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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 30, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Grizzlies68%10092
26Raptors32%9466
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
33.8
34.3
18
62%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
3-5
60%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.2
33.6
36.7
7
90%
4
4
2
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
30.3
38.7
15
60%
10
4
1
1
0
6
2
8
1-1
100%
7-11
8-17
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.2
29.8
32.4
19
76%
6
2
2
1
0
4
1
5
1-1
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
43%
2-2
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
24.1
25.6
6
47%
6
0
1
1
1
2
2
4
2-3
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
27.9
26.3
12
45%
2
8
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
19.4
6.1
9
46%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
4-8
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.8
12.8
4.2
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.4
12.7
6.9
4
52%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
12.7
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.5
2.9
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.8
9.3
0
1-2
45%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
35.4
28.0
6
44%
1
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
35.2
30.5
14
67%
2
2
4
1
0
5
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.7
31.9
34.1
15
41%
8
0
0
1
3
3
3
5
5-5
100%
5-16
6-13
31%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.4
28.4
34.4
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
0-6
4-9
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
12.8
14.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.3
31.6
24.2
9
38%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
25.1
21.4
8
52%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-4
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
21.9
19.1
12
68%
5
2
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
12.0
22.7
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.7
5.5
4.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.4
3.0
0
0-1
41%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.