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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 10, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls32%95118
18Wizards68%100111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
42.1
31.9
22
66%
7
13
2
1
0
4
1
6
3-4
75%
8-13
3-8
62%
42%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
41.1
32.6
21
59%
12
2
2
1
1
4
3
9
1-2
50%
10-17
5-12
59%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.3
32.0
30.0
24
92%
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
39%
6-9
67%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.0
27.0
22.8
13
55%
4
2
1
0
2
4
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.1
19.5
27.4
10
50%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.8
24.5
17.6
15
61%
6
3
1
1
1
2
2
4
5-5
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.2
23.6
23.3
4
60%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-3
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.2
12.5
3.6
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.1
8.3
21.8
3
30%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
4.9
8.2
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.8
4.0
11.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
0.6
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
43.7
39.2
42
68%
4
7
6
2
1
9
0
4
16-20
80%
7-15
6-12
47%
47%
4-7
57%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
39.6
37.4
16
44%
12
1
1
1
0
3
2
10
5-7
71%
4-12
7-13
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
35.6
29.9
11
53%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-3
100%
4-8
3-8
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.0
29.4
23.5
16
82%
7
2
0
1
2
3
5
2
4-4
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
23.3
29.1
8
57%
2
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.7
26.5
23.1
16
66%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
6-7
86%
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
16.3
14.8
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.9
11.2
8.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.3
10.4
5.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-3
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.7
4.1
22.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.6
5.1
0
0-1
47%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.6
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.6
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.3
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.