Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 18, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Raptors | 71% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Knicks | 33% | 93 | 94 |
 | 19 | Bobcats | 67% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Heat | 36% | 89 | 68 |
 | 11 | Magic | 64% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bucks | 22% | 91 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pistons | 47% | 89 | 91 |
 | 21 | Celtics | 53% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bulls | 47% | 93 | 97 |
| 10 | Nets | 53% | 94 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Timberwolves | 55% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 47% | 102 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 57% | 98 | 106 |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 43% | 95 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 35% | 92 | 86 | |
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Tuesday, April 17, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 69% | 94 | 98 |
| 27 | 76ers | 31% | 88 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 56% | 99 | 95 |
| 22 | Wizards | 44% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 57% | 94 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 40% | 93 | 84 |
| 5 | Pistons | 60% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 29% | 98 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 45% | 99 | 82 |
| 8 | Warriors | 55% | 100 | 111 |
Monday, April 16, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 59% | 97 | 104 | |
| 27 | Knicks | 41% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 19% | 89 | 91 |
| 3 | Heat | 81% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 38% | 95 | 96 |
| 25 | Bucks | 62% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 57% | 96 | 91 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 43% | 93 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 40% | 98 | 117 |
| 2 | Rockets | 60% | 102 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 19% | 97 | 107 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 81% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 90 | 93 |
| 12 | Jazz | 77% | 100 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 43% | 97 | 125 | |
| 16 | Kings | 57% | 99 | 118 |
Sunday, April 15, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 49% | 91 | 86 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 51% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 66% | 100 | 101 |
| 22 | Wizards | 34% | 94 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 51% | 96 | 111 | |
| 20 | Pacers | 49% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 33% | 94 | 105 |
| 9 | Clippers | 67% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 20% | 98 | 108 |
| 7 | Warriors | 80% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 22% | 91 | 105 |
| 13 | Raptors | 78% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 30% | 89 | 86 |
| 16 | Magic | 70% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 14% | 84 | 102 |
| 5 | Pistons | 86% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 25% | 97 | 98 | |
| 10 | Lakers | 75% | 105 | 109 |
Saturday, April 14, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 52% | 93 | 104 |
| 22 | 76ers | 48% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 14% | 84 | 76 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 86% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 64% | 105 | 118 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 36% | 101 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 45% | 99 | 113 |
| 24 | Bucks | 55% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 15% | 85 | 112 | |
| 2 | Rockets | 85% | 99 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 55% | 106 | 126 |
| 13 | Jazz | 45% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 52% | 95 | 102 | |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 94 | 108 |
Friday, April 13, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 42% | 93 | 84 |
| 12 | Raptors | 58% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 42% | 97 | 104 |
| 26 | Celtics | 58% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 29% | 91 | 86 |
| 15 | Nets | 71% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 49% | 98 | 98 |
| 28 | Hawks | 51% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 26% | 89 | 96 |
| 5 | Heat | 74% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 54% | 100 | 107 |
| 19 | Hornets | 46% | 99 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 82% | 98 | 110 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 18% | 87 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bobcats | 32% | 91 | 81 |
| 11 | Bulls | 68% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 36% | 92 | 104 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 64% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 45% | 105 | 125 |
| 16 | Kings | 55% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 22% | 102 | 85 |
| 3 | Suns | 78% | 112 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 88 | 89 |
| 8 | Clippers | 73% | 96 | 107 |
Thursday, April 12, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 34% | 91 | 76 | |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 66% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 40% | 96 | 118 |
| 8 | Lakers | 60% | 99 | 110 |
Wednesday, April 11, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 40% | 90 | 102 |
| 26 | Celtics | 60% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 24% | 94 | 82 |
| 8 | Heat | 76% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 27% | 87 | 99 |
| 4 | Pistons | 73% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 42% | 96 | 104 |
| 24 | Bucks | 58% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 16% | 89 | 100 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 69% | 94 | 105 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 31% | 88 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 46% | 102 | 115 |
| 14 | Jazz | 54% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 16% | 98 | 91 | |
| 2 | Suns | 84% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 74% | 94 | 99 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 86 | 95 |
Tuesday, April 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 49% | 91 | 86 |
| 28 | 76ers | 51% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 52% | 101 | 96 | |
| 21 | Wizards | 48% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 59% | 97 | 82 |
| 17 | Bobcats | 41% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 46% | 92 | 96 |
| 30 | Hawks | 54% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 62% | 102 | 112 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 38% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 45% | 91 | 100 |
| 19 | Hornets | 55% | 93 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 16% | 84 | 69 |
| 10 | Bulls | 84% | 97 | 98 |
Monday, April 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 68% | 94 | 91 |
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 88 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 55% | 98 | 117 |
| 24 | Bucks | 45% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 12% | 82 | 96 |
| 1 | Spurs | 88% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 46% | 95 | 111 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 54% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 26% | 87 | 86 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 34% | 101 | 111 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 63% | 97 | 95 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 37% | 92 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 43% | 105 | 102 |
| 10 | Warriors | 57% | 108 | 126 |
Sunday, April 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 40% | 89 | 82 |
| 6 | Pistons | 60% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 54% | 107 | 115 |
| 9 | Lakers | 46% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 46% | 95 | 89 |
| 14 | Raptors | 54% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 23% | 92 | 111 |
| 4 | Heat | 77% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 36% | 90 | 104 |
| 22 | 76ers | 64% | 94 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 58% | 96 | 112 |
| 15 | Kings | 42% | 93 | 106 |
Saturday, April 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 24% | 91 | 89 |
| 17 | Magic | 76% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Celtics | 38% | 90 | 98 |
| 25 | Pacers | 62% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 30% | 97 | 114 |
| 16 | Nets | 70% | 104 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 21% | 95 | 99 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 39% | 91 | 96 | |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 61% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 42% | 96 | 118 |
| 27 | Bucks | 58% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 15% | 85 | 74 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 85% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 26% | 97 | 106 | |
| 10 | Jazz | 74% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 41% | 96 | 96 |
| 13 | Clippers | 59% | 99 | 93 |
Friday, April 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 54% | 97 | 94 |
| 22 | 76ers | 46% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 36% | 92 | 112 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 64% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 58% | 93 | 88 |
| 29 | Celtics | 42% | 91 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 52% | 94 | 99 |
| 25 | Knicks | 48% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 46% | 96 | 102 |
| 30 | Hawks | 54% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 59% | 100 | 99 |
| 23 | Wizards | 41% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 64% | 107 | 116 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 36% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 59% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Hornets | 41% | 101 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 38% | 93 | 74 | |
| 14 | Bulls | 62% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 83 | 85 |
| 9 | Rockets | 76% | 92 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 47% | 100 | 103 |
| 12 | Kings | 53% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 52% | 101 | 71 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 48% | 100 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 56% | 101 | 112 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 44% | 100 | 109 | |
Thursday, April 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 36% | 90 | 94 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 64% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 42% | 99 | 85 |
| 3 | Spurs | 58% | 101 | 92 |