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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 9, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Celtics17%8889
1Spurs83%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.2
42.8
40.0
19
52%
3
7
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
9-17
6-13
53%
46%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
38.2
36.1
24
57%
7
2
0
1
0
3
1
6
9-9
100%
6-15
6-12
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
30.9
33.9
10
56%
3
4
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
44%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
21.5
17.7
3
54%
10
0
0
0
1
3
3
7
3-4
75%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
16.4
22.6
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.0
35.3
25.3
19
57%
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
8-15
4-8
53%
49%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.9
17.4
20.6
5
66%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.8
17.3
13.8
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
37%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
12.5
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.2
5.3
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
1.2
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
1.2
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.9
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
37.0
35.3
20
69%
11
3
2
1
5
3
2
9
6-8
75%
7-11
8-15
64%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.5
35.6
33.2
9
41%
7
1
2
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
27.3
33.4
16
45%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
4-13
7-13
31%
53%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
25.0
22.5
4
100%
6
2
0
0
6
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
24.3
28.2
14
62%
0
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.9
21.0
14.3
8
57%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
20.7
13.1
6
52%
1
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.8
19.2
25.4
11
62%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
14.4
14.1
7
74%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
14.2
3.1
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.4
1.3
3.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.3
18.0
1
1-3
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.