| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIA | 113.6 | 88 | 93.5 |
Scoring Opportunities
IND
72
+15
-16
87
MIA
76
+12
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | IND | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 96 0% | 100 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 96 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | IND | MISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 0.2% | 100 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 96 1.8% | 100 98.2% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | MIA | MISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 | 96 1.8% | 100 98.2% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 96 0.9% | 100 99.1% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 96 1.8% | 99 98.2% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | IND | MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot | 96 2.6% | 99 97.4% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Haslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 96 6.4% | 99 93.6% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | IND | Granger Driving Layup (24 PTS) | 96 14.9% | 97 85.1% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Wade Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Williams 9 AST) | 94 9.3% | 97 90.7% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 94 17.2% | 95 82.8% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | IND | MISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 94 20.8% | 95 79.2% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 94 29.0% | 95 71.0% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | IND | MISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot | 94 20.6% | 95 79.4% |
| Q4 - 1:29 | MIA | Posey 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 94 28.4% | 95 71.6% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | IND | Wade STEAL (5 STL) | 94 50.5% | 92 49.5% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 94 62.9% | 92 37.1% |
| Q4 - 2:05 | IND | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 94 69.3% | 90 30.7% |
| Q4 - 2:05 | IND | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 93 67.3% | 90 32.7% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | MIA | Wade 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 93 73.3% | 90 26.7% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 93 77.3% | 88 22.7% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | IND | MISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 | 92 76.0% | 88 24.0% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 92 78.0% | 88 22.0% |
| Q4 - 3:02 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 92 82.3% | 86 17.7% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | IND | MISS O'Neal Driving Layup | 92 84.8% | 86 15.2% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | IND | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 92 89.5% | 86 10.5% |
| Q4 - 3:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 92 87.7% | 86 12.3% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 92 77.6% | 86 22.4% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | IND | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 92 78.5% | 86 21.5% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | IND | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 92 82.2% | 86 17.8% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | O'Neal 7' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Williams 8 AST) | 91 78.7% | 86 21.3% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | IND | Granger Dunk (21 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST) | 91 84.3% | 84 15.7% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | MIA | Wade Reverse Dunk (15 PTS) | 89 79.2% | 84 20.8% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | IND | Wade STEAL (4 STL) | 89 84.5% | 82 15.5% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | IND | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 89 89.1% | 82 10.9% |
| Q4 - 4:50 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 89 87.8% | 82 12.2% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | IND | Shaw. Williams 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 89 79.1% | 82 20.9% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | MIA | Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 7 AST) | 87 73.7% | 82 26.3% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | IND | Diogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 87 84.4% | 79 15.6% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | IND | Diogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 86 83.7% | 79 16.3% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | IND | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 85 79.8% | 79 20.2% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | IND | MISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 75.6% | 79 24.4% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | IND | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 85 79.8% | 79 20.2% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS Wade Layup | 85 78.0% | 79 22.0% |
| Q4 - 6:13 | IND | Diogu 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) | 85 68.2% | 79 31.8% |
| Q4 - 6:38 | MIA | O'Neal 11' Hook Shot (19 PTS) | 83 62.6% | 79 37.4% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 83 68.5% | 77 31.5% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 83 73.5% | 77 26.5% |
| Q4 - 7:05 | IND | Granger Traveling Turnover (P5.T15) | 83 64.4% | 77 35.6% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 83 71.2% | 77 28.8% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Layup | 83 69.3% | 77 30.7% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | IND | Diogu 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST) | 83 64.6% | 77 35.4% |
| Q4 - 7:56 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 81 59.0% | 77 41.0% |
| Q4 - 7:58 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 56.7% | 77 43.3% |
| Q4 - 8:07 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 81 49.5% | 77 50.5% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | IND | MISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 51.5% | 77 48.5% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 81 56.0% | 77 44.0% |
| Q4 - 8:14 | IND | MISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 51.5% | 77 48.5% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | IND | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 81 56.0% | 77 44.0% |
| Q4 - 8:20 | IND | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 81 51.5% | 77 48.5% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | IND | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 81 56.1% | 77 43.9% |
| Q4 - 8:39 | MIA | MISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot | 81 54.1% | 77 45.9% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | IND | Murphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 81 49.6% | 77 50.4% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | IND | Murphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 80 48.3% | 77 51.7% |
| Q4 - 9:22 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 79 41.8% | 77 58.2% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 79 47.5% | 75 52.5% |
| Q4 - 9:41 | IND | MISS Armstrong 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 49.4% | 75 50.6% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 79 53.8% | 75 46.2% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 79 54.9% | 74 45.1% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | IND | Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST) | 79 57.2% | 73 42.8% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | MIA | Walker Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 76 46.4% | 73 53.6% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | IND | Diogu 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS) | 76 51.7% | 71 48.3% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 74 45.6% | 71 54.4% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 74 43.9% | 71 56.1% |
| Q4 - 11:31 | IND | Murphy Foul Turnover (P1.T14) | 74 40.0% | 71 60.0% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12) | 74 45.6% | 71 54.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 74 40.0% | 71 60.0% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 74 40.0% | 71 60.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Williams 59' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 43.9% | 71 56.1% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | IND | Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 3 AST) | 74 38.9% | 71 61.1% |
| Q3 - 0:21.0 | IND | Foster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0) | 71 29.7% | 71 70.3% |
| Q3 - 0:23.0 | IND | MISS Granger 21' Jump Shot | 71 26.9% | 71 73.1% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS) | 71 29.8% | 71 70.2% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 71 34.3% | 69 65.7% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | IND | MISS Murphy 9' Running Hook Shot | 71 35.7% | 69 64.3% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 71 37.8% | 69 62.2% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | MIA | MISS Walker Driving Layup | 71 36.4% | 69 63.6% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | IND | Granger 7' Hook Shot (19 PTS) | 71 33.3% | 69 66.7% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | IND | McLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 69 29.2% | 69 70.8% |
| Q3 - 1:58 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot | 69 27.9% | 69 72.1% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | IND | Murphy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 2 AST) | 69 24.5% | 69 75.5% |
| Q3 - 2:34 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 21.6% | 69 78.4% |
| Q3 - 2:36 | MIA | MISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 20.5% | 69 79.5% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 67 18.3% | 69 81.7% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | IND | MISS Foster 6' Jump Shot | 67 19.3% | 69 80.7% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | IND | Foster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 67 21.6% | 69 78.4% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 6' Jump Shot | 67 19.3% | 69 80.7% |
| Q3 - 3:11 | MIA | O'Neal 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 67 21.7% | 69 78.3% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | IND | Dunleavy Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Granger 2 AST) | 67 24.7% | 67 75.3% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 65 21.7% | 67 78.3% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | MIA | MISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot | 65 20.7% | 67 79.3% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 65 18.6% | 67 81.4% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | MIA | MISS Jones Layup | 65 20.7% | 67 79.3% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | IND | Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST) | 65 18.3% | 67 81.7% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | MIA | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 62 14.0% | 67 86.0% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | IND | McLeod 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 62 18.3% | 64 81.7% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) | 60 16.2% | 64 83.8% |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 60 18.6% | 62 81.4% |
| Q3 - 5:07 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 9' Jump Shot | 60 19.4% | 62 80.6% |
| Q3 - 5:23 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 21.4% | 62 78.6% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 60 21.0% | 62 79.0% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 60 19.9% | 62 80.1% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 60 18.5% | 62 81.5% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 8' Jump Shot | 60 20.5% | 62 79.5% |
| Q3 - 5:44 | IND | Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 60 18.5% | 62 81.5% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 58 16.3% | 62 83.7% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS Haslem Layup | 58 15.5% | 62 84.5% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 58 16.3% | 62 83.7% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 58 16.7% | 61 83.3% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 58 18.5% | 60 81.5% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | MIA | MISS Wade Layup | 58 20.4% | 60 79.6% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 58 18.4% | 60 81.6% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS Haslem Layup | 58 20.3% | 60 79.7% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 58 18.4% | 60 81.6% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | IND | MISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot | 58 19.2% | 60 80.8% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 58 21.2% | 60 78.8% |
| Q3 - 6:25 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 58 20.3% | 60 79.7% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | IND | O'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 58 18.5% | 60 81.5% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 58 21.2% | 60 78.8% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 58 20.3% | 60 79.7% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | IND | Foster Layup (10 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST) | 58 18.3% | 60 81.7% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | MIA | Haslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST) | 56 16.4% | 60 83.6% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | IND | Foster Dunk (8 PTS) | 56 18.3% | 58 81.7% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | IND | Foster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 54 16.5% | 58 83.5% |
| Q3 - 8:07 | IND | MISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot | 54 14.9% | 58 85.1% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 54 16.5% | 58 83.5% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | MIA | MISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot | 54 15.8% | 58 84.2% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 54 14.2% | 58 85.8% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 | 54 16.2% | 58 83.8% |
| Q3 - 8:57 | IND | Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foster 1 AST) | 54 18.3% | 56 81.7% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | IND | MISS Granger Free Throw Technical | 52 16.1% | 56 83.9% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 52 16.1% | 56 83.9% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 15.5% | 56 84.5% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | IND | Wade STEAL (3 STL) | 52 14.2% | 56 85.8% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 52 16.1% | 56 83.9% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 17.1% | 55 82.9% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | IND | Foster 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 52 15.8% | 55 84.2% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | MIA | O'Neal 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 50 14.2% | 55 85.8% |
| Q3 - 10:39 | IND | Granger 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST) | 50 15.8% | 53 84.2% |
| Q3 - 10:44 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 48 14.2% | 53 85.8% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | MIA | MISS Wade Layup | 48 13.6% | 53 86.4% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | IND | Granger 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 48 12.4% | 53 87.6% |
| Q3 - 11:28 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11) | 46 11.0% | 53 89.0% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | IND | Granger Traveling Turnover (P4.T11) | 46 9.7% | 53 90.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | 46 11.0% | 53 89.0% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 46 11.0% | 53 89.0% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | IND | MISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 10.5% | 53 89.5% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 46 11.1% | 53 88.9% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 46 11.6% | 52 88.4% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 46 12.9% | 51 87.1% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | IND | Posey BLOCK (1 BLK) | 46 13.2% | 51 86.8% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST) | 46 14.0% | 51 86.0% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 46 18.1% | 48 81.9% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 45 17.7% | 48 82.3% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | MIA | Mourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 44 15.7% | 48 84.3% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 44 18.4% | 46 81.6% |
| Q2 - 1:09 | MIA | MISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot | 44 19.2% | 46 80.8% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 44 18.4% | 46 81.6% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | MISS Williams Driving Layup | 44 19.2% | 46 80.8% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 44 18.4% | 46 81.6% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 43 18.1% | 46 82.0% |
| Q2 - 1:35 | MIA | Mourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10) | 42 15.7% | 46 84.3% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 42 14.9% | 46 85.1% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 41 14.6% | 46 85.4% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 40 12.6% | 46 87.4% |
| Q2 - 2:15 | IND | O'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 40 11.8% | 46 88.2% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | MIA | Williams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 38 10.5% | 46 89.5% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 38 11.8% | 44 88.2% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | IND | MISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot | 38 12.2% | 44 87.8% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | MIA | Haslem Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST) | 38 13.3% | 44 86.7% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 38 14.6% | 42 85.4% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 37 14.3% | 42 85.7% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 36 13.3% | 42 86.7% |
| Q2 - 3:48 | IND | Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST) | 36 11.8% | 42 88.2% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 33 9.7% | 42 90.3% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 33 12.0% | 39 88.0% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 32 11.8% | 39 88.2% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | MIA | O'Neal Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS) | 31 10.8% | 39 89.2% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 12.0% | 37 88.0% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | MIA | MISS Wade Reverse Layup | 31 12.8% | 37 87.2% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 12.0% | 37 88.0% |
| Q2 - 5:01 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot | 31 12.3% | 37 87.7% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | MIA | Posey Reverse Layup (8 PTS) | 31 13.3% | 37 86.7% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | IND | Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 31 14.5% | 35 85.5% |
| Q2 - 5:56 | MIA | Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST) | 29 13.3% | 35 86.7% |
| Q2 - 6:15 | IND | Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST) | 29 15.9% | 32 84.1% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 26 13.5% | 32 86.5% |
| Q2 - 6:29 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 26 13.0% | 32 87.0% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 26 12.0% | 32 88.0% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | IND | MISS Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot | 26 12.4% | 32 87.6% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 26 13.4% | 32 86.6% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | MIA | MISS Walker 9' Jump Bank Shot | 26 13.0% | 32 87.0% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | IND | Dunleavy Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST) | 26 12.4% | 32 87.6% |
| Q2 - 7:09 | MIA | O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7) | 24 11.3% | 32 88.7% |
| Q2 - 7:31 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 24 10.2% | 32 89.8% |
| Q2 - 7:33 | IND | MISS Shaw. Williams 22' Jump Shot | 24 10.5% | 32 89.5% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | MIA | O'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T6) | 24 11.3% | 32 88.7% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | IND | Pacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10) | 24 10.3% | 32 89.7% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 24 11.4% | 32 88.6% |
| Q2 - 8:11 | IND | MISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 10.6% | 32 89.4% |
| Q2 - 8:37 | MIA | Walker 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 24 11.4% | 32 88.6% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | IND | Mourning STEAL (1 STL) | 24 12.4% | 30 87.6% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | MIA | Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 24 13.7% | 30 86.3% |
| Q2 - 9:16 | IND | O'Neal 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST) | 24 16.1% | 27 83.9% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | IND | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 22 14.9% | 27 85.1% |
| Q2 - 9:23 | IND | MISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot | 22 14.0% | 27 86.0% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 22 14.9% | 27 85.1% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 15.4% | 26 84.6% |
| Q2 - 9:59 | IND | Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST) | 22 14.8% | 26 85.2% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 19 12.7% | 26 87.3% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | MIA | MISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot | 19 12.3% | 26 87.7% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 11.5% | 26 88.5% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | IND | MISS Armstrong 14' Jump Shot | 19 11.9% | 26 88.1% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | IND | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 12.7% | 26 87.3% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | MIA | MISS Walker 11' Jump Shot | 19 12.3% | 26 87.7% |
| Q2 - 10:54 | IND | Diogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 19 11.5% | 26 88.5% |
| Q2 - 10:54 | IND | MISS Diogu Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 11.3% | 26 88.7% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | IND | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 11.5% | 26 88.5% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | MISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 18 11.2% | 26 88.8% |
| Q2 - 11:21 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 18 10.5% | 26 89.5% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | IND | MISS Armstrong 12' Running Jump Shot | 18 10.8% | 26 89.2% |
| Q2 - 11:29 | IND | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 11.5% | 26 88.5% |
| Q2 - 11:31 | MIA | MISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot | 18 11.2% | 26 88.8% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | IND | Shaw. Williams 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) | 18 10.5% | 26 89.5% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 16 9.7% | 26 90.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST) | 16 8.8% | 26 91.2% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Mourning 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 13 7.4% | 26 92.6% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 8.3% | 24 91.7% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | IND | MISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot | 13 8.4% | 24 91.6% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Jones Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST) | 13 8.8% | 24 91.2% |
| Q1 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 9.8% | 22 90.2% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | MIA | MISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot | 13 10.4% | 22 89.6% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 9.9% | 22 90.1% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | IND | MISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 | 13 10.0% | 22 90.0% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 13 10.6% | 22 89.4% |
| Q1 - 1:37 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 12 9.7% | 22 90.3% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | IND | MISS Granger 14' Jump Shot | 12 9.3% | 22 90.7% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | MIA | Walker Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 12 9.7% | 22 90.3% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | IND | Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 12 10.7% | 20 89.3% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | MIA | Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 9 9.0% | 20 91.0% |
| Q1 - 2:54 | IND | McLeod Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8) | 9 10.7% | 17 89.3% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 11.8% | 17 88.2% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot | 9 11.5% | 17 88.5% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | IND | Jones STEAL (3 STL) | 9 10.8% | 17 89.2% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 9 11.8% | 17 88.2% |
| Q1 - 4:00 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 12.7% | 15 87.3% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | IND | MISS McLeod 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 9 12.9% | 15 87.1% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 13.8% | 15 86.2% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 9 13.4% | 15 86.6% |
| Q1 - 4:38 | IND | Walker STEAL (1 STL) | 9 12.6% | 15 87.4% |
| Q1 - 4:55 | MIA | Walker Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 9 13.8% | 15 86.2% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | IND | Jones STEAL (2 STL) | 9 14.6% | 13 85.4% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 9 15.8% | 13 84.2% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | IND | McLeod 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 9 16.8% | 11 83.2% |
| Q1 - 5:58 | MIA | Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) | 7 15.8% | 11 84.2% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | IND | McLeod 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST) | 7 16.8% | 9 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:41 | MIA | Walker Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 4 14.7% | 9 85.3% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | IND | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 4 13.7% | 9 86.3% |
| Q1 - 6:54 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 4 14.7% | 9 85.3% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | IND | MISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot | 4 14.0% | 9 86.0% |
| Q1 - 7:09 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 4 14.8% | 9 85.2% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | IND | Foster Dunk (4 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST) | 4 13.8% | 9 86.2% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 2 13.0% | 9 87.0% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | IND | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 2 12.1% | 9 87.9% |
| Q1 - 7:58 | MIA | O'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2) | 2 13.0% | 9 87.0% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 2 12.0% | 9 88.0% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | IND | MISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 12.2% | 9 87.8% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 12.9% | 9 87.1% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot | 2 12.6% | 9 87.4% |
| Q1 - 8:26 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 12.0% | 9 88.0% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | IND | MISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot | 2 12.2% | 9 87.8% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | MIA | Haslem 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 2 12.9% | 9 87.1% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 13.7% | 7 86.3% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot | 2 14.0% | 7 86.0% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 2 14.6% | 7 85.4% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | IND | MISS Dunleavy Layup | 2 13.8% | 7 86.2% |
| Q1 - 9:21 | MIA | O'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 14.6% | 7 85.4% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 13.5% | 7 86.5% |
| Q1 - 9:29 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot | 2 13.8% | 7 86.2% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 2 14.6% | 7 85.4% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 2 14.8% | 6 85.2% |
| Q1 - 9:47 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 14.4% | 6 85.6% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | IND | MISS McLeod 19' Jump Shot | 2 14.7% | 6 85.3% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | MIA | Haslem 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 2 15.5% | 6 84.5% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | IND | Foster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 16.4% | 4 83.6% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | IND | Foster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 16.1% | 4 83.9% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | IND | Foster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 15.5% | 4 84.5% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | IND | MISS O'Neal 9' Fadeaway Jumper | 0 14.7% | 4 85.3% |
| Q1 - 10:46 | MIA | Wade Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 0 15.5% | 4 84.5% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | IND | Jones STEAL (1 STL) | 0 16.4% | 2 83.6% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 0 17.4% | 2 82.6% |
| Q1 - 11:07 | IND | MISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot | 0 16.8% | 2 83.2% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 0 17.4% | 2 82.6% |
| Q1 - 11:33 | IND | O'Neal STEAL (1 STL) | 0 18.6% | 0 81.4% |
| Q1 - 11:46 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 19.6% | 0 80.4% |
| Q1 - 11:48 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 0 19.3% | 0 80.7% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams | 0 18.6% | 0 81.4% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
7
10
70%
MIA
16
30
53%
Midrange
IND
17
45
38%
MIA
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIA
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
IND
21
27
78%
MIA
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Granger | 24 | 75% | 12.0 / 16 | |
| M. Dunleavy | 14 | 50% | 7.0 / 14 | |
| J. Foster | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| T. Murphy | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| S. Williams | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| I. Diogu | 9 | 90% | 4.5 / 5 | |
| K. McLeod | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| J. O'Neal | 6 | 20% | 3.0 / 15 | |
| D. Armstrong | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 23 | 46% | 11.5 / 25 | |
| S. O'Neal | 21 | 75% | 10.5 / 14 | |
| J. Posey | 18 | 129% | 9.0 / 7 | |
| A. Walker | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| U. Haslem | 10 | 45% | 5.0 / 11 | |
| A. Mourning | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| J. Williams | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| C. Quinn | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| E. Jones | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| J. Kapono | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
IND
72
+15
-16
87
MIA
76
+12
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.0 104.2 | IND 109.1 MIA 113.6 +4.5 |
| Pace | 92.4 90.1 | IND 83.1 MIA 93.5 +10.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.7 16.5 | IND 17.3 MIA 15.4 +1.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.4% 50.6% | IND 52.1% MIA 57.7% +5.6% |
| TO % | 17.1% 15.3% | IND 16.9% MIA 12.3% +4.6% |
| ORB % | 28.4% 24.9% | IND 36.4% +6.7% MIA 29.7% |
| FTrt | 32.4 32.1 | IND 37.5 +15.7 MIA 21.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.5% 57.6% | IND 57.6% +8.8% MIA 48.8% |
| STL % | 7.9% 7.6% | IND 5.7% MIA 12.5% +6.8% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 8.8% | IND 6.3% +2.7% MIA 3.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.0% 52.4% | IND 55.2% MIA 56.2% +1.0% |
| Rim FG% | 56.1% 61.8% | IND 70.0% +16.7% MIA 53.3% |
| Mid FG% | 39.0% 40.5% | IND 37.8% MIA 51.5% +13.7% |
| 3P % | 34.6% 34.3% | IND 52.9% MIA 53.3% +0.4% |
| FT % | 76.0% 69.0% | IND 77.8% +19.0% MIA 58.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 33.3% 34.9% | IND 13.9% MIA 38.5% +24.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.5% 40.7% | IND 62.5% MIA 42.3% +20.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.2% 24.5% | IND 23.6% +4.4% MIA 19.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
| Game Totals | IND | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 88 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.4 | 22.6 |
| Points | 96 | 100 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 32 |
| Assists | 19 | 20 |
| Steals | 5 | 11 |
| Blocks | 4 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (1) | 12 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (3) | 11 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (2) | 21 (5) |
| Field Goals | 33-72 | 41-78 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 7-10 | 16-30 |
| Midrange FG | 17-45 | 17-33 |
| 2-Point FG | 24-55 | 33-63 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-17 | 8-15 |
| Free Throws | 21-27 | 10-17 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.