FinalWin Prob.pScore
178%99
84
2922%89
94
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
92.39186.3
ATL logo ATL
102.29297.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASATL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Parker Layup84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLHAWKS Rebound84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)84
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 284
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLHarrington Driving Layup (11 PTS)83
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 1:07SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q4 - 1:07SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)82
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 1:11ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)81
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 1:31ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)81
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 1:34SASMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot81
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 1:44ATLChildress 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harrington 5 AST)81
9.2%
88
90.8%
Q4 - 1:48ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
14.2%
86
85.8%
Q4 - 2:13SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 281
16.8%
86
83.2%
Q4 - 2:13SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 2:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
18.9%
86
81.1%
Q4 - 2:16SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 2:42ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)80
19.6%
86
80.4%
Q4 - 3:04ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q4 - 3:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
20.8%
86
79.2%
Q4 - 3:07SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot80
14.5%
86
85.5%
Q4 - 3:09SASMISS Ginobili Layup80
14.5%
86
85.5%
Q4 - 3:29ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)80
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q4 - 3:50ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)80
18.5%
86
81.5%
Q4 - 3:52SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup80
20.3%
86
79.7%
Q4 - 4:03SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
24.6%
86
75.4%
Q4 - 4:04ATLMISS Pachulia Layup80
22.4%
86
77.6%
Q4 - 4:06SASPachulia STEAL (1 STL)80
18.0%
86
82.0%
Q4 - 4:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
24.5%
86
75.5%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMISS Johnson Layup80
22.3%
86
77.7%
Q4 - 4:25ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
17.7%
86
82.3%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Duncan Layup80
19.4%
86
80.6%
Q4 - 4:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
23.9%
86
76.1%
Q4 - 4:43ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot80
21.8%
86
78.2%
Q4 - 4:50ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)80
17.4%
86
82.6%
Q4 - 4:52ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot80
21.7%
86
78.3%
Q4 - 5:10ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)80
23.5%
86
76.5%
Q4 - 5:11SASMISS Parker Driving Layup80
25.5%
86
74.5%
Q4 - 5:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
30.2%
86
69.8%
Q4 - 5:21ATLMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot80
28.0%
86
72.0%
Q4 - 5:50SASDuncan Driving Layup (12 PTS)80
23.2%
86
76.8%
Q4 - 6:06ATLChildress Driving Layup (11 PTS)78
23.6%
86
76.4%
Q4 - 6:12SASChildress STEAL (1 STL)78
28.3%
84
71.7%
Q4 - 6:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
35.8%
84
64.2%
Q4 - 6:21ATLMISS Lue 14' Jump Shot78
33.4%
84
66.6%
Q4 - 6:47SASParker 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)78
28.0%
84
72.0%
Q4 - 7:08ATLLue 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
28.5%
84
71.5%
Q4 - 7:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)76
33.4%
82
66.6%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Finley 13' Fadeaway Jumper76
35.5%
82
64.5%
Q4 - 7:39ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)76
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q4 - 8:00SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
53.2%
79
46.8%
Q4 - 8:21ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)74
49.3%
79
50.7%
Q4 - 8:21ATLPachulia Layup (19 PTS)74
49.3%
79
50.7%
Q4 - 8:24ATLMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot74
60.0%
77
40.0%
Q4 - 8:46ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
55.5%
77
44.5%
Q4 - 8:48SASMISS Parker Layup74
57.5%
77
42.5%
Q4 - 9:06ATLChildress 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)74
63.9%
77
36.1%
Q4 - 9:18ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
68.9%
75
31.1%
Q4 - 9:19SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot74
70.6%
75
29.4%
Q4 - 9:41ATLChildress Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)74
74.0%
75
26.0%
Q4 - 9:46SASLue STEAL (1 STL)74
78.2%
73
21.8%
Q4 - 9:58ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
82.1%
73
17.9%
Q4 - 9:58ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
83.0%
72
17.0%
Q4 - 10:15SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)74
84.8%
71
15.2%
Q4 - 10:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
87.7%
71
12.3%
Q4 - 10:21ATLMISS Lue 21' Jump Shot74
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 10:52SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)74
84.8%
71
15.2%
Q4 - 11:10ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)71
77.5%
71
22.5%
Q4 - 11:27ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q4 - 11:29SASChildress BLOCK (1 BLK)71
81.9%
69
18.1%
Q4 - 11:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q4 - 11:41ATLMISS Lue 12' Jump Shot71
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound71
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot71
83.3%
69
16.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)71
81.4%
69
18.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLLue 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
84.3%
69
15.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASParker Layup (16 PTS)71
86.9%
67
13.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
84.3%
67
15.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot69
83.4%
67
16.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
81.3%
67
18.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q3 - 1:23ATLJohnson 4' Layup (22 PTS)69
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q3 - 1:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)69
86.8%
65
13.2%
Q3 - 1:50SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
84.4%
63
15.6%
Q3 - 1:50SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 265
83.7%
63
16.3%
Q3 - 1:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
84.5%
63
15.5%
Q3 - 1:58ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot65
83.7%
63
16.3%
Q3 - 2:17SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Finley 6 AST)65
81.4%
63
18.6%
Q3 - 2:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
75.4%
63
24.6%
Q3 - 2:26ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q3 - 2:32ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
71.4%
63
28.6%
Q3 - 2:35SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
72.7%
63
27.3%
Q3 - 2:51ATLSmith Layup (7 PTS)62
75.4%
63
24.6%
Q3 - 2:53ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
78.4%
61
21.6%
Q3 - 2:56ATLMISS Smith Layup62
80.7%
61
19.3%
Q3 - 3:16SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)62
78.6%
61
21.4%
Q3 - 3:31ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)59
72.2%
61
27.8%
Q3 - 3:31ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)59
73.0%
60
27.0%
Q3 - 3:34SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)59
75.5%
59
24.5%
Q3 - 3:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
78.8%
59
21.2%
Q3 - 3:40ATLMISS Lue 21' Jump Shot59
77.8%
59
22.2%
Q3 - 3:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
75.4%
59
24.6%
Q3 - 3:53SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
76.5%
59
23.5%
Q3 - 4:03SASSpurs Rebound59
79.3%
59
20.7%
Q3 - 4:06SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 259
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 4:06SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 259
78.1%
59
21.9%
Q3 - 4:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
79.3%
59
20.7%
Q3 - 4:23ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 259
78.8%
59
21.2%
Q3 - 4:23ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 259
77.1%
59
22.9%
Q3 - 4:33ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
75.8%
59
24.2%
Q3 - 4:36SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 259
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 4:36SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
78.2%
59
21.8%
Q3 - 4:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 4:44ATLMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot58
75.2%
59
24.8%
Q3 - 4:57SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)58
72.5%
59
27.5%
Q3 - 4:57SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
71.3%
59
28.7%
Q3 - 5:04ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
70.0%
59
30.0%
Q3 - 5:04ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q3 - 5:06ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
73.1%
57
26.9%
Q3 - 5:08SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot56
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q3 - 5:36ATLHarrington Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)56
76.5%
57
23.5%
Q3 - 5:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
79.1%
55
20.9%
Q3 - 5:41SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot56
80.0%
55
20.0%
Q3 - 6:05ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)56
82.1%
55
17.9%
Q3 - 6:05ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)56
82.6%
54
17.4%
Q3 - 6:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
84.1%
53
15.9%
Q3 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 255
83.6%
53
16.4%
Q3 - 6:40ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
84.3%
53
15.7%
Q3 - 6:40ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
84.8%
52
15.2%
Q3 - 7:00SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)55
86.2%
51
13.8%
Q3 - 7:27ATLPachulia 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
84.0%
51
16.0%
Q3 - 7:49ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
85.7%
49
14.3%
Q3 - 7:51SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot53
86.4%
49
13.6%
Q3 - 8:04SASSpurs Rebound53
87.9%
49
12.1%
Q3 - 8:04ATLMISS Pachulia Layup53
87.3%
49
12.7%
Q3 - 8:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
85.9%
49
14.1%
Q3 - 8:04ATLMISS Smith Layup53
87.3%
49
12.7%
Q3 - 8:19SASGinobili Driving Layup (15 PTS)53
85.9%
49
14.1%
Q3 - 8:31SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
84.2%
49
15.8%
Q3 - 8:34SASMISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot51
82.6%
49
17.4%
Q3 - 8:55ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
84.2%
49
15.8%
Q3 - 8:55ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 251
84.7%
48
15.3%
Q3 - 8:58ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
83.9%
48
16.1%
Q3 - 9:00SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot51
84.6%
48
15.4%
Q3 - 9:18ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)51
86.2%
48
13.8%
Q3 - 9:25SASIvey STEAL (2 STL)51
87.8%
46
12.2%
Q3 - 9:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
89.3%
46
10.7%
Q3 - 9:43ATLMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
88.9%
46
11.1%
Q3 - 9:52SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
87.8%
46
12.2%
Q3 - 9:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 250
87.3%
46
12.7%
Q3 - 10:03ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
88.2%
46
11.8%
Q3 - 10:03ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 250
88.5%
45
11.5%
Q3 - 10:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
88.0%
45
12.0%
Q3 - 10:06ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot50
89.1%
45
10.9%
Q3 - 10:24SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)50
88.0%
45
12.0%
Q3 - 10:40ATLPachulia Driving Layup (12 PTS)50
89.5%
45
10.5%
Q3 - 10:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
90.7%
43
9.3%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot50
91.1%
43
8.9%
Q3 - 11:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
92.0%
43
8.0%
Q3 - 11:20ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 250
91.9%
43
8.1%
Q3 - 11:20ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
91.2%
43
8.8%
Q3 - 11:45SASGinobili Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)50
92.0%
42
8.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
90.9%
42
9.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot48
90.1%
42
9.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
90.5%
42
9.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker Layup48
90.0%
42
10.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Reverse Layup (16 PTS)48
90.6%
42
9.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
91.9%
40
8.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot48
92.2%
40
7.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
92.6%
40
7.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
92.0%
40
8.0%
Q2 - 1:00SASMISS Ginobili Layup48
92.2%
40
7.8%
Q2 - 1:18ATLJohnson Driving Layup (14 PTS)48
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q2 - 1:33SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
93.6%
38
6.4%
Q2 - 1:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
92.3%
38
7.7%
Q2 - 1:56ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup46
92.2%
38
7.8%
Q2 - 2:08ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
91.4%
38
8.6%
Q2 - 2:10SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot46
91.7%
38
8.3%
Q2 - 2:35ATLHarrington 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
92.3%
38
7.7%
Q2 - 2:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
93.2%
36
6.8%
Q2 - 2:50SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot46
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q2 - 3:12ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)46
93.8%
36
6.2%
Q2 - 3:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
95.0%
33
5.0%
Q2 - 3:21SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot46
95.2%
33
4.8%
Q2 - 3:38ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
95.6%
33
4.4%
Q2 - 3:57SASParker Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)46
95.0%
33
5.0%
Q2 - 4:21ATLPachulia 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)44
94.3%
33
5.7%
Q2 - 4:41SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)44
94.9%
31
5.1%
Q2 - 4:56ATLJohnson Driving Layup (12 PTS)41
93.6%
31
6.4%
Q2 - 5:01SASIvey STEAL (1 STL)41
94.2%
29
5.8%
Q2 - 5:20ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)41
94.8%
29
5.2%
Q2 - 5:38SASDuncan Layup (8 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)41
95.3%
27
4.7%
Q2 - 5:54ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
94.8%
27
5.2%
Q2 - 6:16SASFinley 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
95.2%
25
4.8%
Q2 - 6:26ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)37
94.8%
25
5.2%
Q2 - 6:41SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)37
94.1%
25
5.9%
Q2 - 6:48ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
92.9%
25
7.1%
Q2 - 7:02SASParker Layup (8 PTS)34
91.8%
25
8.2%
Q2 - 7:23ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)32
91.1%
25
8.9%
Q2 - 7:41SASBarry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)32
91.8%
23
8.2%
Q2 - 7:59ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
91.1%
23
8.9%
Q2 - 8:16SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)30
91.6%
21
8.4%
Q2 - 8:31SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
90.0%
21
10.0%
Q2 - 8:33ATLMISS Harrington Layup27
89.7%
21
10.3%
Q2 - 8:42SASGinobili 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
88.9%
21
11.1%
Q2 - 8:48ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 8:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
86.7%
21
13.3%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot25
87.1%
21
12.9%
Q2 - 9:17SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 9:20SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot25
87.1%
21
12.9%
Q2 - 9:34ATLJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 9:41ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
88.9%
19
11.1%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Udrih Driving Layup25
89.2%
19
10.8%
Q2 - 9:52ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
90.0%
19
10.0%
Q2 - 9:52ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q2 - 10:05SASGinobili Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
90.5%
17
9.5%
Q2 - 10:16ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T5)23
89.7%
17
10.3%
Q2 - 10:32ATLHAWKS Rebound23
88.7%
17
11.3%
Q2 - 10:32SASMISS Ginobili 11' Jump Shot23
89.0%
17
11.0%
Q2 - 10:46ATLLue Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)23
89.8%
17
10.2%
Q2 - 10:49ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
88.7%
17
11.3%
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Mohammed Layup23
89.0%
17
11.0%
Q2 - 11:04SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
89.7%
17
10.3%
Q2 - 11:06ATLMISS Stoudamire 11' Jump Shot23
89.4%
17
10.6%
Q2 - 11:15ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
88.8%
17
11.2%
Q2 - 11:17SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot23
89.1%
17
10.9%
Q2 - 11:33ATLLue Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
89.7%
17
10.3%
Q2 - 11:48SASMohammed 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)23
90.6%
15
9.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
91.4%
15
8.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
90.6%
15
9.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 223
90.6%
15
9.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
91.1%
15
8.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
90.3%
15
9.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot22
90.1%
15
9.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMohammed Layup (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)22
89.6%
15
10.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
88.5%
15
11.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Childress 13' Jump Shot20
88.3%
15
11.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLHAWKS Rebound20
87.7%
15
12.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Edwards 7' Jump Shot20
88.3%
15
11.7%
Q1 - 1:08SASMohammed 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)20
87.8%
15
12.2%
Q1 - 1:25ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P3.T3)18
86.5%
15
13.5%
Q1 - 1:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
85.6%
15
14.4%
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
85.8%
15
14.2%
Q1 - 1:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
86.4%
15
13.6%
Q1 - 1:51ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 118
86.3%
15
13.7%
Q1 - 2:13SASFinley 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)18
87.8%
13
12.2%
Q1 - 2:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
86.7%
13
13.3%
Q1 - 2:31ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot16
86.4%
13
13.6%
Q1 - 2:45SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
85.7%
13
14.3%
Q1 - 2:57SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
86.7%
13
13.3%
Q1 - 3:00ATLMISS Lue 23' Jump Shot16
86.4%
13
13.6%
Q1 - 3:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
85.6%
13
14.4%
Q1 - 3:17SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot16
85.9%
13
14.1%
Q1 - 3:30ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
86.8%
13
13.2%
Q1 - 3:46SASParker 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
87.7%
11
12.3%
Q1 - 4:06ATLLue Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
87.0%
11
13.0%
Q1 - 4:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
87.8%
9
12.2%
Q1 - 4:14SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot14
88.1%
9
11.9%
Q1 - 4:33ATLWilliams 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)14
88.9%
9
11.1%
Q1 - 4:56SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)14
89.5%
7
10.5%
Q1 - 5:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
88.8%
7
11.2%
Q1 - 5:11ATLMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot12
88.5%
7
11.5%
Q1 - 5:31SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)12
87.9%
7
12.1%
Q1 - 5:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
87.1%
7
12.9%
Q1 - 5:40SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot10
86.3%
7
13.7%
Q1 - 5:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
87.1%
7
12.9%
Q1 - 5:59ATLMISS Ivey 14' Jump Shot10
86.7%
7
13.3%
Q1 - 6:18SASParker 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)10
85.9%
7
14.1%
Q1 - 6:39ATLPachulia Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T2)8
85.0%
7
15.0%
Q1 - 6:52ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
83.8%
7
16.2%
Q1 - 6:55SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot8
84.2%
7
15.8%
Q1 - 7:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
85.2%
7
14.8%
Q1 - 7:11ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot8
84.8%
7
15.2%
Q1 - 7:22ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
84.0%
7
16.0%
Q1 - 7:23ATLMISS Pachulia Layup8
84.8%
7
15.2%
Q1 - 7:34SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
84.0%
7
16.0%
Q1 - 7:52ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
83.1%
7
16.9%
Q1 - 7:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
85.0%
4
15.0%
Q1 - 8:01SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot6
85.9%
4
14.1%
Q1 - 8:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
86.6%
4
13.4%
Q1 - 8:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 16
85.7%
4
14.3%
Q1 - 8:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
84.7%
4
15.3%
Q1 - 8:13ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot4
84.4%
4
15.6%
Q1 - 8:32SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
83.5%
4
16.5%
Q1 - 8:37ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 8:46ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
81.3%
4
18.7%
Q1 - 8:48SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot2
81.7%
4
18.3%
Q1 - 9:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 9:02ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot2
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 9:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
81.2%
4
18.8%
Q1 - 9:15SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot2
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 9:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 9:34ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot2
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 9:44ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
81.2%
4
18.8%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot2
81.7%
4
18.3%
Q1 - 9:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 10:00ATLMISS Pachulia Layup2
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 10:04ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
81.4%
4
18.6%
Q1 - 10:06SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)2
81.7%
4
18.3%
Q1 - 10:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 10:11ATLMISS Pachulia Layup2
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 10:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)2
81.3%
4
18.7%
Q1 - 10:17ATLMISS Pachulia Layup2
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 10:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
81.3%
4
18.7%
Q1 - 10:21ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot2
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 10:45SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
81.3%
4
18.7%
Q1 - 11:01ATLJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 11:06ATLHAWKS Rebound2
83.7%
2
16.3%
Q1 - 11:07ATLMISS Harrington Layup2
84.3%
2
15.7%
Q1 - 11:29SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
83.7%
2
16.3%
Q1 - 11:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
82.6%
2
17.4%
Q1 - 11:49ATLPachulia Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
82.6%
2
17.4%
Q1 - 11:51ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot0
84.3%
0
15.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Pachulia0
83.7%
0
16.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.91 45.7%
ATL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
26
46%
ATL
22
34
65%
Midrange
SAS
15
39
38%
ATL
14
41
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
ATL
2
0%
Free Throws
SAS
12
22
55%
ATL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2050%10.0 / 20
M. Ginobili1750%8.5 / 17
B. Bowen1393%6.5 / 7
T. Duncan1235%6.0 / 17
M. Finley941%4.5 / 11
B. Barry8100%4.0 / 4
N. Mohammed450%2.0 / 4
R. Horry113%0.5 / 4
R. Nesterovic0-0.0 / 2
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2261%11.0 / 18
Z. Pachulia1950%9.5 / 19
T. Lue1657%8.0 / 14
J. Childress1381%6.5 / 8
A. Harrington1150%5.5 / 11
J. Smith735%3.5 / 10
M. Williams440%2.0 / 5
J. Edwards250%1.0 / 2
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 1
S. Stoudamire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+10
-12
89
ATL
80
+11
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.91 45.7%
ATL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
106.6
SAS 92.3 +9.9
ATL 102.2
Pace
88.8
90.3
SAS 86.3
ATL 97.3 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.8
SAS 16.7
ATL 14.8 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
48.6%
SAS 45.0%
ATL 46.8% +1.8%
TO %
14.8%
16.5%
SAS 11.8% +0.9%
ATL 12.7%
ORB %
26.1%
31.5%
SAS 18.0%
ATL 22.5% +4.5%
FTrt
29.8
34.0
SAS 27.5
ATL 36.4 +8.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
55.2%
SAS 48.5% +15.2%
ATL 33.3%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
SAS 7.7% +1.2%
ATL 6.5%
BLK %
8.4%
7.5%
SAS 4.0% +0.9%
ATL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
51.8%
SAS 45.7%
ATL 51.1% +5.4%
Rim FG%
61.7%
55.8%
SAS 46.2%
ATL 64.7% +18.5%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.3%
SAS 38.5% +4.4%
ATL 34.1%
3P %
38.5%
36.7%
SAS 40.0% +40.0%
ATL 0.0%
FT %
70.2%
75.0%
SAS 54.5%
ATL 78.6% +24.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
39.3%
SAS 32.5%
ATL 44.2% +11.7%
Mid Att. %
41.8%
43.0%
SAS 48.8% +4.5%
ATL 53.2%
3P Att. %
21.5%
17.8%
SAS 18.8% +16.2%
ATL 2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASATL
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points8494
Rebounds4050
Assists1612
Steals76
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)41 (2)
Field Goals33-8036-77
At-the-Rim FG12-2622-34
Midrange FG15-3914-41
2-Point FG27-6536-75
3-Point FG6-150-2
Free Throws12-2222-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
38.6
13
93%
5
1
2
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
38.4
20
50%
5
2
3
0
5
5
0
5
4-5
80%
8-17
47%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 30
36.9
12
35%
10
3
1
1
1
2
4
6
2-7
29%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 28
29.7
17
50%
10
2
1
0
3
3
2
8
3-6
50%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
16.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33
32.6
9
41%
3
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35
17.3
1
13%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 34
11.2
8
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 250 · 28
9.7
4
50%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
C · 6'10" 245 · 31
#40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
40
16
7
3
12
0
9
31
12-22
55%
27-65
42%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.