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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 2, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers57%103108
16SuperSonics43%101115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.9
46.9
37.4
21
56%
3
6
0
2
0
6
1
2
10-13
77%
4-10
6-12
40%
46%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
45.1
42.3
34
56%
3
8
1
2
3
1
0
3
6-8
75%
14-22
9-17
64%
51%
0-5
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
32.1
22.7
11
62%
7
0
0
1
1
0
5
2
1-2
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.5
30.4
31.5
10
64%
5
0
0
1
2
2
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
22.2
25.1
2
50%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
29.9
27.2
14
72%
5
0
0
1
4
3
0
5
4-4
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
2-6
33%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.3
25.8
24.5
16
77%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
5-10
50%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
4.0
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.0
3.0
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.6
0.3
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
0.2
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.6
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.7
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
44.4
36.7
21
46%
6
5
4
1
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
4-10
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
35.7
39.4
26
65%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
5-11
64%
49%
4-9
44%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
27.7
34.3
9
64%
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-8
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
24.4
27.9
8
37%
8
0
0
1
0
2
2
6
2-4
50%
3-9
4-7
33%
55%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.5
15.4
22.6
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.0
25.6
20.1
14
74%
5
2
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-1
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
44%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.9
25.0
13.4
8
103%
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
23.9
17.4
24
74%
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
4
10-12
83%
7-10
2-5
70%
44%
0-1
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.7
13.7
7.8
5
51%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.7
4.2
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.2
7.1
0
1-2
44%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.0
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.1
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.5
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.