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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 3, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies42%8690
18Rockets58%8975
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
41.5
31.7
15
48%
7
4
0
1
2
2
1
6
3-4
75%
6-14
6-12
43%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.2
37.7
28.1
24
101%
1
8
0
1
0
5
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-6
50%
41%
6-7
86%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.2
37.1
30.9
14
64%
0
3
4
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
25.2
21.1
9
51%
8
0
1
0
0
2
4
4
1-4
25%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
19.2
28.2
7
32%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-8
13%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
25.9
24.0
18
76%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
5-8
63%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.8
25.5
21.4
3
21%
5
5
2
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.5
14.4
12.0
0
0%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.8
7.6
5.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
3.5
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.4
2.4
14.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
14.4
0
1-3
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.2
38.4
33.3
29
68%
7
0
2
0
0
1
5
2
5-5
100%
12-19
7-13
63%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.5
38.0
21.9
12
38%
1
7
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
34.0
35.2
9
46%
4
1
3
1
0
4
0
4
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
41%
1-5
20%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.1
27.6
36.2
5
50%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.8
24.0
27.1
2
20%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
45%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.4
25.7
31.0
3
31%
6
6
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.0
20.4
17.0
5
47%
6
1
1
1
1
5
3
3
1-3
33%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
17.1
4.7
8
58%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
38%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.0
8.2
11.0
2
100%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.4
6.6
10.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
16.3
1
1-2
45%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 26.9
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 27.1
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.4
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.