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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 29, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Lakers18%9084
1Spurs82%10190
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
42.4
39.7
27
51%
16
3
0
1
0
2
9
7
1-3
33%
10-22
4-8
45%
46%
2-3
67%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
41.4
41.5
25
34%
4
0
4
1
1
3
1
3
7-8
88%
9-27
10-23
33%
45%
0-6
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
27.1
28.9
10
63%
4
1
3
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.4
23.8
25.6
6
39%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
17.1
29.3
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-7
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
23.8
19.6
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.7
21.8
16.8
10
67%
3
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
37%
3-4
75%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.1
21.3
9.6
6
50%
6
0
0
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.2
12.3
4.4
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.3
4.8
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.1
4.3
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
2.2
0
0-1
38%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.3
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.7
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
36.9
33.2
16
50%
9
5
0
1
0
5
0
9
4-7
57%
6-13
8-15
46%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.5
36.0
29.8
11
79%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
33.5
32.5
10
39%
6
5
1
1
0
4
0
6
2-4
50%
4-11
7-13
36%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.3
29.6
28.7
22
70%
8
2
0
1
2
2
1
7
2-4
50%
7-11
4-7
64%
51%
2-3
67%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
26.3
18.6
6
60%
6
0
1
0
3
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.7
24.4
24.3
12
47%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
14.8
14.9
5
43%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
14.5
16.9
4
69%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.3
13.7
15.8
2
27%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.9
8.4
15.1
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
51%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
1.8
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.4
6.0
0
1-1
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.