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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 4, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Celtics47%96102
26Knicks53%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
43.5
39.5
28
65%
9
7
5
2
0
2
0
9
11-15
73%
7-13
7-14
54%
48%
1-2
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.2
41.6
40.3
27
53%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
7-8
88%
10-20
6-13
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
34.8
30.8
17
61%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-5
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
24.8
24.9
5
32%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
15.0
19.2
6
68%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.9
30.7
14.1
8
57%
2
1
2
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.0
13.0
25.8
3
23%
3
0
0
1
0
2
3
0
1-1
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
51%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.8
12.5
12.8
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
11.7
15.3
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
11.1
6.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.2
1.3
7.8
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.0
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.8
46.3
37.4
35
56%
5
9
1
1
0
5
1
4
17-21
81%
9-22
6-12
41%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.6
39.9
14.5
9
58%
13
2
1
0
0
1
2
11
3-4
75%
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.5
16.2
20.7
6
47%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.0
13.8
5.8
3
52%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.1
13.7
25.1
4
25%
5
0
1
1
1
2
4
1
2-2
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
44%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.6
34.5
32.4
25
74%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
8-9
89%
7-12
7-14
58%
52%
1-1
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.4
21.6
21.5
3
54%
6
0
0
1
0
2
3
3
1-4
25%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.7
20.2
11.3
10
79%
5
0
2
0
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.7
18.8
30.0
2
20%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.0
10.6
5.9
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.0
4.5
18.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.1
14.6
0
2-5
47%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.7
11.0
0
1-2
47%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.