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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 28, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nets34%92101
11Nuggets66%9792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.7
39.6
38.5
13
51%
8
5
2
2
1
5
0
8
3-4
75%
5-5
4-9
100%
41%
0-6
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.4
36.0
36.8
24
72%
6
4
1
1
0
6
1
5
3-6
50%
6-10
4-9
60%
47%
3-4
75%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.3
29.5
31.0
2
20%
2
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-4
5-11
25%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
29.4
34.0
25
70%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
10-11
91%
3-8
6-13
38%
44%
3-5
60%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.0
29.1
24.7
10
56%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
1-4
57%
40%
0-1
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
26.6
21.8
12
44%
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
4-6
67%
4-10
2-6
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.0
26.0
26.8
7
51%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
39%
1-3
33%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 30.9
7.0
9.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.6
5.0
2.8
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
4.5
8.8
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.2
4.2
9.9
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
3.4
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
40.8
31.6
10
33%
10
9
6
1
1
2
6
4
10-12
83%
0-10
4-9
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
35.4
34.1
10
36%
10
0
4
1
1
3
4
6
2-4
50%
4-12
6-11
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.9
26.5
21.1
26
62%
7
0
1
1
0
0
5
2
6-9
67%
10-17
4-8
59%
50%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.6
12.9
15.4
4
52%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
1.5
34.3
2
53%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
7-14
0%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.5
35.8
24.7
24
57%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-7
57%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
4-9
44%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.2
30.4
22.9
2
33%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
17.2
4.9
4
28%
2
0
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-5
40%
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
16.7
25.1
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 20.9
10.9
11.2
6
80%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.5
6.6
13.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.7
5.4
21.6
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.0
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.