 55 18.8% | 62 81.2% |
| Q3 - 9:50 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 53 16.8% | 62 83.2% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 53 15.3% | 62 84.7% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | DEN | Martin 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 3 AST) | 53 17.3% | 62 82.7% |
| Q3 - 10:28 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 53 19.2% | 60 80.8% |
| Q3 - 10:28 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 20.0% | 60 80.0% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 53 21.8% | 60 78.2% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 19.9% | 60 80.1% |
| Q3 - 11:05 | DEN | Miller Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 53 22.1% | 60 77.9% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS) | 53 24.4% | 58 75.6% |
| Q3 - 11:37 | DEN | Anthony 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Camby 1 AST) | 50 19.8% | 58 80.2% |
| Q3 - 11:50 | MIA | Posey Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 50 21.9% | 56 78.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 50 24.5% | 56 75.5% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 50 24.5% | 56 75.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | MISS Camby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 23.7% | 56 76.3% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 50 23.1% | 56 76.9% |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 50 24.7% | 56 75.3% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | DEN | MISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot | 50 24.2% | 56 75.8% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 50 23.0% | 56 77.0% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | MIA | MISS Posey 17' Jump Shot | 50 23.5% | 56 76.5% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | DEN | Miller 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST) | 50 24.7% | 56 75.3% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | Haslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8) | 50 28.7% | 54 71.3% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | MIA | Posey Free Throw Technical (2 PTS) | 50 30.1% | 54 69.9% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | DEN | Camby Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 49 27.4% | 54 72.6% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 49 34.2% | 51 65.8% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | DEN | MISS Boykins 17' Jump Bank Shot | 49 35.3% | 51 64.7% |
| Q2 - 1:48 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 49 34.2% | 51 65.8% |
| Q2 - 1:48 | DEN | MISS Camby Layup | 49 35.3% | 51 64.7% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | DEN | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 49 33.7% | 51 66.3% |
| Q2 - 2:05 | MIA | MISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 34.6% | 51 65.4% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | DEN | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 49 36.4% | 51 63.6% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | DEN | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 49 36.9% | 50 63.1% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 49 39.6% | 49 60.4% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 48 39.0% | 49 61.0% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | DEN | Miller Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 47 36.4% | 49 63.6% |
| Q2 - 2:55 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 47 39.6% | 47 60.4% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 47 40.0% | 47 60.0% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 47 42.0% | 47 58.0% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | DEN | Anthony Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 46 39.5% | 47 60.5% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | MIA | Walker Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Payton 1 AST) | 46 36.4% | 47 63.6% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 44 34.0% | 47 66.0% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | DEN | MISS Miller Layup | 44 33.1% | 47 66.9% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | MIA | Camby STEAL (1 STL) | 44 31.1% | 47 68.9% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 44 34.0% | 47 66.0% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | DEN | MISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot | 44 33.1% | 47 66.9% |
| Q2 - 4:04 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 44 31.4% | 47 68.6% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 42 28.9% | 47 71.1% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | MIA | MISS Walker 20' Jump Shot | 42 27.3% | 47 72.7% |
| Q2 - 4:26 | MIA | Posey Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 42 28.9% | 47 71.1% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | DEN | Miller 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 41 26.6% | 47 73.4% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 41 28.9% | 45 71.1% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | DEN | Najera Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 39 26.9% | 45 73.1% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | DEN | Najera Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 39 27.5% | 44 72.5% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | DEN | Najera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 39 29.0% | 43 71.0% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | DEN | MISS Martin 18' Jump Shot | 39 30.8% | 43 69.2% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 39 29.0% | 43 71.0% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | Kapono Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 39 29.0% | 43 71.0% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 25.3% | 43 74.7% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | DEN | Najera Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 37 26.9% | 43 73.1% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | MIA | Walker 6' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 37 29.0% | 41 71.0% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 35 27.4% | 41 72.6% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | DEN | MISS Anthony Layup | 35 26.6% | 41 73.4% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 35 24.8% | 41 75.2% |
| Q2 - 6:15 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 35 24.8% | 41 75.2% |
| Q2 - 6:15 | DEN | MISS Miller Layup | 35 26.6% | 41 73.4% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | DEN | MISS Miller Layup | 35 26.6% | 41 73.4% |
| Q2 - 6:19 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 24.8% | 41 75.2% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | DEN | MISS Miller Driving Layup | 35 26.6% | 41 73.4% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | MIA | Walker 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 35 24.8% | 41 75.2% |
| Q2 - 6:33 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 33 23.2% | 41 76.8% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 21.6% | 41 78.4% |
| Q2 - 6:54 | DEN | Najera 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST) | 33 23.2% | 41 76.8% |
| Q2 - 7:11 | MIA | Wade Reverse Layup (11 PTS) | 33 25.6% | 39 74.4% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | DEN | Martin 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST) | 31 23.7% | 39 76.3% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 31 25.5% | 37 74.5% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 30 25.1% | 37 74.9% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 30 25.7% | 37 74.3% |
| Q2 - 7:55 | DEN | MISS Kleiza 22' Jump Shot | 30 25.0% | 37 75.0% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | MIA | Wade 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 30 23.6% | 37 76.4% |
| Q2 - 8:27 | DEN | Martin Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST) | 28 22.1% | 37 77.9% |
| Q2 - 8:37 | MIA | Wade 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 28 23.7% | 35 76.3% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | DEN | Johnson Driving Dunk (6 PTS) | 26 22.1% | 35 77.9% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIA | Najera STEAL (1 STL) | 26 23.7% | 33 76.3% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | DEN | Johnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 26 26.0% | 33 74.0% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 26 27.8% | 31 72.2% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 26 30.1% | 31 69.9% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIA | MISS Anderson Layup | 26 28.5% | 31 71.5% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | DEN | Johnson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST) | 26 30.2% | 31 69.8% |
| Q2 - 10:24 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 32.1% | 29 67.9% |
| Q2 - 10:26 | MIA | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 32.9% | 29 67.1% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | DEN | Najera 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST) | 26 34.6% | 29 65.4% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | MIA | Anderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 26 36.5% | 27 63.5% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | DEN | Kleiza 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Najera 1 AST) | 26 38.8% | 27 61.2% |
| Q2 - 11:32 | MIA | Walker 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 26 41.2% | 25 58.8% |
| Q2 - 11:32 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 24 38.8% | 25 61.2% |
| Q2 - 11:33 | MIA | MISS Anderson 18' Running Jump Shot | 24 37.2% | 25 62.8% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 24 38.8% | 25 61.2% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | MIA | Kleiza BLOCK (1 BLK) | 24 37.2% | 25 62.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 24 38.8% | 25 61.2% | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 24 36.7% | 25 63.3% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 24 37.2% | 25 62.8% |
| Q1 - 0:08.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 24 38.4% | 25 61.6% |
| Q1 - 0:10.0 | DEN | MISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot | 24 37.9% | 25 62.1% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | MIA | Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 2 AST) | 24 36.7% | 25 63.3% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | DEN | Boykins 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buckner 5 AST) | 21 31.9% | 25 68.1% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | DEN | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 21 34.5% | 23 65.5% |
| Q1 - 0:52.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 35.0% | 23 65.0% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | DEN | Kleiza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 21 36.3% | 23 63.7% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | MIA | Walker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 21 34.6% | 23 65.4% |
| Q1 - 1:32 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 32.0% | 23 68.0% |
| Q1 - 1:34 | DEN | MISS Camby Driving Layup | 19 31.5% | 23 68.5% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | DEN | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 30.4% | 23 69.6% |
| Q1 - 1:47 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot | 19 30.9% | 23 69.1% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | DEN | Kleiza Dunk (2 PTS) (Buckner 4 AST) | 19 32.4% | 23 67.6% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | DEN | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 19 34.6% | 21 65.4% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 35.2% | 21 64.8% |
| Q1 - 2:11 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 36.6% | 21 63.4% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | MIA | Camby BLOCK (2 BLK) | 19 35.2% | 21 64.8% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 19 36.6% | 21 63.4% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | DEN | Camby Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS) | 19 36.6% | 21 63.4% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | DEN | MISS Najera Layup | 19 40.4% | 19 59.6% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 19 38.6% | 19 61.4% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 18 38.1% | 19 61.9% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 36.7% | 19 63.3% |
| Q1 - 3:14 | DEN | MISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 36.0% | 19 64.0% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 34.4% | 19 65.6% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | MIA | MISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 35.1% | 19 64.9% |
| Q1 - 3:55 | DEN | Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST) | 17 36.7% | 19 63.3% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | MIA | Mourning Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 17 40.5% | 16 59.5% |
| Q1 - 4:32 | DEN | Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 1 AST) | 17 43.1% | 16 56.9% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 47.0% | 13 53.0% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | DEN | MISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot | 17 48.8% | 13 51.2% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | MIA | Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 17 47.0% | 13 53.0% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 42.5% | 13 57.5% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | DEN | MISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot | 14 41.9% | 13 58.1% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | MIA | Payton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST) | 14 40.3% | 13 59.7% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | DEN | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 12 38.5% | 13 61.5% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | DEN | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 12 38.9% | 12 61.1% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 12 40.3% | 11 59.7% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | DEN | MISS Martin Layup | 12 41.9% | 11 58.1% |
| Q1 - 5:49 | DEN | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 40.3% | 11 59.7% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 12 41.0% | 11 59.0% |
| Q1 - 6:05 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 42.2% | 11 57.8% |
| Q1 - 6:20 | MIA | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 12 40.1% | 11 59.9% |
| Q1 - 6:40 | DEN | Anthony Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 9 36.4% | 11 63.6% |
| Q1 - 6:47 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 38.2% | 9 61.8% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 9 38.5% | 9 61.5% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 9 39.8% | 9 60.2% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | DEN | Martin 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Buckner 3 AST) | 9 40.1% | 9 59.9% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 41.7% | 7 58.3% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 42.4% | 7 57.6% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 9 43.8% | 7 56.2% |
| Q1 - 7:39 | DEN | MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 1 | 9 43.5% | 7 56.5% |
| Q1 - 7:44 | MIA | Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 9 45.5% | 5 54.5% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | DEN | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 42.0% | 5 58.0% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | DEN | MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 | 6 42.5% | 4 57.5% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | MIA | Buckner STEAL (2 STL) | 6 41.9% | 4 58.1% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | DEN | Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 43.9% | 4 56.1% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 6 41.8% | 4 58.2% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | DEN | Anthony 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST) | 4 40.2% | 4 59.8% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | MIA | Mourning 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST) | 4 41.5% | 2 58.5% |
| Q1 - 9:29 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 40.2% | 2 59.8% |
| Q1 - 9:31 | DEN | MISS Martin Reverse Layup | 2 39.5% | 2 60.5% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | MIA | Mourning Dunk (2 PTS) | 2 37.9% | 2 62.1% |
| Q1 - 9:44 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 0 36.6% | 2 63.4% |
| Q1 - 9:45 | MIA | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 0 35.1% | 2 64.9% |
| Q1 - 9:55 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 36.6% | 2 63.4% |
| Q1 - 9:57 | DEN | MISS Camby 20' Jump Shot | 0 35.9% | 2 64.1% |
| Q1 - 10:04 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 34.5% | 2 65.5% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | MIA | Camby BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 35.1% | 2 64.9% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | DEN | Anthony Layup (2 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST) | 0 36.4% | 2 63.6% |
| Q1 - 10:35 | MIA | Buckner STEAL (1 STL) | 0 37.9% | 0 62.1% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 40.0% | 0 60.0% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | MIA | MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot | 0 38.5% | 0 61.5% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 0 40.0% | 0 60.0% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 0 38.5% | 0 61.5% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 39.7% | 0 60.3% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | DEN | Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 38.1% | 0 61.9% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | DEN | MISS Camby Tip Shot | 0 39.2% | 0 60.8% |
| Q1 - 11:08 | DEN | MISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot | 0 39.2% | 0 60.8% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | DEN | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 38.1% | 0 61.9% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot | 0 38.6% | 0 61.4% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 39.7% | 0 60.3% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | DEN | MISS Camby 21' Jump Shot | 0 39.2% | 0 60.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DEN | Jump Ball Camby vs. Mourning: Tip to Anthony | 0 38.1% | 0 61.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.06 53.2%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
20
55%
DEN
15
30
50%
Midrange
MIA
16
34
47%
DEN
22
49
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
DEN
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
DEN
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 32 | 64% | 16.0 / 25 | |
| A. Walker | 20 | 48% | 10.0 / 21 | |
| G. Payton | 17 | 106% | 8.5 / 8 | |
| J. Williams | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| A. Mourning | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| J. Kapono | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| J. Posey | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| U. Haslem | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| S. Anderson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Nuggets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Anthony | 23 | 55% | 11.5 / 21 | |
| A. Miller | 22 | 58% | 11.0 / 19 | |
| E. Boykins | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| K. Martin | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| M. Camby | 9 | 30% | 4.5 / 15 | |
| E. Najera | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| G. Buckner | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| D. Johnson | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| L. Kleiza | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
76
+15
-13
91
DEN
84
+15
-7
99
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.06 53.2%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.0 105.6 | MIA 111.2 +0.2 DEN 111.0 |
| Pace | 92.2 93.9 | MIA 83.1 DEN 98.0 +15.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.9 14.7 | MIA 17.3 DEN 14.7 +2.6 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.7% 48.8% | MIA 51.3% +3.0% DEN 48.3% |
| TO % | 15.0% 15.1% | MIA 14.3% DEN 6.7% +7.6% |
| ORB % | 26.8% 26.9% | MIA 30.8% +6.4% DEN 24.4% |
| FTrt | 36.3 34.7 | MIA 31.6 +9.1 DEN 22.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.7% 62.4% | MIA 52.8% DEN 75.6% +22.8% |
| STL % | 6.9% 8.9% | MIA 4.5% +0.1% DEN 4.4% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 8.8% | MIA 7.6% +0.2% DEN 7.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.9% 52.3% | MIA 53.2% +2.7% DEN 50.5% |
| Rim FG% | 64.2% 59.2% | MIA 55.0% +5.0% DEN 50.0% |
| Mid FG% | 38.9% 39.7% | MIA 47.1% +2.2% DEN 44.9% |
| 3P % | 34.5% 32.5% | MIA 36.0% DEN 40.0% +4.0% |
| FT % | 70.0% 74.4% | MIA 72.0% DEN 75.0% +3.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 39.3% 38.8% | MIA 25.3% DEN 33.7% +8.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 38.0% 45.1% | MIA 43.0% +12.0% DEN 55.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.7% 16.1% | MIA 31.6% +20.4% DEN 11.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
| Game Totals | MIA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 89 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.7 | 22.3 |
| Points | 99 | 101 |
| Rebounds | 46 | 38 |
| Assists | 19 | 31 |
| Steals | 4 | 4 |
| Blocks | 6 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 13 (2) | 7 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (3) | 11 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 34 (2) | 27 (4) |
| Field Goals | 36-79 | 41-89 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 11-20 | 15-30 |
| Midrange FG | 16-34 | 22-49 |
| 2-Point FG | 27-54 | 37-79 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-25 | 4-10 |
| Free Throws | 18-25 | 15-20 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.