FinalWin Prob.pScore
727%89
84
173%97
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.39095.6
SAS logo SAS
105.49387.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Fitch 16' Jump Shot84
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Rebound84
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIADuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)84
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASDuncan 1' Layup (28 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Haslem: Tip to Bowen84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIADuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)84
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)84
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)84
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 283
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 1:06SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)83
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 1:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot83
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 1:31SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)83
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)83
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)82
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 2:01SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)81
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 2:17MIABowen STEAL (1 STL)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 2:24SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)81
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 2:49SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 279
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 2:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)79
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Kapono 9' Jump Bank Shot79
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 3:12SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)79
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)79
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)78
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 3:45SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot77
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 4:06MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)77
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 4:09MIAHeat Rebound75
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Walker 13' Jump Shot75
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot75
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 4:33SASBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)75
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)75
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:18SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)72
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)72
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Walker 3' Layup72
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 5:34MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:35SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot72
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 5:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)72
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Kapono 2' Driving Layup72
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 6:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)72
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)72
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 6:38SASMISS Horry 2' Reverse Layup70
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 6:45SASSPURS Rebound70
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 6:47SASMISS Nesterovic 13' Turnaround Jump Shot70
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 6:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)70
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Walker 2' Layup70
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 7:07SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot70
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 7:23MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)70
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 7:42SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 7:44MIADuncan STEAL (2 STL)68
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 7:53MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 7:55SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot68
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 8:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Simien 15' Jump Shot68
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 8:31SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)68
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 9:01MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Simien 1 AST)68
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 9:03MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot65
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 9:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)65
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 9:32MIASimien 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 9:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 9:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 263
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 9:53SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)63
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)62
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 10:12MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper61
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 10:21SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Simien 5' Jump Shot61
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 10:35SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 10:35SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q4 - 10:50MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q4 - 11:09SASGinobili 4' Finger Roll (17 PTS)59
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q4 - 11:26SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 11:47MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q4 - 11:49SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot59
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS59
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound59
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 46' 3PT Running Jump Shot59
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 2' Layup (19 PTS)59
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0SASMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot57
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMourning 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)57
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHeat Rebound55
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Walker 4' Turnaround Jump Shot55
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASNesterovic 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)55
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 1:10MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 1:27SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)53
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 1:42MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)53
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 1:52SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)51
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)51
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Walker 2' Layup48
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q3 - 2:28MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 2:31SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 2:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q3 - 2:46SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot48
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 2:59MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 247
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 3:07SASMISS Parker 2' Layup47
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 3:16SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q3 - 3:36SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)47
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 3:44SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot47
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q3 - 4:07MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 4:08SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 147
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)47
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 4:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)45
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 4:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Walker 5' Running Jump Shot43
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 5:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q3 - 5:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 243
2.6%
59
97.4%
Q3 - 5:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 243
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 5:25SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q3 - 5:25SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
2.4%
58
97.6%
Q3 - 5:27MIADuncan STEAL (1 STL)43
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 5:33SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot43
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q3 - 5:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q3 - 5:49MIADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)43
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q3 - 6:08SASGinobili 13' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)43
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q3 - 6:26MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)43
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q3 - 6:55MIAHeat Rebound41
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q3 - 6:55SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot41
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q3 - 7:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)41
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q3 - 7:13SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup41
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q3 - 7:28MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)41
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q3 - 7:44SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)39
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q3 - 7:44SASSPURS Rebound39
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q3 - 7:44SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Bank Shot39
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q3 - 8:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot39
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Mourning 1' Layup39
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q3 - 8:29SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 8:29SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 239
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)39
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Mourning Layup39
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 8:43SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)39
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q3 - 8:59SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot39
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 9:09SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)39
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q3 - 9:22MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)39
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 9:44SASDuncan 2' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)36
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 9:52MIAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)36
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q3 - 9:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup36
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q3 - 10:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)36
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 10:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)36
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q3 - 10:28SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q3 - 10:46MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)36
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q3 - 11:25SASNesterovic 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)33
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)33
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA30
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASSPURS Rebound30
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)30
3.4%
47
96.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASSPURS Rebound30
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup30
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot30
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASGinobili 7' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)30
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 1:02SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot30
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 1:23SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)30
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 1:52SASParker 3' Layup (7 PTS)29
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 1:56MIAParker STEAL (2 STL)29
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 2:11SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)29
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 2:34MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 2:34MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 2:47SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot27
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 2:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)27
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup27
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 3:09SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 3:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 3:26SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 3:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHeat Rebound25
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Kapono 23' Jump Shot25
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 3:56SASMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)25
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 4:03SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
7.5%
36
92.5%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot25
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 4:22SASDuncan 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)25
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 4:37SASSPURS Rebound25
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup25
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q2 - 4:58SASBowen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)25
10.3%
34
89.7%
Q2 - 5:03MIABarry STEAL (1 STL)25
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 5:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)25
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 5:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q2 - 5:35SASMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 5:38SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot25
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 5:59SASDuncan 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)25
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 6:14MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)25
18.4%
27
81.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot25
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q2 - 6:44SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)25
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)25
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q2 - 7:19SASMohammed 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)23
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 7:42MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)23
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q2 - 7:59MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q2 - 8:00SASMISS Mohammed 16' Jump Shot20
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q2 - 8:10SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Payton 1' Layup20
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q2 - 8:27SASGinobili 4' Finger Roll (4 PTS)20
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q2 - 8:36SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
20.8%
21
79.2%
Q2 - 8:57SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)20
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q2 - 9:40SASMohammed Foul Turnover (P1.T7)18
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q2 - 9:43SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Walker 7' Turnaround Jump Shot18
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q2 - 9:53MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Mohammed Layup18
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q2 - 9:57SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q2 - 9:59SASMISS Finley 13' Turnaround Jump Shot18
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q2 - 10:25MIAPayton 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)18
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q2 - 10:36SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
18.8%
19
81.2%
Q2 - 10:36SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q2 - 10:48SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)16
20.7%
17
79.3%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
21.5%
17
78.5%
Q2 - 11:03SASMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q2 - 11:18MIAFinley STEAL (1 STL)16
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q2 - 11:23MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.5%
17
78.5%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q2 - 11:45MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS14
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound14
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 30' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot14
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWilliams 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)14
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Williams 3' Layup12
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAHeat Rebound12
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASMISS Mohammed 1' Layup12
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)10
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot10
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 1:18SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 1:26MIAHorry STEAL (1 STL)10
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 1:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.6%
15
84.4%
Q1 - 1:36SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot10
15.3%
15
84.7%
Q1 - 1:55SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot10
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 2:06SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)10
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 2:19MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)10
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 2:40SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 2:50SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Walker 1' Layup10
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 3:10MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.9%
15
84.1%
Q1 - 3:12SASMISS Mohammed 2' Layup10
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)10
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)8
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 3:49SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot8
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)8
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 4:19SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)8
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 4:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 28
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 28
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 5:08SASParker Palming Turnover (P1.T2)8
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)8
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 5:39SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 5:48MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)6
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 6:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 6:08SASNesterovic 1' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)6
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot6
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:22MIAPosey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 6:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot6
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:33SASSPURS Rebound6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 6:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 6:33SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup6
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:34SASMISS Parker 1' Layup6
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper6
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 7:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 7:05SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Jump Shot6
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 7:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.8%
10
85.2%
Q1 - 7:42SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 7:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
13.7%
10
86.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 8:06SASGinobili 2' Layup (2 PTS)4
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 8:29MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P2.T2)4
15.5%
8
84.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.7%
8
83.3%
Q1 - 8:46SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.3%
8
83.7%
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 9:19SASDuncan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.4%
8
86.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot2
13.8%
8
86.2%
Q1 - 9:58SASNesterovic 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMourning 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 10:42SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 10:44SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot0
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 11:00SASSPURS Rebound0
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup0
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 11:18SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)0
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 11:23MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:24MIAHeat Rebound0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 11:25MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:44SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Mourning: Tip to Parker0
19.7%
0
80.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
SAS
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
35
31%
SAS
22
31
71%
Midrange
MIA
12
30
40%
SAS
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
SAS
3
4.5
18
17%
25%
Free Throws
MIA
23
28
82%
SAS
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3155%15.5 / 28
A. Walker1029%5.0 / 17
J. Williams950%4.5 / 9
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
A. Mourning750%3.5 / 7
J. Posey6150%3.0 / 2
J. Kapono531%2.5 / 8
G. Payton450%2.0 / 4
W. Simien233%1.0 / 3
M. Doleac233%1.0 / 3
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
G. Fitch0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2867%14.0 / 21
M. Ginobili2771%13.5 / 19
T. Parker1458%7.0 / 12
B. Bowen1056%5.0 / 9
R. Nesterovic975%4.5 / 6
M. Finley833%4.0 / 12
N. Mohammed220%1.0 / 5
R. Horry0-0.0 / 2
N. Van Exel0-0.0 / 2
B. Barry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+17
-17
90
SAS
78
+16
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
SAS
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
107.1
MIA 93.3 +12.0
SAS 105.4
Pace
92.2
88.8
MIA 95.6 +7.8
SAS 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.9
MIA 15.1 +1.3
SAS 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
51.3%
MIA 39.1%
SAS 48.8% +9.7%
TO %
15.0%
14.8%
MIA 15.8%
SAS 15.6% +0.2%
ORB %
26.8%
26.1%
MIA 27.9% +1.6%
SAS 26.3%
FTrt
36.3
29.8
MIA 35.9 +5.0
SAS 30.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
57.4%
MIA 57.1%
SAS 63.2% +6.1%
STL %
6.9%
7.4%
MIA 10.0%
SAS 11.8% +1.8%
BLK %
8.5%
8.4%
MIA 1.6%
SAS 9.2% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
53.1%
MIA 45.7%
SAS 52.1% +6.4%
Rim FG%
64.2%
61.7%
MIA 31.4%
SAS 71.0% +39.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.0%
MIA 40.0%
SAS 40.6% +0.6%
3P %
34.5%
38.5%
MIA 38.5% +21.8%
SAS 16.7%
FT %
70.0%
70.2%
MIA 82.1% +6.1%
SAS 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
36.7%
MIA 44.9% +6.6%
SAS 38.3%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
41.8%
MIA 38.5% +1.0%
SAS 39.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
21.5%
MIA 16.7%
SAS 22.2% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9093
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points8498
Rebounds4041
Assists1624
Steals911
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)31 (3)
Field Goals28-7838-81
At-the-Rim FG11-3522-31
Midrange FG12-3013-32
2-Point FG23-6535-63
3-Point FG5-133-18
Free Throws23-2819-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
40.3
31
55%
6
10
1
0
5
4
2
4
15-17
88%
8-19
42%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
30.1
7
50%
7
0
0
0
2
4
3
4
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
28.9
8
57%
6
0
2
0
1
5
4
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
25.3
9
50%
1
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
21.2
6
150%
6
0
1
0
3
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
26.1
10
29%
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-13
15%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
25.2
5
31%
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
22.8
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
5.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
5.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
40
16
9
1
17
0
12
28
23-28
82%
23-65
35%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.