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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 2, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bobcats30%94100
14Warriors70%101107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.2
39.0
32.2
19
50%
10
3
2
1
6
3
3
7
11-14
79%
4-13
5-11
31%
44%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.1
34.0
31.0
19
53%
5
9
2
2
0
0
0
5
7-9
78%
6-13
4-9
46%
42%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.2
30.8
29.8
14
54%
11
0
0
0
0
2
8
3
6-7
86%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
26.9
32.4
10
56%
2
1
4
2
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
48%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
18.9
32.8
6
31%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-6
4-9
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.6
17.2
18.7
10
91%
2
0
0
0
2
3
0
2
8-8
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.6
16.2
12.6
5
51%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.9
15.3
7.9
2
20%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.3
15.2
8.5
7
61%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.4
14.0
16.2
5
31%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-4
25%
39%
1-4
25%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.7
7.9
16.8
3
31%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
4.7
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.6
45.1
37.0
21
49%
5
14
1
2
1
5
3
2
6-8
75%
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
3-9
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
38.5
38.0
22
45%
6
2
3
1
0
2
2
4
6-8
75%
8-16
6-13
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
30.8
35.4
18
51%
12
0
0
1
0
1
1
11
6-6
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.7
30.2
24.6
12
68%
12
1
0
0
5
1
3
9
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
16.0
29.9
2
50%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.3
36.0
23.5
17
70%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-5
80%
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
3-7
43%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.7
13.1
11.1
6
75%
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
56%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
12.6
13.0
2
17%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
8.4
9.2
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.5
7.1
4.4
1
13%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
2.2
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.1
2.2
0
0-1
44%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.