FinalWin Prob.pScore
2926%86
85
1974%94
100
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
89.595101.3
HOU logo HOU
104.29690.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU85
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 8' Jump Shot85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ATLMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:27HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27HOUYao Layup (22 PTS)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28HOUMISS Wesley 15' Jump Shot83
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 1:51HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 1:53ATLMISS Stoudamire 12' Jump Shot83
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 2:10ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 2:12HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 2:36HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)83
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 2:37ATLMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot83
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 2:53HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 2:53HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 283
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 2:53HOUROCKETS Rebound83
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 2:54HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot83
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:15ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 3:15ATLWilliams Dunk (11 PTS)83
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 3:18ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:24HOUAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)81
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 3:36HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 3:59HOUYao 5' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)81
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 4:17HOUROCKETS Rebound81
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 4:19ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 4:25HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 4:25HOUWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 4:32ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 4:32ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 4:34HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P8.T18)79
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 4:45ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)79
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 5:08HOUHoward Layup (12 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)79
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 5:15HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 5:16ATLMISS Johnson Layup79
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 5:27HOUROCKETS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#17)79
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 5:39ATLStoudamire 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)79
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 5:44HOUAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)77
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 5:57ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)77
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 6:01ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 6:03HOUMISS Head 17' Jump Shot77
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 6:21ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 6:21ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 6:22ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot75
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 6:42ATLStoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)75
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 6:48HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T15)72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 6:56HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 6:59ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 7:16HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)72
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 7:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:37ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 272
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:37ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 272
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 7:44ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 7:46ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 272
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:46ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 7:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)71
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:56HOUMISS Mutombo 9' Jump Shot71
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 8:11ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)71
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 8:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 8:14ATLMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot68
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 8:33HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (23 PTS)68
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 8:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 8:49ATLMISS Childress Dunk68
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 9:05HOUSwift 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 9:12HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 9:15HOUMISS McGrady 24' Jump Shot68
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 9:32HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 9:34ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot68
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 9:44ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 9:46HOUMISS Mutombo 8' Jump Shot68
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 9:55HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 9:56ATLMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot68
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 10:05ATLHawks Rebound68
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 10:06ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot68
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 10:22HOUHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)68
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 10:38ATLHarrington 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)68
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 11:03HOUHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)66
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 11:14HOUAnderson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)66
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 11:29ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)66
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q4 - 11:30ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q4 - 11:32HOUMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot66
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q4 - 11:34HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q4 - 11:36HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL66
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound66
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 18' Running Jump Shot66
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)66
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot66
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (3 PTS)66
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0HOUROCKETS Rebound66
16.0%
69
84.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Anderson Layup66
18.0%
69
82.0%
Q3 - 1:19ATLEdwards Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 1:19ATLMISS Edwards Free Throw 1 of 265
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 1:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 1:24HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 1:32HOUROCKETS Rebound65
13.6%
69
86.4%
Q3 - 1:33HOUMISS Wesley 23' Jump Shot65
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 1:42HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
13.6%
69
86.4%
Q3 - 1:44ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 2:01HOUWesley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)65
16.3%
69
83.7%
Q3 - 2:04HOUROCKETS Rebound65
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q3 - 2:06HOUMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 165
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 2:24ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
25.1%
65
74.9%
Q3 - 2:29HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)63
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 2:48ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)63
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q3 - 3:01ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)60
14.3%
65
85.7%
Q3 - 3:13HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)59
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 3:27ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 3:42ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 3:44HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot57
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 3:57HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 3:59ATLMISS Edwards 20' Jump Shot57
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 4:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 4:21HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 4:29HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 4:31ATLMISS Pachulia Layup57
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 4:45HOUYao Foul Turnover (P2.T12)57
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 4:57HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 4:58ATLMISS Harrington Layup57
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 5:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)57
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 5:18HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 257
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 5:18HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 5:38ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)57
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 5:56HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T11)55
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 6:04HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 6:06ATLMISS Pachulia Layup55
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 6:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)55
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 6:10ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 6:18ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 6:20HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot55
7.9%
64
92.1%
Q3 - 6:28HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 6:29ATLMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Shot55
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 6:43HOUYao 5' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)55
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 6:52ATLStoudamire Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)55
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 6:54ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 6:55HOUMISS Head 15' Jump Shot55
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 7:20ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)55
9.6%
62
90.4%
Q3 - 7:40HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)55
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 7:43HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
9.6%
62
90.4%
Q3 - 7:46ATLMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)55
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 8:02HOUYao 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)55
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 8:22HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 8:23ATLMISS Pachulia Layup55
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 8:32ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 8:33HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot55
14.2%
60
85.8%
Q3 - 8:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 8:45ATLYao BLOCK (2 BLK)55
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 8:54ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 8:56ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 9:14HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 9:23HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
16.5%
58
83.5%
Q3 - 9:24ATLMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot55
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 9:44HOUYao Dunk (10 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)55
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 9:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q3 - 9:55ATLYao BLOCK (1 BLK)55
21.7%
56
78.3%
Q3 - 10:11ATLHawks Rebound55
23.2%
56
76.8%
Q3 - 10:14HOUMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot55
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q3 - 10:35ATLHarrington 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)55
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 10:49HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)53
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q3 - 10:49HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)53
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 11:01HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 11:03ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot53
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q3 - 11:23HOUYao 4' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)53
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q3 - 11:43ATLHarrington 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
25.1%
52
74.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU51
22.7%
52
77.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)51
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)48
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLStoudamire 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0HOUMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot46
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot46
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)46
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot46
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 1:19ATLStoudamire 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)46
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 1:30HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q2 - 1:30HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 1:30ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)44
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 1:45HOUBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 1:49ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)44
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 1:52HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 2:01ATLJohnson Layup (11 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)44
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 2:04HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)42
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 2:18ATLPachulia 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 2:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)40
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 2:32HOUMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 240
11.9%
47
88.1%
Q2 - 2:32HOUBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 2:40HOUROCKETS Rebound40
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 2:40HOUMISS Yao Layup40
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 2:43HOUROCKETS Rebound40
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 2:43HOUMISS Wesley Layup40
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 2:49ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 2:49ATLMISS Stoudamire Free Throw 1 of 239
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 3:03HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)39
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 3:03HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)39
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 3:16ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 3:16ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 238
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 3:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 3:21HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot38
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 3:31HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
12.2%
44
87.8%
Q2 - 3:32ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot38
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 3:52HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 3:52HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q2 - 4:06ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 4:06ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 237
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 4:09HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)37
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 4:23ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 4:37HOUHead 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 4:53ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 4:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
11.1%
40
88.9%
Q2 - 5:01HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 5:25HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 232
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 232
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 5:40HOUAnderson Layup (7 PTS) (Head 3 AST)32
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 5:53ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
12.3%
38
87.7%
Q2 - 5:53ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 231
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 6:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 6:01HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot31
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 6:17ATLIvey 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 6:44HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 6:51HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 6:53ATLMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot29
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 7:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)29
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 7:04ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot29
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 7:17HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Head 2 AST)29
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 7:42ATLIvey Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 8:01HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 8:01HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 8:01HOUROCKETS Rebound27
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 8:01ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot27
17.1%
30
82.9%
Q2 - 8:15HOUSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q2 - 8:15HOUMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 227
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 8:35ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)27
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 8:52ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q2 - 8:54HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 9:14ATLEdwards 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)25
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 9:19HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)23
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q2 - 9:23HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 9:24ATLMISS Edwards Free Throw 2 of 223
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q2 - 9:24ATLEdwards Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q2 - 9:37ATLHawks Rebound22
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q2 - 9:39HOUMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot22
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q2 - 9:56ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)22
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 10:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 10:11HOUMISS McGrady 13' Jump Shot22
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 10:32ATLEdwards Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)22
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 10:44HOUSwift Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 10:56ATLHead STEAL (3 STL)22
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q2 - 11:14HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)22
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q2 - 11:14HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 222
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 11:23HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q2 - 11:25HOUMISS Swift Dunk22
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 11:40HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q2 - 11:41ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 11:41ATLMISS Childress Tip Shot22
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot22
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU22
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)22
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)22
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot20
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 1:06ATLMutombo STEAL (1 STL)20
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 1:18HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 1:47ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)20
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 1:58ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)18
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 2:15ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15.3%
22
84.7%
Q1 - 2:16HOUMISS Wesley Layup17
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 2:34ATLPachulia 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)17
14.2%
22
85.8%
Q1 - 2:51HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)15
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 2:55HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
15.4%
19
84.6%
Q1 - 2:57HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 3:10HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:12HOUMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot15
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 3:26ATLJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)15
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:42HOUHead Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 3:59ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
17.8%
17
82.2%
Q1 - 4:07ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 4:08HOUMISS Head 19' Jump Shot13
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 4:24ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 4:24ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q1 - 4:36ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 4:37HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot11
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 4:47HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 4:48ATLMISS Pachulia Layup11
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 5:03HOUAnderson Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)11
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 5:17ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)11
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 5:35HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 5:53ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 5:53ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 6:06HOUYao 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)7
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 6:25ATLHarrington 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)7
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 6:30ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 6:32HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot5
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 6:41HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 6:43ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot5
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 6:47HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 7:00ATLHead STEAL (2 STL)5
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 7:14HOUMcGrady 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)5
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 7:27HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)5
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 25
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:28ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
14.0%
11
86.0%
Q1 - 7:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)4
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:30ATLMISS Harrington Layup4
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 7:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)4
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:44HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS)4
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:46HOUMISS Head Layup4
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 7:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 7:56HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot4
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 8:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 8:16ATLPachulia Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Johnson Layup2
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 8:30ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 8:31HOUMISS Head Layup2
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 8:36HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 8:37ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 8:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 8:50HOUMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot2
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 8:58HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 8:59ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup2
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 9:04HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 9:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 9:14ATLMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot2
12.5%
9
87.5%
Q1 - 9:33HOUHead 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)2
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 9:40ATLHead STEAL (1 STL)2
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:43ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 9:45HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot2
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 9:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:54ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.2%
6
84.8%
Q1 - 10:12HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)2
16.0%
6
84.0%
Q1 - 10:12HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)2
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 10:16HOUROCKETS Rebound2
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:16HOUMISS McGrady Layup2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:26HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:28ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot2
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 10:50HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Head 1 AST)2
18.1%
4
81.9%
Q1 - 11:10ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 11:19ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot0
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 11:41HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Smith: Tip to McGrady0
19.2%
0
80.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.91 45.7%
HOU
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
8
22
36%
HOU
17
26
65%
Midrange
ATL
19
42
45%
HOU
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
HOU
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
ATL
22
34
65%
HOU
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1740%8.5 / 21
A. Harrington1441%7.0 / 17
S. Stoudamire1450%7.0 / 14
Z. Pachulia1343%6.5 / 15
M. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
J. Smith650%3.0 / 6
J. Edwards450%2.0 / 4
R. Ivey4100%2.0 / 2
J. Childress233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2557%12.5 / 22
Yao2566%12.5 / 19
L. Head1246%6.0 / 13
J. Howard1275%6.0 / 8
D. Wesley1045%5.0 / 11
D. Anderson1045%5.0 / 11
S. Swift563%2.5 / 4
R. Bowen150%0.5 / 1
D. Mutombo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
80
+12
-15
92
HOU
78
+16
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.91 45.7%
HOU
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
101.4
ATL 89.5 +14.7
HOU 104.2
Pace
90.3
88.2
ATL 101.3 +11.0
HOU 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.1
ATL 14.2 +1.7
HOU 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
47.1%
ATL 41.4%
HOU 48.1% +6.7%
TO %
16.5%
15.4%
ATL 15.0% +2.2%
HOU 17.2%
ORB %
31.5%
25.5%
ATL 21.3%
HOU 24.3% +3.0%
FTrt
34.0
31.7
ATL 44.7 +5.0
HOU 39.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
58.3%
ATL 56.7% +11.0%
HOU 45.7%
STL %
7.8%
8.1%
ATL 13.7% +7.4%
HOU 6.3%
BLK %
7.5%
6.6%
ATL 8.1% +3.4%
HOU 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
50.3%
ATL 45.7%
HOU 52.6% +6.9%
Rim FG%
55.8%
56.1%
ATL 36.4%
HOU 65.4% +29.0%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.3%
ATL 45.2% +9.1%
HOU 36.1%
3P %
36.7%
33.2%
ATL 25.0%
HOU 31.3% +6.3%
FT %
75.0%
75.9%
ATL 64.7%
HOU 80.6% +15.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
32.1%
ATL 28.9%
HOU 33.3% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
45.3%
ATL 55.3%
HOU 46.2% +9.1%
3P Att. %
17.8%
22.6%
ATL 15.8%
HOU 20.5% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points85100
Rebounds3846
Assists1716
Steals136
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)9 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)37 (2)
Field Goals30-7635-78
At-the-Rim FG8-2217-26
Midrange FG19-4213-36
2-Point FG27-6430-62
3-Point FG3-125-16
Free Throws22-3425-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 24
42.7
17
40%
4
7
4
1
5
0
1
3
4-5
80%
5-16
31%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
38.5
14
41%
9
4
4
0
2
4
1
8
4-7
57%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
37.4
13
43%
9
1
2
1
1
3
5
4
5-8
63%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
26.9
14
50%
5
1
0
2
2
1
1
4
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 20
23.3
6
50%
2
0
0
0
2
5
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 19
25.9
11
61%
5
1
1
0
1
5
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22
24.5
2
33%
4
2
2
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
10.6
4
50%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
6.5
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 265 · 30
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22
G · 6'7" 215 · 22
#00 · G · 6'2" 189 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
46%
38
17
13
5
15
0
10
28
22-34
65%
27-64
42%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.