FinalWin Prob.pScore
1855%98
117
2445%96
94
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
124.59490.9
MIL logo MIL
101.19396.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL117
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILMarkota 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Noel 2 AST)117
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)117
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILIlyasova Tip Shot (18 PTS)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILMISS Reiner 6' Hook Shot115
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08ORLAriza Dunk (16 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)115
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11MILGreer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17ORLMISS Bogans 17' Jump Shot113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26MILMarkota Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28MILMarkota REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43MILIlyasova Dunk (16 PTS) (Markota 1 AST)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47ORLMarkota STEAL (1 STL)113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10MILMISS Markota Layup113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21MILNoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23MILMISS Ilyasova 5' Jump Shot113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33ORLArroyo 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)111
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MILMISS Noel Alley Oop Layup111
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56ORLBogans Driving Layup (2 PTS)111
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMagic Rebound109
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMISS Bogans 27' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11ORLRedick Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)109
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11ORLRedick Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25MILMISS Noel Free Throw 2 of 2107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25MILMISS Noel Free Throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50MILGreer Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50MILGreer Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54MILMarkota REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57MILMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21MILReiner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32ORLReiner STEAL (3 STL)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)107
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 1107
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Greer 3 AST)105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33MILGreer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:49ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51MILMISS Noel 17' Jump Shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18MILGreer Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18MILGreer Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 6:29ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55MILBell Layup (13 PTS)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 7:00MILMarkota REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:02ORLMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:28MILIlyasova Layup (9 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:42MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:43ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 1100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:51ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:52MILMISS Ilyasova Layup98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 8:17ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)98
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 8:34MILGreer Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)98
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 8:42ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)98
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 8:42ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 8:43ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot95
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 9:01ORLMagic Rebound95
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 9:01MILMISS Noel Layup95
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 9:01MILNoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:03MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot95
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 9:18ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)95
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:34MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 9:34MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 293
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 9:56ORLAriza Layup (9 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)93
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 10:22MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Greer 2 AST)91
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 10:33ORLGreer STEAL (3 STL)91
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 10:35ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 10:37MILMISS Greer 7' Jump Shot91
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 10:47ORLGreer STEAL (2 STL)91
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 11:05ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 11:07ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 291
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 11:07ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)91
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 11:10ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 11:12ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 11:23ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 11:24MILMISS Patterson Layup90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 11:45ORLAriza Dunk (6 PTS) (Milicic 4 AST)90
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL88
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Markota 17' Jump Shot88
99.0%
67
1.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLAriza Dunk (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)88
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)86
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
98.2%
67
1.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 286
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
98.5%
67
1.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q3 - 1:00ORLTurkoglu Dunk (23 PTS) (Milicic 3 AST)85
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q3 - 1:06MILNoel Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)83
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 1:19MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q3 - 1:20ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 283
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 1:20ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 283
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 1:39ORLMagic Rebound83
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 1:39MILMISS Ilyasova Layup83
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 1:59ORLMilicic Dunk (10 PTS)83
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 2:16MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)81
96.4%
65
3.6%
Q3 - 2:16MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)81
96.5%
64
3.5%
Q3 - 2:32ORLMilicic 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)81
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q3 - 2:48ORLMagic Rebound79
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot79
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q3 - 3:13ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)79
95.2%
63
4.8%
Q3 - 3:36ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
94.4%
63
5.6%
Q3 - 3:38MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 277
94.3%
63
5.7%
Q3 - 3:38MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
93.6%
63
6.4%
Q3 - 3:43ORLMilicic Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)77
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q3 - 3:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
93.4%
62
6.6%
Q3 - 3:51ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot75
92.5%
62
7.5%
Q3 - 4:11MILPatterson Foul Turnover (P3.T10)75
92.8%
62
7.2%
Q3 - 4:16ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
91.4%
62
8.6%
Q3 - 4:16ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 274
91.2%
62
8.8%
Q3 - 4:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
91.6%
62
8.4%
Q3 - 4:36MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
91.2%
62
8.8%
Q3 - 4:41MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
90.0%
62
10.0%
Q3 - 4:44MILMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot74
91.2%
62
8.8%
Q3 - 4:50MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
90.0%
62
10.0%
Q3 - 4:52ORLMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot74
90.5%
62
9.5%
Q3 - 5:09ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
91.0%
62
9.0%
Q3 - 5:11MILMISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot74
90.5%
62
9.5%
Q3 - 5:33MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
89.4%
62
10.6%
Q3 - 5:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
89.9%
62
10.1%
Q3 - 5:49MILBoykins Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)74
91.0%
62
9.0%
Q3 - 5:54MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
89.4%
62
10.6%
Q3 - 5:56ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot74
89.9%
62
10.1%
Q3 - 6:05ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)74
90.3%
62
9.7%
Q3 - 6:20MILBell Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)73
88.8%
62
11.2%
Q3 - 6:25ORLReiner STEAL (2 STL)73
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 6:35MILPatterson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)73
91.6%
60
8.4%
Q3 - 6:46MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 6:48MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
91.2%
60
8.8%
Q3 - 7:08ORLNelson Layup (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)73
89.4%
60
10.6%
Q3 - 7:24MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)71
88.1%
60
11.9%
Q3 - 7:27ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)71
86.1%
60
13.9%
Q3 - 7:37ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
88.1%
60
11.9%
Q3 - 7:39MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 171
87.8%
60
12.2%
Q3 - 7:44MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
89.4%
58
10.6%
Q3 - 7:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Jump Shot71
89.9%
58
10.1%
Q3 - 8:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
90.6%
58
9.4%
Q3 - 8:07MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
90.2%
58
9.8%
Q3 - 8:26ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)71
89.1%
58
10.9%
Q3 - 8:30ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
86.0%
58
14.0%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
85.4%
58
14.6%
Q3 - 8:37MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 8:38ORLMISS Howard Layup68
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 8:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
86.0%
58
14.0%
Q3 - 9:00MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot68
85.4%
58
14.6%
Q3 - 9:17ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)68
83.3%
58
16.7%
Q3 - 9:31MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
78.9%
58
21.1%
Q3 - 9:31MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
79.7%
57
20.3%
Q3 - 9:35MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
81.2%
56
18.8%
Q3 - 9:37ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot65
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q3 - 9:45MILPatterson Layup (8 PTS)65
83.4%
56
16.6%
Q3 - 10:09ORLBattie Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)65
84.7%
54
15.3%
Q3 - 10:32MILWilliams 5' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)63
83.0%
54
17.0%
Q3 - 10:54ORLHill Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)63
84.7%
52
15.3%
Q3 - 11:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
82.6%
52
17.4%
Q3 - 11:13MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot61
82.0%
52
18.0%
Q3 - 11:22ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)61
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q3 - 11:34MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)59
78.3%
52
21.7%
Q3 - 11:36MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
75.7%
52
24.3%
Q3 - 11:37MILMISS Gadzuric 6' Hook Shot59
77.5%
52
22.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL59
75.7%
52
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound59
75.7%
52
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Patterson 44' 3PT Jump Shot59
77.6%
52
22.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLReiner STEAL (1 STL)59
75.6%
52
24.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
77.2%
52
22.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
77.5%
51
22.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
80.2%
50
19.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
79.8%
50
20.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
77.3%
50
22.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)57
82.2%
47
17.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
77.4%
47
22.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot54
76.8%
47
23.2%
Q2 - 1:12ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)54
75.4%
47
24.6%
Q2 - 1:26ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
71.7%
47
28.3%
Q2 - 1:28MILMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot52
71.3%
47
28.7%
Q2 - 1:43MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
70.3%
47
29.7%
Q2 - 1:45ORLMISS Arroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
70.7%
47
29.3%
Q2 - 2:02MILBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)52
71.8%
47
28.2%
Q2 - 2:16ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)52
76.7%
44
23.3%
Q2 - 2:21ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
74.2%
44
25.8%
Q2 - 2:23ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot50
72.7%
44
27.3%
Q2 - 2:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
74.2%
44
25.8%
Q2 - 2:34MILMISS Reiner 16' Jump Shot50
73.6%
44
26.4%
Q2 - 2:59ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)50
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q2 - 3:03ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
69.0%
44
31.0%
Q2 - 3:05MILMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 3:30ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)48
66.1%
44
33.9%
Q2 - 3:47MILReiner 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)46
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q2 - 4:06ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)46
66.0%
42
34.0%
Q2 - 4:28MILReiner Layup (6 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)43
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 4:39MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
63.3%
40
36.7%
Q2 - 4:41ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot43
64.2%
40
35.8%
Q2 - 4:49MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
66.0%
40
34.0%
Q2 - 4:53ORLBoykins STEAL (1 STL)43
63.3%
40
36.7%
Q2 - 5:07ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)43
66.0%
40
34.0%
Q2 - 5:18MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)42
63.4%
40
36.6%
Q2 - 5:39ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)42
68.3%
37
31.7%
Q2 - 5:46ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
66.0%
37
34.0%
Q2 - 5:48MILMISS Boykins Reverse Layup40
65.2%
37
34.8%
Q2 - 5:59ORLBattie Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)40
63.2%
37
36.8%
Q2 - 6:19MILBoykins 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
61.0%
37
39.0%
Q2 - 6:30ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
63.0%
35
37.0%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
61.0%
35
39.0%
Q2 - 6:52MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 7:04ORLAriza Foul Turnover (P2.T6)36
58.1%
35
41.9%
Q2 - 7:17ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 7:19MILMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot36
59.9%
35
40.1%
Q2 - 7:45ORLDooling Dunk (8 PTS)36
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 7:50MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
55.6%
35
44.4%
Q2 - 8:03ORLDooling Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
52.6%
35
47.4%
Q2 - 8:10MILReiner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
55.6%
35
44.4%
Q2 - 8:10MILMISS Reiner Free Throw 1 of 234
56.6%
34
43.4%
Q2 - 8:23ORLDooling Layup (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)34
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 8:29ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q2 - 8:31MILMISS Bell 9' Jump Shot32
52.1%
34
47.9%
Q2 - 8:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
50.1%
34
49.9%
Q2 - 8:41ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
51.0%
34
49.0%
Q2 - 8:44ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q2 - 8:46ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot32
51.0%
34
49.0%
Q2 - 9:00MILGreer 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)32
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q2 - 9:13ORLGreer STEAL (1 STL)32
57.8%
31
42.2%
Q2 - 9:25ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
60.5%
31
39.5%
Q2 - 9:28MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
59.7%
31
40.3%
Q2 - 9:41MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
57.8%
31
42.2%
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 132
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 9:59MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noel 1 AST)30
55.6%
31
44.4%
Q2 - 10:05MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
57.6%
29
42.4%
Q2 - 10:07MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 10:25ORLDooling 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
57.6%
29
42.4%
Q2 - 10:45MILNoel Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
55.4%
29
44.6%
Q2 - 10:45MILNoel Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
55.8%
28
44.2%
Q2 - 10:53ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)28
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q2 - 10:53ORLMagic Rebound28
60.3%
27
39.7%
Q2 - 10:53ORLMISS Ariza 14' Jump Shot28
58.4%
27
41.6%
Q2 - 11:22MILNoel 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)28
60.0%
27
40.0%
Q2 - 11:31MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
62.3%
25
37.7%
Q2 - 11:33ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot28
63.0%
25
37.0%
Q2 - 11:47MILIlyasova 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Greer 1 AST)28
64.6%
25
35.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL28
66.8%
23
33.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILGreer 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Reiner 1 AST)28
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
70.7%
21
29.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk28
71.2%
21
28.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILMISS Greer 17' Jump Shot28
71.8%
21
28.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLMilicic Dunk (4 PTS)28
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q1 - 1:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
68.3%
21
31.7%
Q1 - 1:07MILMISS Ilyasova 8' Jump Shot26
67.8%
21
32.2%
Q1 - 1:30ORLDooling 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)26
66.6%
21
33.4%
Q1 - 1:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 1:48MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 2:04MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 2:06ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot24
63.0%
21
37.0%
Q1 - 2:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
64.4%
21
35.6%
Q1 - 2:17MILReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 2:17MILMISS Reiner Tip Shot24
63.8%
21
36.2%
Q1 - 2:18MILMISS Williams Layup24
63.8%
21
36.2%
Q1 - 2:32ORLMilicic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)24
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 2:46ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
59.9%
21
40.1%
Q1 - 2:47MILMISS Reiner Free Throw 2 of 222
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 2:47MILReiner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
58.6%
21
41.4%
Q1 - 2:47MILBUCKS Rebound22
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 2:47MILMISS Patterson Layup22
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q1 - 3:09ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)22
59.7%
20
40.3%
Q1 - 3:15ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
57.8%
20
42.2%
Q1 - 3:17MILMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 3:23MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
55.3%
20
44.7%
Q1 - 3:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot20
56.1%
20
43.9%
Q1 - 3:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
57.8%
20
42.2%
Q1 - 3:46MILMISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 120
57.5%
20
42.5%
Q1 - 3:56ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)20
59.7%
18
40.3%
Q1 - 4:11MILBoykins 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
62.2%
18
37.8%
Q1 - 4:31MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
63.8%
16
36.2%
Q1 - 4:33ORLMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
64.6%
16
35.4%
Q1 - 4:51MILPatterson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 5:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
63.6%
16
36.4%
Q1 - 5:06ORLHoward Dunk (9 PTS)20
63.6%
16
36.4%
Q1 - 5:07ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
60.3%
16
39.7%
Q1 - 5:30MILReiner Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)18
61.9%
16
38.1%
Q1 - 5:45ORLNelson Layup (2 PTS)18
63.7%
14
36.3%
Q1 - 5:48MILNoel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
61.9%
14
38.1%
Q1 - 5:50ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)16
59.7%
14
40.3%
Q1 - 5:51MILBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
61.9%
14
38.1%
Q1 - 6:15ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)16
59.5%
14
40.5%
Q1 - 6:19ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
57.6%
14
42.4%
Q1 - 6:21MILMISS Reiner Layup14
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 6:38MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 214
55.8%
14
44.2%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 214
56.9%
14
43.1%
Q1 - 7:04MILPatterson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)14
57.7%
14
42.3%
Q1 - 7:32ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)14
59.3%
12
40.7%
Q1 - 7:40MILBoykins 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)11
55.8%
12
44.2%
Q1 - 8:04ORLTurkoglu Running Layup (2 PTS)11
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 8:18MILPatterson 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 8:38ORLHoward 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)9
57.9%
8
42.1%
Q1 - 8:57ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
56.2%
8
43.8%
Q1 - 8:58MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 9:18MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 9:20ORLMISS Hill 11' Jump Bank Shot7
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 9:34MILWilliams 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)7
56.2%
8
43.8%
Q1 - 9:52ORLHoward Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)7
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 10:10MILBoykins 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
56.1%
6
43.9%
Q1 - 10:29ORLBattie Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)5
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 10:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
56.1%
4
43.9%
Q1 - 10:33ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot3
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 10:54MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
56.1%
4
43.9%
Q1 - 11:11MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 11:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 23
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 11:12ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 11:25MILPatterson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)2
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. Howard: Tip to Battie0
57.7%
0
42.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.29 64.3%
MIL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
33
35
94%
MIL
15
27
56%
Midrange
ORL
12
31
39%
MIL
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIL
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
ORL
12
23
52%
MIL
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2583%12.5 / 15
T. Ariza1689%8.0 / 9
D. Howard1563%7.5 / 12
J. Nelson1260%6.0 / 10
D. Milicic1179%5.5 / 7
K. Dooling867%4.0 / 6
G. Hill744%3.5 / 8
J. Redick758%3.5 / 6
T. Battie6100%3.0 / 3
C. Arroyo650%3.0 / 6
K. Bogans225%1.0 / 4
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova1856%9.0 / 16
C. Bell1343%6.5 / 15
M. Williams1359%6.5 / 11
E. Boykins1250%6.0 / 12
L. Greer1286%6.0 / 7
R. Patterson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Reiner844%4.0 / 9
D. Noel433%2.0 / 6
D. Markota350%1.5 / 3
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+10
-14
90
MIL
79
+11
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.29 64.3%
MIL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
107.1
ORL 124.5 +23.4
MIL 101.1
Pace
89.8
92.3
ORL 90.9
MIL 96.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.1
ORL 15.8
MIL 15.0 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.4%
ORL 65.6% +18.2%
MIL 47.4%
TO %
18.0%
15.7%
ORL 14.3%
MIL 14.3%
ORB %
29.3%
27.8%
ORL 22.2% +1.3%
MIL 20.9%
FTrt
39.3
28.6
ORL 28.8
MIL 37.7 +8.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
56.7%
ORL 72.0% +19.1%
MIL 52.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
ORL 11.7% +2.0%
MIL 9.7%
BLK %
8.5%
4.4%
ORL 5.2% +5.2%
MIL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.9%
ORL 64.3% +12.7%
MIL 51.6%
Rim FG%
61.6%
58.1%
ORL 94.3% +38.7%
MIL 55.6%
Mid FG%
38.3%
40.0%
ORL 38.7%
MIL 45.2% +6.5%
3P %
35.6%
35.6%
ORL 35.7% +9.4%
MIL 26.3%
FT %
70.2%
73.3%
ORL 52.2%
MIL 72.4% +20.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
41.1%
ORL 43.8% +8.7%
MIL 35.1%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
37.0%
ORL 38.8% +1.5%
MIL 40.3%
3P Att. %
15.8%
21.9%
ORL 17.5%
MIL 24.7% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIL
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points11794
Rebounds4237
Assists3618
Steals119
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)28 (0)
Field Goals50-8034-77
At-the-Rim FG33-3515-27
Midrange FG12-3114-31
2-Point FG45-6629-58
3-Point FG5-145-19
Free Throws12-2321-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
34.3
25
83%
2
6
0
0
1
3
1
1
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
4-5
80%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
28.6
15
63%
11
2
2
1
1
0
2
9
1-4
25%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 225 · 35
27.6
7
44%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
25.8
12
60%
4
9
2
0
2
1
1
3
4-5
80%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
19.1
6
100%
4
1
0
0
1
5
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
24.1
11
79%
9
4
1
1
1
3
2
7
1-4
25%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
17.6
16
89%
3
0
1
0
2
3
1
2
2-5
40%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
17.6
7
58%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
15.9
8
67%
0
4
2
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
14.5
6
50%
2
5
1
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
8.7
2
25%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
6.3
2
100%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
64%
42
36
11
3
14
0
8
34
12-23
52%
45-66
68%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.