Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 3, 2005

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	8	Grizzlies	42%	86	90
	18	Rockets	58%	89	75

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	109.8	82	77.0
HOU	91.5	82	87.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-15

HOU

+15

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.11 55.6%

HOU

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU
Q4 - 0:00.0	MEM		90 100%	75 0%
Q4 - 0:10.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	90 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0	HOU	MISS Norris Layup	90 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0	MEM	Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)	90 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0	HOU	Norris 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	87 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0	HOU	Norris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	87 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0	MEM	MISS Miller 21' Jump Shot	87 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	HOU	Yao Layup (29 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)	87 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 1:27	HOU	Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	87 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:29	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot	87 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:47	HOU	Swift Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	87 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 2:04	MEM	Gasol 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stoudamire 8 AST)	87 99.9%	68 0.1%
Q4 - 2:19	HOU	Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)	85 99.9%	68 0.1%
Q4 - 2:19	HOU	Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)	85 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 2:32	MEM	Battier 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	85 99.9%	66 0.1%
Q4 - 2:59	HOU	Yao 11' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)	83 99.9%	66 0.1%
Q4 - 3:15	MEM	Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stoudamire 7 AST)	83 99.9%	64 0.1%
Q4 - 3:38	HOU	Norris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	80 99.7%	64 0.3%
Q4 - 3:38	HOU	Norris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	80 99.7%	63 0.3%
Q4 - 3:52	HOU	Swift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	80 99.8%	62 0.2%
Q4 - 3:56	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot	80 99.8%	62 0.2%
Q4 - 4:17	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	80 99.9%	62 0.1%
Q4 - 4:18	HOU	MISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 99.9%	62 0.1%
Q4 - 4:32	HOU	Norris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	80 99.8%	62 0.2%
Q4 - 4:34	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	80 99.8%	62 0.2%
Q4 - 4:53	HOU	Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)	80 99.9%	62 0.1%
Q4 - 5:12	MEM	Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	80 99.8%	60 0.2%
Q4 - 5:35	HOU	Norris Reverse Layup (4 PTS)	77 99.6%	60 0.4%
Q4 - 5:52	HOU	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	77 99.7%	58 0.3%
Q4 - 5:54	MEM	McGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)	77 99.8%	58 0.2%
Q4 - 6:20	HOU	Swift Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)	77 99.6%	58 0.4%
Q4 - 6:27	HOU	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	77 99.7%	56 0.3%
Q4 - 6:29	MEM	MISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot	77 99.8%	56 0.2%
Q4 - 6:45	HOU	Norris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T22)	77 99.8%	56 0.2%
Q4 - 6:48	HOU	Norris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	77 99.7%	56 0.3%
Q4 - 6:50	HOU	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	77 99.8%	56 0.2%
Q4 - 7:07	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	77 99.5%	56 0.5%
Q4 - 7:07	MEM	Wright Tip Shot (9 PTS)	77 99.5%	56 0.5%
Q4 - 7:08	MEM	MISS Gasol Layup	75 99.3%	56 0.7%
Q4 - 7:36	HOU	McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)	75 99.4%	56 0.6%
Q4 - 7:42	HOU	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	75 99.7%	53 0.3%
Q4 - 7:44	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	75 99.7%	53 0.3%
Q4 - 8:09	HOU	McGrady 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)	75 99.6%	53 0.4%
Q4 - 8:27	MEM	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	75 99.7%	51 0.3%
Q4 - 8:27	MEM	MISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2	74 99.7%	51 0.3%
Q4 - 8:30	HOU	Norris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)	74 99.7%	51 0.3%
Q4 - 8:40	MEM	Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	74 99.6%	51 0.4%
Q4 - 8:40	MEM	MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2	73 99.5%	51 0.5%
Q4 - 8:40	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	73 99.6%	51 0.4%
Q4 - 8:41	MEM	Swift BLOCK (1 BLK)	73 99.5%	51 0.5%
Q4 - 9:00	HOU	Swift Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)	73 99.6%	51 0.4%
Q4 - 9:01	HOU	McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	73 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q4 - 9:02	MEM	MISS Battier 17' Fadeaway Jumper	73 99.3%	51 0.7%
Q4 - 9:27	HOU	Swift Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)	73 99.4%	51 0.6%
Q4 - 9:36	HOU	Swift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	73 99.3%	51 0.7%
Q4 - 9:37	HOU	MISS Norris 27' 3PT Jump Shot	73 99.4%	51 0.6%
Q4 - 10:04	HOU	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	73 99.0%	51 1.0%
Q4 - 10:06	MEM	MISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	73 99.1%	51 0.9%
Q4 - 10:28	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	73 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q4 - 10:29	HOU	MISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot	73 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q4 - 10:41	HOU	Swift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	73 99.0%	51 1.0%
Q4 - 10:43	MEM	MISS Jackson 14' Running Jump Shot	73 99.1%	51 0.9%
Q4 - 10:56	HOU	Swift Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)	73 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q4 - 11:12	HOU	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	73 98.7%	51 1.3%
Q4 - 11:13	MEM	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	73 98.8%	51 1.2%
Q4 - 11:28	HOU	Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	73 99.0%	51 1.0%
Q4 - 11:28	HOU	MISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2	73 99.0%	50 1.0%
Q4 - 11:46	MEM	Norris STEAL (1 STL)	73 99.0%	50 1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	HOU		73 99.2%	50 0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM	Jackson 31' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)	73 99.0%	50 1.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	70 98.1%	50 1.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0	HOU	MISS Head Free Throw 1 of 1	70 98.0%	50 2.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0	HOU	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	70 98.4%	48 1.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0	HOU	MISS McGrady 20' Turnaround Jump Shot	70 98.6%	48 1.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)	70 98.4%	48 1.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0	MEM	MISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot	70 98.5%	48 1.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0	MEM	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	70 98.7%	48 1.3%
Q3 - 1:00	HOU	MISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot	70 98.6%	48 1.4%
Q3 - 1:18	MEM	Gasol 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)	70 98.0%	48 2.0%
Q3 - 1:41	HOU	Head Driving Layup (7 PTS)	68 97.6%	48 2.4%
Q3 - 2:02	MEM	Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	68 97.5%	46 2.5%
Q3 - 2:22	MEM	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	65 96.5%	46 3.5%
Q3 - 2:24	HOU	MISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot	65 96.3%	46 3.7%
Q3 - 2:34	MEM	Stoudamire Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)	65 95.8%	46 4.2%
Q3 - 2:38	HOU	Wesley Layup (5 PTS)	65 96.5%	46 3.5%
Q3 - 2:42	MEM	Wesley STEAL (1 STL)	65 97.1%	44 2.9%
Q3 - 2:55	HOU	Wesley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)	65 97.6%	44 2.4%
Q3 - 3:12	MEM	Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	65 98.0%	41 2.0%
Q3 - 3:37	HOU	Yao Layup (21 PTS)	62 97.2%	41 2.8%
Q3 - 3:39	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)	62 97.6%	39 2.4%
Q3 - 3:40	HOU	MISS Howard 18' Jump Shot	62 97.9%	39 2.1%
Q3 - 4:06	MEM	Jones Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	62 97.2%	39 2.8%
Q3 - 4:22	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	60 96.8%	39 3.2%
Q3 - 4:24	MEM	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	60 96.3%	39 3.7%
Q3 - 4:46	HOU	Head 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)	60 96.8%	39 3.2%
Q3 - 4:58	MEM	Jones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)	60 97.2%	37 2.8%
Q3 - 5:18	HOU	McGrady Layup (7 PTS) (Head 1 AST)	60 97.3%	37 2.7%
Q3 - 5:23	MEM	Head STEAL (3 STL)	60 97.7%	35 2.3%
Q3 - 5:43	HOU	Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)	60 98.1%	35 1.9%
Q3 - 6:01	MEM	Head STEAL (2 STL)	60 97.3%	35 2.7%
Q3 - 6:03	MEM	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	60 97.7%	35 2.3%
Q3 - 6:04	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot	60 97.4%	35 2.6%
Q3 - 6:18	HOU	Wesley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)	60 97.7%	35 2.3%
Q3 - 6:37	MEM	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	60 97.3%	35 2.7%
Q3 - 6:37	MEM	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	59 97.2%	35 2.8%
Q3 - 6:49	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	58 96.9%	35 3.1%
Q3 - 6:49	MEM	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	58 96.5%	35 3.5%
Q3 - 7:11	HOU	McGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)	58 96.4%	35 3.6%
Q3 - 7:23	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	58 95.8%	35 4.2%
Q3 - 7:23	MEM	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58 96.0%	35 4.0%
Q3 - 7:37	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	58 96.5%	35 3.5%
Q3 - 7:38	MEM	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58 96.0%	35 4.0%
Q3 - 8:04	HOU	McGrady 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)	58 96.1%	35 3.9%
Q3 - 8:19	MEM	Battier 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stoudamire 6 AST)	58 96.6%	33 3.4%
Q3 - 8:34	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	56 96.2%	33 3.8%
Q3 - 8:36	MEM	MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot	56 95.7%	33 4.3%
Q3 - 8:54	HOU	Yao 7' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)	56 96.2%	33 3.8%
Q3 - 9:10	MEM	Battier Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Stoudamire 5 AST)	56 96.2%	31 3.8%
Q3 - 9:12	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	54 95.6%	31 4.4%
Q3 - 9:14	MEM	MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot	54 95.1%	31 4.9%
Q3 - 9:31	HOU	Head Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)	54 95.6%	31 4.4%
Q3 - 9:31	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	54 94.9%	31 5.1%
Q3 - 9:32	HOU	MISS Yao Layup	54 95.4%	31 4.6%
Q3 - 9:34	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	54 94.9%	31 5.1%
Q3 - 9:36	HOU	MISS Head 3PT Jump Shot	54 95.4%	31 4.6%
Q3 - 9:56	MEM	Battier 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)	54 95.0%	31 5.0%
Q3 - 10:12	HOU	Yao Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)	51 92.8%	31 7.2%
Q3 - 10:20	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	51 94.4%	28 5.6%
Q3 - 10:20	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	50 94.2%	28 5.8%
Q3 - 10:23	HOU	Yao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)	50 94.5%	28 5.5%
Q3 - 10:23	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	50 93.6%	28 6.4%
Q3 - 10:25	HOU	MISS Howard 19' Jump Shot	50 94.2%	28 5.8%
Q3 - 10:35	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	50 93.6%	28 6.4%
Q3 - 10:37	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot	50 93.9%	28 6.1%
Q3 - 11:03	HOU	Yao 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)	50 93.9%	28 6.1%
Q3 - 11:22	MEM	Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	50 94.6%	26 5.4%
Q3 - 11:40	HOU	Wesley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	47 93.1%	26 6.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU		47 92.1%	26 7.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	47 91.4%	26 8.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0	MEM	MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot	47 91.6%	26 8.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 92.1%	26 7.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0	HOU	MISS Head 3PT Jump Shot	47 91.9%	26 8.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0	HOU	Wesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	47 91.5%	26 8.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	47 92.2%	26 7.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0	MEM	MISS Wright Tip Shot	47 91.7%	26 8.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot	47 91.7%	26 8.3%
Q2 - 1:11	HOU	Yao Layup (12 PTS)	47 91.4%	26 8.6%
Q2 - 1:12	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	47 92.8%	24 7.2%
Q2 - 1:13	HOU	MISS Yao Layup	47 93.1%	24 6.9%
Q2 - 1:24	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	47 92.8%	24 7.2%
Q2 - 1:26	HOU	MISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot	47 93.1%	24 6.9%
Q2 - 1:48	MEM	Wright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)	47 92.9%	24 7.1%
Q2 - 2:14	HOU	Yao Layup (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)	45 90.9%	24 9.1%
Q2 - 2:30	MEM	Battier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	45 92.0%	22 8.0%
Q2 - 2:40	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45 92.8%	22 7.2%
Q2 - 2:41	HOU	MISS Head 17' Jump Shot	45 92.6%	22 7.4%
Q2 - 2:54	MEM	Bowen STEAL (1 STL)	45 92.0%	22 8.0%
Q2 - 3:12	HOU	Yao 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)	45 91.9%	22 8.1%
Q2 - 3:18	HOU	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	45 92.7%	20 7.3%
Q2 - 3:19	HOU	MISS Yao Layup	45 93.3%	20 6.7%
Q2 - 3:34	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	45 92.7%	20 7.3%
Q2 - 3:34	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	44 92.5%	20 7.5%
Q2 - 3:47	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 92.0%	20 8.0%
Q2 - 3:49	HOU	MISS Yao Layup	43 91.7%	20 8.3%
Q2 - 4:06	HOU	Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	43 90.1%	20 9.9%
Q2 - 4:08	MEM	MISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot	43 90.4%	20 9.6%
Q2 - 4:19	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 91.1%	20 8.9%
Q2 - 4:21	HOU	MISS Swift 11' Jump Shot	43 90.8%	20 9.2%
Q2 - 4:42	MEM	Gasol 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)	43 90.1%	20 9.9%
Q2 - 4:58	HOU	Head Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	41 89.0%	20 11.0%
Q2 - 5:06	HOU	Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	41 87.2%	20 12.8%
Q2 - 5:07	MEM	MISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot	41 87.6%	20 12.4%
Q2 - 5:32	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	41 88.6%	20 11.4%
Q2 - 5:33	HOU	MISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot	41 88.2%	20 11.8%
Q2 - 5:51	MEM	Gasol Reverse Dunk (6 PTS)	41 87.3%	20 12.7%
Q2 - 6:00	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	39 86.1%	20 13.9%
Q2 - 6:01	HOU	MISS Swift Layup	39 84.8%	20 15.2%
Q2 - 6:02	HOU	Swift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	39 83.6%	20 16.4%
Q2 - 6:04	HOU	MISS Norris 18' Jump Shot	39 84.8%	20 15.2%
Q2 - 6:11	MEM	McGrady STEAL (1 STL)	39 83.6%	20 16.4%
Q2 - 6:29	HOU	McGrady Driving Layup (3 PTS)	39 85.4%	20 14.6%
Q2 - 6:37	HOU	Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	39 86.5%	18 13.5%
Q2 - 6:39	MEM	MISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot	39 86.9%	18 13.1%
Q2 - 7:01	HOU	Norris Layup (2 PTS)	39 86.7%	18 13.3%
Q2 - 7:06	MEM	Yao STEAL (2 STL)	39 87.8%	16 12.2%
Q2 - 7:20	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	39 89.0%	16 11.0%
Q2 - 7:22	MEM	MISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot	39 88.2%	16 11.8%
Q2 - 7:36	HOU	ROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	39 89.0%	16 11.0%
Q2 - 7:36	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	39 87.9%	16 12.1%
Q2 - 7:37	HOU	MISS McGrady 37' 3PT Jump Shot	39 88.7%	16 11.3%
Q2 - 8:02	MEM	Swift STEAL (1 STL)	39 87.3%	16 12.7%
Q2 - 8:28	HOU	Swift Foul Turnover (P2.T9)	39 88.6%	16 11.4%
Q2 - 8:39	MEM	Grizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)	39 87.3%	16 12.7%
Q2 - 8:39	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	39 88.6%	16 11.4%
Q2 - 8:40	MEM	Bowen BLOCK (1 BLK)	39 87.7%	16 12.3%
Q2 - 9:01	MEM	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	39 87.7%	16 12.3%
Q2 - 9:04	HOU	MISS McGrady Dunk	39 87.4%	16 12.6%
Q2 - 9:11	MEM	Head STEAL (1 STL)	39 86.5%	16 13.5%
Q2 - 9:18	HOU	Swift Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	39 87.8%	16 12.2%
Q2 - 9:23	HOU	Swift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	39 86.6%	16 13.4%
Q2 - 9:25	HOU	MISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot	39 87.4%	16 12.6%
Q2 - 9:48	MEM	Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	39 86.6%	16 13.4%
Q2 - 9:58	HOU	McGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	36 84.2%	16 15.8%
Q2 - 10:15	MEM	Jackson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)	36 82.2%	16 17.8%
Q2 - 10:34	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	34 80.9%	16 19.1%
Q2 - 10:34	HOU	MISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2	34 80.6%	16 19.4%
Q2 - 10:34	HOU	McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	34 79.6%	16 20.4%
Q2 - 10:45	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 80.7%	15 19.3%
Q2 - 10:47	MEM	MISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot	34 81.2%	15 18.8%
Q2 - 11:11	HOU	Bowen Driving Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)	34 81.4%	15 18.6%
Q2 - 11:15	HOU	Swift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 82.8%	13 17.2%
Q2 - 11:17	MEM	Mutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)	34 83.2%	13 16.8%
Q2 - 11:28	MEM	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	34 84.2%	13 15.8%
Q2 - 11:29	MEM	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	34 83.3%	13 16.7%
Q2 - 11:44	MEM	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 84.2%	13 15.8%
Q2 - 11:44	HOU	MISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 2	34 84.0%	13 16.0%
Q2 - 11:44	HOU	MISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 2	34 83.2%	13 16.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	HOU		34 82.9%	13 17.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	Mutombo STEAL (1 STL)	34 82.9%	13 17.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0	HOU	Wesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	34 83.3%	13 16.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0	MEM	Stoudamire Layup (12 PTS)	34 82.3%	13 17.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0	HOU	McGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	32 80.5%	13 19.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0	MEM	Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)	32 79.4%	13 20.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	29 75.7%	13 24.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0	HOU	MISS Howard 19' Jump Shot	29 75.3%	13 24.7%
Q1 - 1:08	MEM	Gasol 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tsakalidis 1 AST)	29 74.1%	13 25.9%
Q1 - 1:28	HOU	Howard 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)	27 71.9%	13 28.1%
Q1 - 1:45	MEM	Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	27 74.1%	11 25.9%
Q1 - 2:01	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	24 69.9%	11 30.1%
Q1 - 2:03	HOU	MISS Howard Layup	24 69.3%	11 30.7%
Q1 - 2:22	MEM	Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	24 68.0%	11 32.0%
Q1 - 2:37	HOU	Anderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	21 63.7%	11 36.3%
Q1 - 2:57	MEM	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	21 61.7%	11 38.3%
Q1 - 2:58	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	18 57.0%	11 43.0%
Q1 - 3:00	MEM	Mutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)	18 55.5%	11 44.5%
Q1 - 3:16	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	18 56.4%	11 43.6%
Q1 - 3:17	HOU	MISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	18 55.6%	11 44.4%
Q1 - 3:38	MEM	Gasol 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18 53.9%	11 46.1%
Q1 - 3:54	HOU	Head Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	16 51.9%	11 48.1%
Q1 - 4:07	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	16 48.9%	11 51.1%
Q1 - 4:08	MEM	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	16 49.7%	11 50.3%
Q1 - 4:28	HOU	Yao Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)	16 51.6%	11 48.4%
Q1 - 4:49	MEM	Stoudamire Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	16 53.3%	9 46.7%
Q1 - 5:11	HOU	Anderson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	16 54.8%	9 45.2%
Q1 - 5:23	HOU	Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 56.7%	7 43.3%
Q1 - 5:25	MEM	MISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot	16 57.4%	7 42.6%
Q1 - 5:42	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 59.0%	7 41.0%
Q1 - 5:44	HOU	MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	16 58.4%	7 41.6%
Q1 - 6:06	MEM	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)	16 55.9%	7 44.1%
Q1 - 6:12	HOU	Head Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	13 51.9%	7 48.1%
Q1 - 6:26	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	13 49.8%	7 50.2%
Q1 - 6:26	MEM	MISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 2	13 50.1%	7 49.9%
Q1 - 6:26	MEM	MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2	13 51.2%	7 48.8%
Q1 - 6:41	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	13 52.0%	7 48.0%
Q1 - 6:43	HOU	MISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot	13 51.3%	7 48.7%
Q1 - 7:03	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	13 48.9%	7 51.1%
Q1 - 7:04	MEM	MISS Battier 7' Hook Shot	13 49.6%	7 50.4%
Q1 - 7:21	HOU	Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	13 51.1%	7 48.9%
Q1 - 7:21	HOU	Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	13 51.4%	6 48.6%
Q1 - 7:32	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	13 52.8%	5 47.2%
Q1 - 7:34	MEM	MISS Wright 21' Jump Shot	13 53.5%	5 46.5%
Q1 - 7:42	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 54.9%	5 45.1%
Q1 - 7:44	HOU	MISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot	13 54.3%	5 45.7%
Q1 - 7:52	HOU	MISS Head Free Throw Clear Path	13 52.9%	5 47.1%
Q1 - 7:55	MEM	Yao STEAL (1 STL)	13 52.9%	5 47.1%
Q1 - 8:05	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 55.0%	5 45.0%
Q1 - 8:07	HOU	MISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	13 54.3%	5 45.7%
Q1 - 8:36	MEM	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	13 52.8%	5 47.2%
Q1 - 8:49	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 49.2%	5 50.8%
Q1 - 8:51	HOU	MISS McGrady 6' Jump Shot	10 48.6%	5 51.4%
Q1 - 8:56	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	10 47.1%	5 52.9%
Q1 - 8:57	HOU	MISS Yao 8' Jump Shot	10 48.6%	5 51.4%
Q1 - 9:13	MEM	Battier Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	10 46.8%	5 53.2%
Q1 - 9:32	HOU	Yao Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)	8 45.5%	5 54.5%
Q1 - 9:45	MEM	Stoudamire Driving Layup (4 PTS)	8 46.8%	3 53.2%
Q1 - 10:04	HOU	Head 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)	6 45.1%	3 54.9%
Q1 - 10:21	MEM	Wright 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)	6 48.6%	0 51.4%
Q1 - 10:31	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 47.0%	0 53.0%
Q1 - 10:33	HOU	MISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot	4 46.4%	0 53.6%
Q1 - 10:42	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 44.9%	0 55.1%
Q1 - 10:43	MEM	MISS Jones Layup	4 45.5%	0 54.5%
Q1 - 10:48	HOU	Howard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	4 47.0%	0 53.0%
Q1 - 10:49	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	4 44.9%	0 55.1%
Q1 - 10:52	HOU	MISS Yao 8' Hook Shot	4 46.4%	0 53.6%
Q1 - 11:11	MEM	Wright Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)	4 44.9%	0 55.1%
Q1 - 11:27	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	2 43.0%	0 57.0%
Q1 - 11:28	HOU	MISS McGrady Layup	2 42.5%	0 57.5%
Q1 - 11:40	MEM	Stoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	2 41.3%	0 58.7%
Q1 - 11:40	MEM	Stoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	1 41.2%	0 58.8%
Q1 - 12:00	HOU	Jump Ball Yao vs. Gasol: Tip to Jones	0 39.4%	0 60.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.11 55.6%

HOU

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

53%

HOU

67%

Midrange

MEM

40%

HOU

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

22.5

47%

70%

HOU

4.5

20%

30%

Free Throws

MEM

64%

HOU

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Stoudamire	24	100%	12.0 / 12
B. Jackson	18	75%	9.0 / 12
P. Gasol	15	47%	7.5 / 16
S. Battier	14	64%	7.0 / 11
L. Wright	9	50%	4.5 / 9
E. Jones	7	32%	3.5 / 11
M. Miller	3	21%	1.5 / 7
L. Roberts	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Yao	29	69%	14.5 / 21
T. McGrady	12	38%	6.0 / 16
L. Head	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Norris	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Wesley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Swift	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Anderson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Howard	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Bowen	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-15

HOU

+15

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.11 55.6%

HOU

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.9 101.4	MEM 109.8 HOU 91.5 +18.3
Pace	86.4 88.2	MEM 77.0 HOU 87.7 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time	17.3 16.1	MEM 18.7 HOU 16.4 +2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.6% 47.1%	MEM 56.3% +8.5% HOU 47.8%
TO %	14.8% 15.4%	MEM 17.0% +5.7% HOU 22.7%
ORB %	25.8% 25.5%	MEM 27.3% HOU 35.3% +8.0%
FTrt	33.9 31.7	MEM 19.4 HOU 23.5 +4.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.8% 58.3%	MEM 72.7% +8.2% HOU 64.5%
STL %	8.4% 8.1%	MEM 14.6% +1.2% HOU 13.4%
BLK %	8.9% 6.6%	MEM 7.5% HOU 12.5% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.9% 50.3%	MEM 55.6% +7.5% HOU 48.1%
Rim FG%	57.0% 56.1%	MEM 53.3% HOU 66.7% +13.4%
Mid FG%	37.2% 39.3%	MEM 40.0% +1.5% HOU 38.5%
3P %	37.4% 33.2%	MEM 46.9% +26.9% HOU 20.0%
FT %	71.1% 75.9%	MEM 64.3% +1.8% HOU 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	38.4% 32.1%	MEM 20.8% HOU 39.7% +18.9%
Mid Att. %	35.9% 45.3%	MEM 34.7% +3.5% HOU 38.2%
3P Att. %	25.8% 22.6%	MEM 44.4% +22.4% HOU 22.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	HOU
Possessions	82	82
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	90	75
Rebounds	31	36
Assists	24	20
Steals	12	11
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (3)	24 (3)
Field Goals	33-72	31-68
At-the-Rim FG	8-15	18-27
Midrange FG	10-25	10-26
2-Point FG	18-40	28-53
3-Point FG	15-32	3-15
Free Throws	9-14	10-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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8 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 25	41.5	15	47%	7	4	0	2	2	1	1	6	3-4	75%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 32	37.7	24	100%	1	8	0	0	5	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	6-7	86%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 27	37.1	14	64%	0	3	4	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 30	25.2	9	50%	8	0	1	0	2	4	4	4	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Eddie Jones G · 6'6" 200 · 34	19.2	7	32%	3	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-8	13%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 33	25.9	18	75%	1	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	5-8	63%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26	25.5	3	21%	5	5	2	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 26	14.4	0	0%	5	1	1	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Antonio Burks G · 6'0" 195 · 26	7.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lawrence Roberts F · 6'9" 240 · 23	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 23	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
Brian Cardinal #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Roberson #3 · G · 6'2" 180 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	56%	31	24	12	4	15	0	9	22	9-14	64%	18-40	45%	15-32	47%

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8 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 25	41.5	15	47%	7	4	0	2	2	1	1	6	3-4	75%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 32	37.7	24	100%	1	8	0	0	5	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	6-7	86%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 27	37.1	14	64%	0	3	4	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 30	25.2	9	50%	8	0	1	0	2	4	4	4	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Eddie Jones G · 6'6" 200 · 34	19.2	7	32%	3	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-8	13%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 33	25.9	18	75%	1	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	5-8	63%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26	25.5	3	21%	5	5	2	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 26	14.4	0	0%	5	1	1	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Antonio Burks G · 6'0" 195 · 26	7.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lawrence Roberts F · 6'9" 240 · 23	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 23	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
Brian Cardinal #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Roberson #3 · G · 6'2" 180 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	56%	31	24	12	4	15	0	9	22	9-14	64%	18-40	45%	15-32	47%

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18 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 25	38.4	29	69%	7	0	2	0	1	4	5	2	5-5	100%	12-19	63%	0-0	-
Tracy McGrady F · 6'8" 225 · 27	38.0	12	38%	1	7	1	1	3	0	0	1	1-2	50%	4-11	36%	1-4	25%
Luther Head G · 6'3" 185 · 23	34.0	9	50%	4	1	3	0	4	1	0	4	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 35	27.6	5	50%	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 33	24.0	2	20%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 31	25.7	3	30%	6	6	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26	20.4	5	50%	6	1	1	1	5	1	3	3	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Moochie Norris G · 6'1" 185 · 32	17.1	8	57%	4	1	1	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 30	8.2	2	100%	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dikembe Mutombo C · 7'2" 260 · 39	6.6	0	0%	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jon Barry G · 6'5" 210 · 36
Lonny Baxter F · 6'8" 260 · 27
Dion Glover #9 · F-G · 6'5" 225 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Rafer Alston #12 · G · 6'2" 175 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bob Sura #3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	75	48%	36	20	11	5	21	0	12	24	10-16	63%	28-53	53%	3-15	20%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE