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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 29, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks26%8685
19Rockets74%94100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
42.7
39.4
17
38%
4
7
4
1
1
5
1
3
4-5
80%
5-16
5-12
31%
45%
1-4
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.8
38.5
39.6
14
41%
9
4
4
1
0
2
1
8
4-7
57%
5-13
7-15
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.8
37.4
31.6
13
45%
9
1
2
1
1
1
5
4
5-8
63%
4-11
4-9
36%
43%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
26.9
23.3
14
51%
5
1
0
1
2
2
1
4
5-6
83%
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.0
23.3
26.1
6
52%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.4
25.9
16.0
11
61%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
42%
1-2
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.4
24.5
25.9
2
33%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.3
10.6
8.0
4
53%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.9
6.5
1.1
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
3.7
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.2
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
0.7
0
0-0
40%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.8
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.0
38.2
36.2
10
46%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
2-4
50%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
35.8
36.2
12
47%
6
3
3
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
2-5
40%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.5
34.0
10.8
25
59%
9
5
1
0
1
8
0
9
11-12
92%
7-14
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.2
33.4
33.9
25
64%
12
1
0
1
2
3
3
9
5-6
83%
10-17
7-14
59%
55%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.8
31.5
24.8
12
72%
7
3
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-3
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.4
31.9
31.5
10
42%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.4
14.5
8.2
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.0
12.3
20.4
5
64%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.0
8.3
13.0
1
57%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.3
28.2
1
2-5
45%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
7.1
0
1-2
40%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 26.8
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 27.1
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.7
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.