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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs49%9186
4Mavericks51%9291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
38.1
20.3
23
50%
3
2
0
1
0
5
0
3
5-5
100%
9-19
4-8
47%
52%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
33.1
17.6
4
40%
7
1
2
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.8
31.7
26.7
5
50%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
28.4
28.2
8
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
27.4
27.6
16
56%
7
6
0
1
2
2
1
6
4-5
80%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
27.6
24.9
16
54%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
17.5
14.5
6
100%
6
0
2
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.3
16.6
22.7
4
29%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
1-5
20%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.2
9.9
19.6
2
25%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.6
9.6
15.5
2
50%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
15.5
0
2-3
50%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
13.6
0
1-3
46%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
37.0
30.8
21
50%
4
4
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
9-20
6-13
45%
49%
1-1
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.0
37.0
28.1
15
51%
6
3
4
1
1
3
1
5
5-6
83%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
34.5
26.2
5
44%
9
1
0
1
3
0
3
6
5-6
83%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
32.2
30.9
8
32%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-9
4-8
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
19.6
24.9
3
75%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
31.4
21.0
21
64%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
6-8
75%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
24.7
22.2
14
55%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
43%
0-3
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.6
12.3
20.9
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
11.4
19.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.8
18.1
0
2-5
42%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 44.6
7.5
0
1-2
42%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
7.2
0
1-2
48%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.8
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.2
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.