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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 30, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Pistons52%9193
7Nets48%9083
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.8
44.4
37.1
17
51%
5
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
50%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.8
41.1
33.9
30
86%
6
2
1
1
0
3
2
4
8-8
100%
8-12
6-14
67%
47%
2-2
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.2
37.6
32.7
4
40%
8
3
3
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.2
36.8
32.4
20
64%
4
8
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
3-8
38%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.2
36.8
33.8
16
50%
8
3
0
1
2
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
16.3
18.4
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.3
12.2
14.9
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
9.5
17.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.4
5.3
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
6.4
0
1-1
45%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.8
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.7
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.6
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.4
41.4
36.1
20
72%
14
5
0
1
0
0
3
11
8-9
89%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
38.3
31.9
27
45%
4
3
0
1
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
13-27
5-11
48%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.7
37.3
38.3
8
40%
5
5
1
2
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-8
57%
43%
0-3
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
32.6
30.0
13
41%
5
0
1
0
1
3
5
0
3-4
75%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.0
28.9
26.1
5
32%
9
1
0
1
1
1
5
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
19.5
23.0
0
0%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.0
18.8
25.9
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 30.9
15.6
8.8
6
60%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.2
4.0
7.9
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
3.5
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
4.0
0
0-0
45%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.6
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 21.8
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.