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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Rockets56%9791
9Jazz44%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.2
32.6
22.6
20
56%
4
0
2
0
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
8-16
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
29.4
28.5
18
65%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
3-5
60%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.9
25.6
19.1
6
75%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.7
11.6
37.0
3
38%
0
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.6
9.7
35.1
2
100%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
34.9
5.0
14
60%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
5-7
1-1
71%
48%
0-3
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.4
31.0
5.4
10
36%
1
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.7
27.6
3.2
13
53%
0
3
1
0
1
4
0
0
11-12
92%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.8
19.1
2.5
3
38%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
1-4
25%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.9
18.6
3.8
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.9
36.8
1
8-17
47%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.6
34.1
0
9-16
53%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.8
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
22.3
22.7
4
52%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.9
18.9
26.9
12
68%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
2-3
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.4
18.5
30.6
9
51%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
3-7
8-14
43%
54%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.8
16.8
31.4
4
40%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.7
16.0
27.2
5
40%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-3
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
41%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
31.2
15.9
13
62%
5
8
3
1
0
3
0
5
7-8
88%
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.2
29.5
19.8
14
55%
10
0
0
1
0
4
5
5
2-4
50%
6-11
3-5
55%
51%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
25.7
14.7
14
64%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.1
18.3
12.6
7
51%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.7
17.1
5.9
8
52%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.9
13.7
26.2
8
103%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
4-9
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.4
12.0
13.4
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.