| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Scoring Opportunities
WAS
82
+6
-11
88
IND
81
+12
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
WAS
1.13 56.3%
IND
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | WAS | IND |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | WAS | 98 100% | 95 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | IND | Granger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12) | 98 98.1% | 95 1.9% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | WAS | Songaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 98 90.0% | 95 10.0% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | WAS | Songaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 97 88.6% | 95 11.4% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | WAS | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 96 77.4% | 95 22.6% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | IND | MISS Diogu Free Throw 2 of 2 | 96 74.8% | 95 25.2% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | IND | MISS Diogu Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 62.3% | 95 37.7% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 96 53.4% | 95 46.6% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 96 53.4% | 95 46.6% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | WAS | MISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 | 95 50.7% | 95 49.3% |
| Q4 - 0:41.0 | IND | Dunleavy 10' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) | 95 56.8% | 95 43.2% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | WAS | Daniels 11' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) | 95 68.0% | 93 32.0% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 93 53.8% | 93 46.2% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 93 56.2% | 92 43.8% |
| Q4 - 1:21 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 93 64.5% | 91 35.5% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 16' Jump Shot | 93 68.5% | 91 31.5% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | IND | Diogu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 93 75.2% | 91 24.8% |
| Q4 - 1:52 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 93 63.1% | 91 36.9% |
| Q4 - 1:53 | WAS | MISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 | 93 64.7% | 91 35.3% |
| Q4 - 1:53 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 93 72.2% | 91 27.8% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 92 65.3% | 91 34.7% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 92 67.1% | 90 32.9% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 92 71.1% | 89 28.9% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | WAS | MISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 92 73.0% | 89 27.0% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | WAS | Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 92 77.9% | 89 22.1% |
| Q4 - 2:34 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 91 75.5% | 89 24.5% |
| Q4 - 2:34 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 91 76.9% | 88 23.1% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | IND | McLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 91 79.5% | 87 20.5% |
| Q4 - 2:44 | WAS | MISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot | 91 82.8% | 87 17.2% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | IND | Murphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 91 86.0% | 87 14.0% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | IND | Murphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 91 86.9% | 86 13.1% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | WAS | Daniels Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 91 89.0% | 85 11.0% |
| Q4 - 3:31 | IND | McLeod 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 91 89.6% | 85 10.4% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | WAS | Haywood 3' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST) | 91 93.0% | 83 7.0% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 89 90.4% | 83 9.6% |
| Q4 - 4:04 | IND | MISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 | 89 90.0% | 83 10.0% |
| Q4 - 4:04 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 89 87.4% | 83 12.6% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | WAS | Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Daniels 9 AST) | 89 90.4% | 82 9.6% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | IND | Diogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 86 82.0% | 82 18.0% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | IND | Diogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 86 82.9% | 81 17.1% |
| Q4 - 4:41 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 86 86.7% | 80 13.3% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | WAS | MISS Hayes 2' Layup | 86 88.1% | 80 11.9% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 86 90.7% | 80 9.3% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | IND | MISS McLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 89.7% | 80 10.3% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 86 83.4% | 80 16.6% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | WAS | Haywood 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS) | 86 83.4% | 80 16.6% |
| Q4 - 5:19 | WAS | MISS Jamison 8' Running Jump Shot | 84 74.1% | 80 25.9% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11) | 84 78.6% | 80 21.4% |
| Q4 - 5:40 | IND | MISS Granger 15' Jump Shot | 84 76.8% | 80 23.2% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | WAS | Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Daniels 8 AST) | 84 72.2% | 80 27.8% |
| Q4 - 6:07 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 81 56.1% | 80 43.9% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | IND | MISS Diogu 3' Layup | 81 53.4% | 80 46.6% |
| Q4 - 6:10 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 81 47.4% | 80 52.6% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | IND | MISS Granger 17' Jump Shot | 81 53.4% | 80 46.6% |
| Q4 - 6:17 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 81 47.4% | 80 52.6% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | WAS | MISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot | 81 50.1% | 80 49.9% |
| Q4 - 6:26 | WAS | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 81 56.1% | 80 43.9% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | IND | MISS Diogu 5' Jump Shot | 81 53.5% | 80 46.5% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | WAS | Stevenson 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 81 47.5% | 80 52.5% |
| Q4 - 7:15 | IND | Baston Foul Turnover (P3.T10) | 79 41.4% | 80 58.6% |
| Q4 - 7:30 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 79 34.0% | 80 66.0% |
| Q4 - 7:32 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 36.2% | 80 63.8% |
| Q4 - 7:58 | IND | Baston 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 79 41.3% | 80 58.7% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS) | 79 47.3% | 78 52.7% |
| Q4 - 8:29 | IND | Greene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 76 35.1% | 78 64.9% |
| Q4 - 8:29 | IND | MISS Greene Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 36.8% | 77 63.2% |
| Q4 - 8:48 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 76 34.9% | 77 65.1% |
| Q4 - 8:48 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 2 | 76 35.7% | 77 64.3% |
| Q4 - 8:48 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 38.7% | 77 61.3% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 76 41.1% | 77 58.9% |
| Q4 - 8:58 | IND | MISS Diogu 8' Fadeaway Jumper | 76 39.2% | 77 60.8% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | WAS | Stevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 76 35.3% | 77 64.7% |
| Q4 - 9:29 | IND | Baston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 76 41.3% | 77 58.7% |
| Q4 - 9:32 | WAS | Greene STEAL (2 STL) | 76 35.3% | 77 64.7% |
| Q4 - 9:47 | IND | Greene 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 76 41.2% | 77 58.8% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | IND | Baston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 76 46.4% | 75 53.6% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | WAS | Granger BLOCK (1 BLK) | 76 48.3% | 75 51.7% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | IND | Dunleavy Foul Turnover (P3.T8) | 76 52.6% | 75 47.4% |
| Q4 - 10:23 | IND | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 46.4% | 75 53.6% |
| Q4 - 10:25 | WAS | MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot | 76 48.3% | 75 51.7% |
| Q4 - 10:42 | IND | Diogu 10' Hook Bank Shot (11 PTS) | 76 52.6% | 75 47.4% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 76 57.0% | 73 43.0% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | WAS | MISS Taylor 21' Jump Shot | 76 58.7% | 73 41.3% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | WAS | Taylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 62.5% | 73 37.5% |
| Q4 - 11:27 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot | 76 60.9% | 73 39.1% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | WAS | Granger STEAL (1 STL) | 76 57.1% | 73 42.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | IND | 76 62.6% | 73 37.4% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | IND | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 76 57.1% | 73 42.9% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | IND | MISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 59.9% | 73 40.1% |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | IND | Baston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 56.5% | 73 43.5% |
| Q3 - 0:18.0 | WAS | MISS Songaila 22' Jump Shot | 76 58.0% | 73 42.0% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | WAS | Taylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 76 61.5% | 73 38.5% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | IND | MISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 60.0% | 73 40.0% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | WAS | Songaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 76 56.5% | 73 43.5% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | WAS | Songaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 75 55.8% | 73 44.2% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | IND | Baston Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 74 51.0% | 73 49.0% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | WAS | Blatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 74 45.9% | 73 54.1% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | WAS | Blatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 73 44.6% | 73 55.4% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 72 41.3% | 73 58.7% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | WAS | MISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 37.9% | 73 62.1% |
| Q3 - 1:46 | IND | McLeod 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Greene 1 AST) | 72 41.3% | 73 58.7% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | WAS | Greene STEAL (1 STL) | 72 46.0% | 71 54.0% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | WAS | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 72 50.2% | 71 49.8% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | IND | MISS Harrison 6' Jump Shot | 72 48.6% | 71 51.4% |
| Q3 - 2:24 | IND | Greene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 72 45.1% | 71 54.9% |
| Q3 - 2:25 | WAS | MISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 46.7% | 71 53.3% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 50.2% | 71 49.8% |
| Q3 - 2:36 | IND | MISS Harrison 15' Jump Shot | 72 48.7% | 71 51.3% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | WAS | Haywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T6) | 72 45.2% | 71 54.8% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 50.0% | 71 50.0% |
| Q3 - 3:05 | IND | MISS Murphy 1' Running Jump Shot | 72 48.6% | 71 51.4% |
| Q3 - 3:23 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 72 45.3% | 71 54.7% |
| Q3 - 3:23 | WAS | MISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 45.9% | 71 54.1% |
| Q3 - 3:23 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 72 49.1% | 71 50.9% |
| Q3 - 3:40 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 71 45.5% | 71 54.5% |
| Q3 - 3:42 | IND | MISS Harrison 4' Jump Hook Shot | 71 44.1% | 71 55.9% |
| Q3 - 4:01 | WAS | Hayes 2' Finger Roll (6 PTS) (Daniels 6 AST) | 71 40.4% | 71 59.6% |
| Q3 - 4:16 | IND | Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McLeod 3 AST) | 69 37.0% | 71 63.0% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 69 44.7% | 68 55.3% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 68 44.1% | 68 55.9% |
| Q3 - 4:46 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 41.1% | 68 58.9% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | IND | MISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot | 67 39.6% | 68 60.4% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | WAS | Harrison STEAL (2 STL) | 67 36.4% | 68 63.6% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 67 41.0% | 68 59.0% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | IND | MISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 | 67 40.4% | 68 59.6% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 67 37.6% | 68 62.4% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | WAS | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 67 40.7% | 67 59.3% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | WAS | MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 66 39.3% | 67 60.7% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 66 41.0% | 67 59.0% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | WAS | MISS Songaila 16' Jump Bank Shot | 66 38.0% | 67 62.0% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 66 41.0% | 67 59.0% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | IND | MISS McLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 39.7% | 67 60.3% |
| Q3 - 5:51 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 66 36.7% | 67 63.3% |
| Q3 - 5:53 | WAS | MISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot | 66 38.0% | 67 62.0% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 66 40.8% | 67 59.2% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | IND | MISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 39.6% | 67 60.4% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS) | 66 36.8% | 67 63.2% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS) | 65 35.9% | 67 64.1% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 3 | 64 35.0% | 67 65.0% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 64 33.4% | 67 66.6% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | IND | MISS Diogu 4' Jump Hook Shot | 64 32.2% | 67 67.8% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 64 29.7% | 67 70.3% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | IND | MISS Diogu Free Throw 2 of 2 | 64 32.9% | 67 67.1% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | IND | Diogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 64 30.4% | 67 69.6% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 64 33.1% | 66 66.9% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | WAS | MISS Daniels 2' Driving Finger Roll | 64 34.2% | 66 65.8% |
| Q3 - 7:20 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 64 37.0% | 66 63.0% |
| Q3 - 7:22 | IND | MISS Granger 4' Jump Hook Shot | 64 35.7% | 66 64.3% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | IND | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 64 33.0% | 66 67.0% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | WAS | MISS Hayes 4' Finger Roll | 64 34.2% | 66 65.8% |
| Q3 - 7:55 | IND | Granger 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 64 37.0% | 66 63.0% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 64 40.3% | 64 59.7% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | WAS | MISS Hayes 19' Jump Shot | 64 41.6% | 64 58.4% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | IND | Diogu 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 64 44.5% | 64 55.5% |
| Q3 - 8:27 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 64 47.7% | 62 52.3% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | IND | MISS Murphy 14' Jump Shot | 64 50.7% | 62 49.3% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 64 47.7% | 62 52.3% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | WAS | Thomas 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS) | 64 47.7% | 62 52.3% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | WAS | MISS Hayes 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 62 41.5% | 62 58.5% |
| Q3 - 9:00 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 62 44.5% | 62 55.5% |
| Q3 - 9:01 | WAS | MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 41.3% | 62 58.7% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 43.8% | 62 56.2% |
| Q3 - 9:10 | IND | MISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot | 62 42.7% | 62 57.3% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | WAS | Thomas 4' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) | 62 40.2% | 62 59.8% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | IND | McLeod 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 60 36.9% | 62 63.1% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | IND | McLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 60 40.2% | 60 59.8% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | WAS | MISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 60 40.7% | 60 59.3% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | WAS | Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 60 42.9% | 60 57.1% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | IND | Diogu 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST) | 59 40.4% | 60 59.6% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | WAS | Thomas Traveling Turnover (P2.T4) | 59 43.5% | 58 56.5% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | IND | McLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 59 47.4% | 58 52.6% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | WAS | Murphy STEAL (1 STL) | 59 54.1% | 55 45.9% |
| Q3 - 11:09 | IND | Diogu 3' Turnaround Finger Roll (4 PTS) | 59 57.4% | 55 42.6% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | WAS | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 59 60.6% | 53 39.4% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | WAS | MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 58 59.4% | 53 40.6% |
| Q3 - 11:38 | IND | Diogu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 58 60.8% | 53 39.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | WAS | 58 57.3% | 53 42.7% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 60.8% | 53 39.2% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | IND | MISS Murphy 14' Jump Shot | 58 58.8% | 53 41.2% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 58 57.3% | 53 42.7% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 57.9% | 53 42.1% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | IND | Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST) | 58 59.6% | 53 40.4% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | WAS | Haywood 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST) | 58 66.6% | 50 33.4% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 56 62.8% | 50 37.2% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 8' Jump Shot | 56 62.1% | 50 37.9% |
| Q2 - 1:18 | WAS | Haywood 3' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST) | 56 60.3% | 50 39.7% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | IND | Baston 3' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 54 55.6% | 50 44.4% |
| Q2 - 1:55 | WAS | Haywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 54 60.3% | 48 39.7% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | IND | Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST) | 51 52.6% | 48 47.4% |
| Q2 - 2:20 | WAS | Stevenson 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 51 59.0% | 45 41.0% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | IND | Murphy 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST) | 48 52.6% | 45 47.4% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 48 59.1% | 42 40.9% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | WAS | MISS Haywood 5' Running Hook Shot | 48 59.9% | 42 40.1% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | IND | Dunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 48 61.1% | 42 38.9% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | WAS | Daniels 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 48 57.9% | 42 42.1% |
| Q2 - 3:34 | IND | Armstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 46 55.3% | 42 44.7% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | WAS | Daniels 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST) | 46 52.0% | 42 48.0% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | IND | Marshall 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 44 48.7% | 42 51.3% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 44 51.6% | 40 48.4% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 43 51.0% | 40 49.0% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | IND | Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 42 48.7% | 40 51.3% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | IND | Baston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 54.5% | 37 45.5% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 42 55.4% | 37 44.6% |
| Q2 - 5:04 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 57.1% | 37 42.9% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | IND | MISS Granger 18' Jump Shot | 42 56.2% | 37 43.8% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | WAS | Jamison 8' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) | 42 54.1% | 37 45.9% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 40 51.5% | 37 48.5% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 51.9% | 36 48.1% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 40 54.1% | 35 45.9% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | WAS | MISS Jamison 14' Running Jump Shot | 40 55.0% | 35 45.0% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | IND | Granger 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 40 56.8% | 35 43.2% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | WAS | Mason Jr. Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS) | 40 59.0% | 33 41.0% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | WAS | Mason Jr. Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS) | 39 58.6% | 33 41.4% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | WAS | Mason Jr. Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS) | 38 58.2% | 33 41.8% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | IND | Marshall 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 37 54.1% | 33 45.9% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | WAS | Thomas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 37 56.3% | 31 43.7% |
| Q2 - 7:20 | IND | Marshall 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Baston 2 AST) | 35 53.5% | 31 46.5% |
| Q2 - 7:37 | WAS | Jamison 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST) | 35 55.9% | 29 44.1% |
| Q2 - 7:46 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 33 53.5% | 29 46.5% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | IND | MISS Marshall 10' Jump Shot | 33 52.7% | 29 47.3% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | WAS | Harrison STEAL (1 STL) | 33 50.7% | 29 49.3% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | IND | Harrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 33 53.2% | 29 46.8% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | IND | Harrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 33 54.2% | 28 45.8% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | IND | Harrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 33 55.4% | 27 44.6% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | IND | MISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 57.4% | 27 42.6% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | WAS | Songaila 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST) | 33 55.4% | 27 44.6% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | IND | Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrison 1 AST) | 31 53.2% | 27 46.8% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 31 57.4% | 24 42.6% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | IND | MISS Harrison 9' Jump Bank Shot | 31 59.3% | 24 40.7% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | WAS | Taylor 2' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) | 31 57.4% | 24 42.6% |
| Q2 - 9:29 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 55.2% | 24 44.8% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | IND | MISS Harrison 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 29 54.4% | 24 45.6% |
| Q2 - 9:51 | WAS | Mason Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 29 52.4% | 24 47.6% |
| Q2 - 9:51 | WAS | Mason Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 28 52.1% | 24 47.9% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | IND | Dunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 27 50.0% | 24 50.0% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | WAS | Songaila 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 27 47.2% | 24 52.8% |
| Q2 - 10:32 | IND | Armstrong 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 25 45.1% | 24 54.9% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | WAS | Dunleavy STEAL (1 STL) | 25 47.2% | 22 52.8% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | IND | Baston 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 25 49.3% | 22 50.7% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | IND | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 51.8% | 20 48.2% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | WAS | MISS Booth 18' Jump Shot | 25 52.5% | 20 47.5% |
| Q2 - 11:39 | IND | Harrison 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Baston 1 AST) | 25 54.2% | 20 45.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | 25 56.7% | 18 43.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | WAS | Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 25 56.4% | 18 43.6% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 51.1% | 18 48.9% |
| Q1 - 0:17.0 | IND | MISS Greene 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 50.6% | 18 49.4% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | WAS | Songaila 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST) | 22 49.3% | 18 50.7% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | IND | Greene 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 20 46.4% | 18 53.6% |
| Q1 - 1:05 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 20 49.3% | 16 50.7% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 49.8% | 16 50.2% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 20 51.1% | 16 48.9% |
| Q1 - 1:32 | IND | MISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot | 20 50.5% | 16 49.5% |
| Q1 - 1:48 | WAS | Songaila 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST) | 20 49.3% | 16 50.7% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | IND | Harrison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 18 46.4% | 16 53.6% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 18 44.5% | 16 55.5% |
| Q1 - 2:11 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot | 18 46.0% | 16 54.0% |
| Q1 - 2:17 | IND | Greene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 44.5% | 16 55.5% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | IND | MISS Harrison 7' Turnaround Jump Shot | 18 46.0% | 16 54.0% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 18 44.5% | 16 55.5% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 | 18 44.8% | 16 55.2% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 46.3% | 16 53.7% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | IND | Harrison Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1) | 18 46.6% | 16 53.4% |
| Q1 - 3:07 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 18 43.9% | 16 56.1% |
| Q1 - 3:07 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 17 43.5% | 16 56.5% |
| Q1 - 3:07 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 16 42.0% | 16 58.0% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | IND | MISS Granger 20' Jump Shot | 16 41.3% | 16 58.7% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 16 39.6% | 16 60.4% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | IND | MISS McLeod 18' Jump Shot | 16 41.3% | 16 58.7% |
| Q1 - 3:42 | IND | McLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 39.6% | 16 60.4% |
| Q1 - 3:45 | WAS | MISS Songaila 4' Finger Roll | 16 40.3% | 16 59.7% |
| Q1 - 4:05 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 16 42.0% | 16 58.0% |
| Q1 - 4:07 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 11' Jump Bank Shot | 16 41.2% | 16 58.8% |
| Q1 - 4:13 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 16 39.4% | 16 60.6% |
| Q1 - 4:15 | WAS | MISS Hayes 22' Jump Shot | 16 40.2% | 16 59.8% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 16 42.0% | 16 58.0% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | IND | MISS Granger 21' Jump Shot | 16 41.2% | 16 58.8% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 16 39.4% | 16 60.6% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot | 16 40.2% | 16 59.8% |
| Q1 - 4:54 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 42.0% | 16 58.0% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | IND | MISS Murphy 20' Jump Shot | 16 41.2% | 16 58.8% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 39.3% | 16 60.7% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 16 40.0% | 16 60.0% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 41.6% | 16 58.4% |
| Q1 - 5:15 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 40.9% | 16 59.1% |
| Q1 - 5:19 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 16 39.3% | 16 60.7% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | WAS | Murphy BLOCK (1 BLK) | 16 40.0% | 16 60.0% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | IND | Dunleavy 15' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 16 41.6% | 16 58.4% |
| Q1 - 6:00 | WAS | Stevenson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST) | 16 43.4% | 14 56.6% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | IND | Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST) | 14 41.3% | 14 58.7% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 14 45.2% | 11 54.8% |
| Q1 - 6:34 | IND | MISS Diogu 5' Jump Shot | 14 46.6% | 11 53.4% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | WAS | Jamison 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST) | 14 45.2% | 11 54.8% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 43.0% | 11 57.0% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | IND | MISS Murphy 7' Jump Hook Shot | 12 42.4% | 11 57.6% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | WAS | Daniels 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 12 41.0% | 11 59.0% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 10 39.4% | 11 60.6% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 10 42.8% | 8 57.2% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | IND | MISS Diogu 3' Jump Shot | 10 44.3% | 8 55.7% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | IND | Diogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 10 42.8% | 8 57.2% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | IND | MISS Murphy 20' Jump Shot | 10 44.3% | 8 55.7% |
| Q1 - 7:59 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 10 42.9% | 8 57.1% |
| Q1 - 7:59 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 42.4% | 8 57.6% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | IND | Diogu 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST) | 8 41.3% | 8 58.7% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | IND | McLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 42.9% | 6 57.1% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | WAS | MISS Hayes 19' Jump Shot | 8 43.6% | 6 56.4% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 45.0% | 6 55.0% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | IND | MISS Diogu 9' Jump Hook Shot | 8 44.4% | 6 55.6% |
| Q1 - 8:53 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 42.9% | 6 57.1% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | WAS | MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 43.6% | 6 56.4% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | WAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 45.0% | 6 55.0% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | IND | MISS McLeod 2' Driving Layup | 8 44.2% | 6 55.8% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | WAS | Hayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 8 42.6% | 6 57.4% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | WAS | Hayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 7 42.3% | 6 57.7% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | IND | Granger 1' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) | 6 41.3% | 6 58.7% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | WAS | Thomas 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST) | 6 42.6% | 4 57.4% |
| Q1 - 9:56 | IND | McLeod 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 41.3% | 4 58.7% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 42.6% | 2 57.4% |
| Q1 - 10:03 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 4 43.3% | 2 56.7% |
| Q1 - 10:25 | IND | Dunleavy 2' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) | 4 44.7% | 2 55.3% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | WAS | Jamison 4' Turnaround Finger Roll (2 PTS) | 4 46.3% | 0 53.7% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 44.7% | 0 55.3% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot | 2 44.1% | 0 55.9% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | WAS | Hayes 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST) | 2 42.7% | 0 57.3% |
| Q1 - 11:27 | WAS | Stevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 40.8% | 0 59.2% |
| Q1 - 11:28 | IND | MISS Diogu 16' Jump Shot | 0 40.3% | 0 59.7% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 39.2% | 0 60.8% |
| Q1 - 11:46 | WAS | MISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot | 0 39.7% | 0 60.3% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | IND | Jump Ball Diogu vs. Thomas: Tip to Hayes | 0 40.8% | 0 59.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
WAS
1.13 56.3%
IND
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
10
17
59%
IND
12
21
57%
Midrange
WAS
17
35
49%
IND
14
42
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
IND
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
WAS
32
44
73%
IND
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Wizards| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jamison | 19 | 50% | 9.5 / 19 | |
| D. Stevenson | 15 | 58% | 7.5 / 13 | |
| A. Daniels | 13 | 65% | 6.5 / 10 | |
| D. Songaila | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| B. Haywood | 11 | 79% | 5.5 / 7 | |
| E. Thomas | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| J. Hayes | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
| R. Mason Jr. | 5 | 125% | 2.5 / 2 | |
| A. Blatche | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| D. Taylor | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| C. Booth | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dunleavy | 17 | 61% | 8.5 / 14 | |
| D. Granger | 14 | 54% | 7.0 / 13 | |
| I. Diogu | 13 | 41% | 6.5 / 16 | |
| K. McLeod | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| R. Marshall | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| T. Murphy | 8 | 36% | 4.0 / 11 | |
| D. Armstrong | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| M. Baston | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| O. Greene | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| D. Harrison | 4 | 25% | 2.0 / 8 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
WAS
82
+6
-11
88
IND
81
+12
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
WAS
1.13 56.3%
IND
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 109.6 103.0 | WAS 105.4 +3.2 IND 102.2 |
| Pace | 94.6 92.4 | WAS 89.6 IND 96.7 +7.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.9 15.7 | WAS 16.1 IND 14.9 +1.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.1% 47.4% | WAS 50.8% +2.7% IND 48.1% |
| TO % | 13.9% 17.1% | WAS 11.5% +0.3% IND 11.8% |
| ORB % | 28.1% 28.4% | WAS 11.1% IND 18.6% +7.5% |
| FTrt | 35.6 32.4 | WAS 67.7 +36.1 IND 31.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 54.1% 58.5% | WAS 54.8% +22.4% IND 32.4% |
| STL % | 8.1% 7.9% | WAS 6.5% IND 7.5% +1.0% |
| BLK % | 7.3% 8.5% | WAS 12.7% +8.9% IND 3.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.1% 51.0% | WAS 56.3% +5.2% IND 51.1% |
| Rim FG% | 57.8% 56.1% | WAS 58.8% +1.7% IND 57.1% |
| Mid FG% | 39.9% 39.0% | WAS 48.6% +15.3% IND 33.3% |
| 3P % | 34.8% 34.6% | WAS 30.8% IND 50.0% +19.2% |
| FT % | 76.5% 76.0% | WAS 72.7% IND 76.0% +3.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.3% 33.3% | WAS 26.2% IND 26.6% +0.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 41.0% 45.5% | WAS 53.8% IND 53.2% +0.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 23.7% 21.2% | WAS 20.0% IND 20.3% +0.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | WAS | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 93 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.9 | 23.1 |
| Points | 98 | 95 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 40 |
| Assists | 17 | 11 |
| Steals | 6 | 7 |
| Blocks | 8 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (0) | 12 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 4 (2) | 8 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (2) | 32 (3) |
| Field Goals | 31-65 | 34-79 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 10-17 | 12-21 |
| Midrange FG | 17-35 | 14-42 |
| 2-Point FG | 27-52 | 26-63 |
| 3-Point FG | 4-13 | 8-16 |
| Free Throws | 32-44 | 19-25 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.