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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bobcats45%99113
24Bucks55%10192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
39.7
34.3
30
97%
9
0
0
1
0
2
2
7
0-1
0%
6-7
4-8
86%
55%
6-8
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.8
38.2
33.3
13
55%
1
9
3
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
6-9
4-9
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.7
29.5
21.2
21
76%
0
4
5
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
7-9
1-3
78%
45%
2-4
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
26.9
30.6
10
56%
5
5
0
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.4
23.6
28.1
4
22%
2
6
1
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-8
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
34.6
19.1
24
74%
8
3
2
0
0
5
4
4
3-5
60%
9-12
2-4
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.5
26.5
19.3
6
50%
3
11
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
8.1
7.4
3
80%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
7.2
8.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.5
5.8
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
22.6
1
4-8
54%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.7
15.3
0
2-4
43%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.0
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.6
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.1
37.0
36.4
10
42%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.3
36.5
21.3
16
50%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
49%
2-4
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
36.0
30.0
14
44%
14
1
3
1
0
4
5
9
4-9
44%
5-12
4-8
42%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.9
28.6
34.4
13
74%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
3-5
3-8
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.7
25.1
28.5
10
49%
7
5
2
1
0
6
2
5
4-5
80%
3-8
6-10
38%
55%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
28.1
20.5
14
79%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
47%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
19.4
18.1
9
71%
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-2
50%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
18.4
23.9
4
42%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
7.4
13.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
3.6
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
12.0
0
2-4
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
9.0
0
1-1
51%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.9
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.