FinalWin Prob.pScore
1245%97
100
1755%98
77
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
108.792102.3
SAS logo SAS
83.79283.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS100
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENSampson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASUdrih 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENKleiza 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENSampson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Ely 13' Turnaround Jump Shot98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37SASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50DENMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12SASBonner 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21SASEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23DENMISS Diawara 1' Layup98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38SASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52SASBonner 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18DENKleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)98
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Ely 11' Turnaround Jump Shot95
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08DENCarter 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sampson 1 AST)95
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22SASEly 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37DENSampson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38DENSampson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40DENMISS Kleiza 18' Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47SASMISS Butler 3' Layup93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49SASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51SASMISS White 13' Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06SASSPURS Rebound93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07DENMISS Diawara 16' Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31SASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43DENEvans REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45SASMISS White 3' Reverse Layup93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59DENJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:07SASUdrih 3' Layup (11 PTS)90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:23DENEvans 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37SASEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 6:37SASMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 288
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:49DENWhite STEAL (1 STL)88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:52DENEvans REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55SASMISS Ely 4' Jump Shot88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05SASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:07DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:12DENEvans REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Bonner 11' Jump Shot88
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:21SASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:23DENMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot88
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:38DENSampson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:01DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 8:01DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 8:07DENSampson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 8:09SASMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot86
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 8:21SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
99.2%
66
0.8%
Q4 - 8:23DENMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot86
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 8:36DENSampson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 8:38DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 8:52DENEvans REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)86
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 8:54SASMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot86
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 9:12DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)86
98.9%
66
1.1%
Q4 - 9:29SASUdrih 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ely 2 AST)83
98.3%
66
1.7%
Q4 - 9:50SASEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q4 - 9:51DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 183
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q4 - 10:02DENSampson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q4 - 10:04DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot81
97.5%
64
2.5%
Q4 - 10:19SASWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q4 - 10:19SASWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 10:22DENEly STEAL (2 STL)81
98.3%
62
1.7%
Q4 - 10:27DENSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
98.6%
62
1.4%
Q4 - 10:29SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q4 - 10:42DENUdrih STEAL (1 STL)81
98.3%
62
1.7%
Q4 - 10:47DENEvans REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)81
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q4 - 10:47DENMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 281
98.3%
62
1.7%
Q4 - 10:47DENMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 281
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q4 - 10:55DENEvans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)81
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q4 - 10:57SASMISS Ely 8' Jump Bank Shot81
98.6%
62
1.4%
Q4 - 11:15SASSPURS Rebound81
97.9%
62
2.1%
Q4 - 11:17SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.2%
62
1.8%
Q4 - 11:24SASSPURS Rebound81
97.9%
62
2.1%
Q4 - 11:24SASMISS Udrih 3' Layup81
98.2%
62
1.8%
Q4 - 11:41DENEvans 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
97.9%
62
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS79
97.5%
62
2.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENEvans 1' Layup (13 PTS)79
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENEvans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)77
96.1%
62
3.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 2' Layup77
94.7%
62
5.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
95.1%
62
4.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
94.7%
62
5.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)77
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENMISS Smith 14' Running Jump Shot77
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 277
95.3%
62
4.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 277
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASSPURS Rebound77
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 177
94.6%
62
5.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASMISS Barry 10' Jump Shot75
92.9%
62
7.1%
Q3 - 1:19DENSmith 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)75
90.7%
62
9.3%
Q3 - 1:33DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
89.0%
62
11.0%
Q3 - 1:35DENMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 273
87.2%
62
12.8%
Q3 - 1:35DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q3 - 1:43SASEly 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
87.0%
62
13.0%
Q3 - 2:05DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 2:05DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
86.7%
60
13.3%
Q3 - 2:12DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)70
85.6%
60
14.4%
Q3 - 2:14SASMISS Udrih 13' Jump Shot70
84.8%
60
15.2%
Q3 - 2:27SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
83.0%
60
17.0%
Q3 - 2:29DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
83.8%
60
16.2%
Q3 - 2:50SASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
85.7%
60
14.3%
Q3 - 2:50SASButler Tip Shot (10 PTS)70
85.7%
60
14.3%
Q3 - 2:52SASMISS Bonner 14' Jump Bank Shot70
89.1%
58
10.9%
Q3 - 3:15DENSmith 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
86.8%
58
13.2%
Q3 - 3:34SASWhite 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)68
84.8%
58
15.2%
Q3 - 3:50DENDiawara 2' Layup (12 PTS)68
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q3 - 4:02DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
83.7%
56
16.3%
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
82.9%
56
17.1%
Q3 - 4:09SASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Diawara 2' Layup66
81.8%
56
18.2%
Q3 - 4:14SASWhite Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)66
83.8%
56
16.2%
Q3 - 4:21DENBarry STEAL (1 STL)66
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 4:32DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
83.8%
56
16.2%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Udrih 12' Jump Shot66
83.0%
56
17.0%
Q3 - 4:53DENEvans 3' Layup (8 PTS)66
81.0%
56
19.0%
Q3 - 5:03DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 5:05SASMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot64
76.5%
56
23.5%
Q3 - 5:21DENEvans 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Blake 8 AST)64
74.3%
56
25.7%
Q3 - 5:38SASElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
71.2%
56
28.8%
Q3 - 5:38SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q3 - 5:40SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
74.3%
54
25.7%
Q3 - 5:42DENElson BLOCK (2 BLK)62
75.3%
54
24.7%
Q3 - 5:58SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)62
77.6%
54
22.4%
Q3 - 6:16DENDiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)62
81.5%
51
18.5%
Q3 - 6:23DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q3 - 6:24SASMISS Elson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot59
75.5%
51
24.5%
Q3 - 6:35SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
73.2%
51
26.8%
Q3 - 6:37DENMISS Najera 1' Reverse Layup59
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 6:47SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)59
76.5%
51
23.5%
Q3 - 7:02DENDiawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blake 7 AST)59
80.3%
48
19.7%
Q3 - 7:12SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)56
75.4%
48
24.6%
Q3 - 7:45DENDiawara 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)56
72.1%
48
27.9%
Q3 - 7:48DENSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
69.3%
48
30.7%
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Vaughn 1' Layup54
68.1%
48
31.9%
Q3 - 7:58DENNajera 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diawara 3 AST)54
65.4%
48
34.6%
Q3 - 8:17SASHorry 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)52
62.0%
48
38.0%
Q3 - 8:23DENKleiza 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)52
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q3 - 8:40SASElson 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
62.0%
46
38.0%
Q3 - 9:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
64.3%
44
35.7%
Q3 - 9:03DENMISS Blake 19' Jump Shot50
65.4%
44
34.6%
Q3 - 9:12SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)50
67.7%
44
32.3%
Q3 - 9:27DENBlake 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
70.8%
42
29.2%
Q3 - 9:38SASHorry Foul Turnover (P1.T7)48
67.8%
42
32.2%
Q3 - 9:42SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q3 - 9:46DENElson BLOCK (1 BLK)48
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q3 - 9:57DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
67.8%
42
32.2%
Q3 - 10:00SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot48
66.8%
42
33.2%
Q3 - 10:09SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q3 - 10:11SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot48
66.2%
42
33.8%
Q3 - 10:38DENBlake 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
63.7%
42
36.3%
Q3 - 10:56SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
60.7%
42
39.3%
Q3 - 11:21DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)46
63.3%
40
36.7%
Q3 - 11:36DENSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
66.6%
40
33.4%
Q3 - 11:38SASMISS Horry 16' Jump Bank Shot46
65.6%
40
34.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
63.3%
40
36.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound46
66.6%
40
33.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Blake 16' Jump Shot46
64.3%
40
35.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
65.3%
40
34.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
64.7%
40
35.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
63.2%
40
36.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Najera 2' Layup46
63.9%
40
36.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENMISS Diawara 4' Running Jump Shot46
63.9%
40
36.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASEly 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)46
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
69.2%
38
30.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASMISS Barry 15' Jump Shot46
70.6%
38
29.4%
Q2 - 1:08SASEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
68.8%
38
31.2%
Q2 - 1:09DENMISS Sampson Free Throw 2 of 246
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q2 - 1:09DENMISS Sampson Free Throw 1 of 246
70.5%
38
29.5%
Q2 - 1:24SASEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q2 - 1:24SASEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
71.1%
37
28.9%
Q2 - 1:24SASSPURS Rebound46
74.1%
36
25.9%
Q2 - 1:24SASMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot46
74.9%
36
25.1%
Q2 - 1:43DENSampson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
74.1%
36
25.9%
Q2 - 1:44DENSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
75.4%
36
24.6%
Q2 - 1:46DENMISS Najera 3' Reverse Layup46
74.5%
36
25.5%
Q2 - 2:05SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
75.0%
36
25.0%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 246
75.3%
35
24.7%
Q2 - 2:30DENEvans 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)46
75.2%
35
24.8%
Q2 - 2:49DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 2:51SASMISS White 1' Driving Layup44
71.9%
35
28.1%
Q2 - 3:09DENDiawara 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)44
68.9%
35
31.1%
Q2 - 3:14SASButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
66.6%
35
33.4%
Q2 - 3:30DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)42
63.6%
35
36.4%
Q2 - 3:39DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)39
58.2%
35
41.8%
Q2 - 3:41DENMISS Blake 16' Jump Shot39
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q2 - 3:55SASButler 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 4:04DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)39
60.2%
33
39.8%
Q2 - 4:17DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
63.0%
33
37.0%
Q2 - 4:18SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 239
62.6%
33
37.4%
Q2 - 4:18SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
60.8%
33
39.2%
Q2 - 4:24SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 4:27SASMISS Horry 13' Fadeaway Jumper39
64.8%
32
35.2%
Q2 - 4:46DENVaughn STEAL (2 STL)39
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 5:07SASButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)39
65.3%
32
34.7%
Q2 - 5:18SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 5:20DENMISS Kleiza 10' Jump Shot39
70.9%
29
29.1%
Q2 - 5:37SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (White 1 AST)39
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 5:56DENKleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)39
76.7%
26
23.3%
Q2 - 6:08SASWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
72.1%
26
27.9%
Q2 - 6:08SASWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 6:16SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 6:18SASMISS Bonner 12' Jump Shot36
75.6%
24
24.4%
Q2 - 6:47DENKleiza 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)36
73.9%
24
26.1%
Q2 - 6:53DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
72.1%
24
27.9%
Q2 - 6:55SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
71.3%
24
28.7%
Q2 - 7:09SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
68.6%
24
31.4%
Q2 - 7:11DENMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot34
69.4%
24
30.6%
Q2 - 7:26SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)34
71.0%
24
29.0%
Q2 - 7:55DENSmith 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)34
75.1%
21
24.9%
Q2 - 8:04DENNuggets Rebound32
72.7%
21
27.3%
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Kleiza 20' Jump Shot32
71.0%
21
29.0%
Q2 - 8:09DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
72.7%
21
27.3%
Q2 - 8:12SASMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
71.9%
21
28.1%
Q2 - 8:30DENJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
70.3%
21
29.7%
Q2 - 8:36DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
72.7%
21
27.3%
Q2 - 8:38SASMISS White 4' Jump Shot32
72.0%
21
28.0%
Q2 - 8:55DENCarter 2' Layup (4 PTS)32
70.3%
21
29.7%
Q2 - 9:04DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
67.6%
21
32.4%
Q2 - 9:06SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 230
67.3%
21
32.7%
Q2 - 9:06SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
65.7%
21
34.3%
Q2 - 9:12SASEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q2 - 9:20DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
69.8%
20
30.2%
Q2 - 9:22SASMISS Bonner 6' Jump Shot30
69.1%
20
30.9%
Q2 - 9:48DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)30
67.5%
20
32.5%
Q2 - 9:54SASEly Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q2 - 10:11SASEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q2 - 10:14DENMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot27
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q2 - 10:23SASUdrih 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)27
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q2 - 10:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q2 - 10:37DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q2 - 10:48DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q2 - 10:49SASMISS White 3' Driving Layup27
66.5%
18
33.5%
Q2 - 11:04SASEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
64.2%
18
35.8%
Q2 - 11:05SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENCarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
64.3%
18
35.7%
Q2 - 11:35SASEly 1' Dunk (2 PTS)25
62.0%
18
38.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
64.3%
16
35.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound25
66.5%
16
33.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Carter 72' 3PT Jump Shot25
65.0%
16
35.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
66.5%
16
33.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot25
65.1%
16
34.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
64.0%
16
36.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)25
65.7%
16
34.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENBlake 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)25
70.3%
13
29.7%
Q1 - 1:17DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Udrih 10' Jump Shot23
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 1:33DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
66.0%
13
34.0%
Q1 - 1:39DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 1:41SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 1:56DENEly STEAL (1 STL)23
66.0%
13
34.0%
Q1 - 2:02DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
67.8%
13
32.2%
Q1 - 2:04SASMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot23
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 2:23DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)23
65.8%
13
34.2%
Q1 - 2:38DENNuggets Rebound20
61.3%
13
38.7%
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
60.7%
13
39.3%
Q1 - 2:47SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
59.3%
13
40.7%
Q1 - 2:48DENMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 220
59.5%
13
40.5%
Q1 - 2:48DENMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 220
60.6%
13
39.4%
Q1 - 2:48DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
61.3%
13
38.7%
Q1 - 2:50DENMISS Smith 2' Layup20
59.9%
13
40.1%
Q1 - 3:01SASUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
60.7%
13
39.3%
Q1 - 3:22DENNajera 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)20
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 3:25DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
56.4%
13
43.6%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot18
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 3:45DENBlake 1' Dunk (10 PTS)18
53.9%
13
46.1%
Q1 - 3:49SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 4:02SASSPURS Rebound16
49.1%
13
50.9%
Q1 - 4:02DENEly BLOCK (1 BLK)16
49.9%
13
50.1%
Q1 - 4:20SASButler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 4:33DENBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)16
49.1%
13
50.9%
Q1 - 4:51DENNuggets Rebound13
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
44.4%
13
55.6%
Q1 - 5:08DENKleiza 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 5:32SASWhite 3' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)11
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 5:43DENEvans 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)11
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 5:48DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 5:51SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
40.0%
11
60.0%
Q1 - 6:09SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 6:12DENMISS Diawara 17' Jump Shot9
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 6:26SASBarry Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
40.6%
11
59.4%
Q1 - 6:29DENVaughn STEAL (1 STL)9
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 6:32DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
40.6%
11
59.4%
Q1 - 6:35SASMISS Vaughn 3' Layup9
40.0%
11
60.0%
Q1 - 6:49SASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 6:51DENMISS Najera 16' Jump Shot9
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 7:04SASButler 5' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)9
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 7:29DENNajera 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)9
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 7:36DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 7:38SASMISS White 18' Jump Shot7
40.1%
9
59.9%
Q1 - 7:51DENBlake 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
38.7%
9
61.3%
Q1 - 8:03DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
37.4%
9
62.6%
Q1 - 8:04SASMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 25
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 8:04SASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 8:21DENDiawara Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 8:36SASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 8:36SASWhite Layup (2 PTS)5
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 8:37SASMISS White 3' Driving Finger Roll5
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 8:51SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 8:53DENMISS Kleiza 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 8:59DENNuggets Rebound5
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Kleiza 17' Jump Shot5
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 9:16DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 9:18SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot5
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 9:40SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 9:41DENNuggets Rebound5
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 9:41DENMISS Diawara Free Throw 2 of 25
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 9:41DENMISS Diawara Free Throw 1 of 25
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 9:50DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 9:51SASMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot5
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 10:16DENNajera 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)5
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 10:27SASVaughn 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 10:34SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 10:36DENMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 11:02SASElson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)3
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 11:13SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:15DENMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 11:26SASElson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 11:42DENBlake 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)3
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Elson vs. Sampson: Tip to Najera0
44.2%
0
55.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.2%
SAS
0.81 40.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
32
63%
SAS
15
25
60%
Midrange
DEN
11
27
41%
SAS
9
36
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
SAS
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
DEN
5
16
31%
SAS
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Evans1968%9.5 / 14
L. Kleiza1757%8.5 / 15
J. Smith1757%8.5 / 15
S. Blake1667%8.0 / 12
Y. Diawara1250%6.0 / 12
E. Najera850%4.0 / 8
A. Carter643%3.0 / 7
D. Johnson536%2.5 / 7
J. Sampson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Udrih1343%6.5 / 15
M. Ely1150%5.5 / 11
J. White1038%5.0 / 13
J. Butler1063%5.0 / 8
F. Elson867%4.0 / 6
R. Horry844%4.0 / 9
M. Finley750%3.5 / 7
M. Bonner420%2.0 / 10
J. Vaughn338%1.5 / 4
B. Barry321%1.5 / 7
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+17
-15
94
SAS
83
+11
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.2%
SAS
0.81 40.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
109.2
DEN 108.7
SAS 83.7 +25.0
Pace
97.2
89.8
DEN 102.3 +18.7
SAS 83.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.5
DEN 14.1 +3.2
SAS 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.1%
DEN 55.9% +17.0%
SAS 38.9%
TO %
16.5%
14.7%
DEN 14.0%
SAS 10.9% +3.1%
ORB %
28.9%
24.5%
DEN 27.9% +12.2%
SAS 15.7%
FTrt
36.0
31.3
DEN 18.8
SAS 25.9 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
60.5%
DEN 66.7% +18.4%
SAS 48.3%
STL %
8.5%
8.0%
DEN 5.4%
SAS 7.6% +2.2%
BLK %
7.9%
7.8%
DEN 4.9%
SAS 5.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
54.7%
DEN 53.2% +12.7%
SAS 40.5%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.1%
DEN 62.5% +2.5%
SAS 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.1%
40.4%
DEN 40.7% +15.7%
SAS 25.0%
3P %
33.6%
38.1%
DEN 42.3% +17.3%
SAS 25.0%
FT %
74.6%
75.1%
DEN 31.3%
SAS 66.7% +35.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
34.9%
DEN 37.6% +6.8%
SAS 30.9%
Mid Att. %
39.0%
40.5%
DEN 31.8% +12.7%
SAS 44.4%
3P Att. %
21.2%
24.7%
DEN 30.6% +5.9%
SAS 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points10077
Rebounds5539
Assists2814
Steals57
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (2)31 (3)
Field Goals42-8529-81
At-the-Rim FG20-3215-25
Midrange FG11-279-36
2-Point FG31-5924-61
3-Point FG11-265-20
Free Throws5-1614-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 234 · 22
30.5
17
57%
3
1
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'7" 225 · 25
29.9
12
50%
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 235 · 24
27.1
0
0%
13
1
0
2
4
3
4
9
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 172 · 27
26.5
16
67%
2
8
3
0
4
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
63%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
22.0
8
50%
7
2
0
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27
30.1
19
68%
20
0
1
0
1
2
5
15
5-10
50%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
27.3
6
43%
2
9
0
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22
26.1
17
57%
2
2
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
3-8
38%
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27
20.5
5
36%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 32
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25
#6 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'5" 209 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
55
28
5
3
15
0
12
43
5-16
31%
31-59
53%
11-26
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.