FinalWin Prob.pScore
2124%94
82
876%103
85
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
93.28887.0
MIA logo MIA
96.68889.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS82
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 282
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)82
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0WASWizards Rebound82
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0WASMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)82
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
14.4%
84
85.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 282
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
15.1%
83
84.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot82
24.1%
83
75.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 1:01WASMISS Stevenson Layup82
20.1%
83
79.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)82
27.9%
83
72.1%
Q4 - 1:36WASStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
37.0%
81
63.0%
Q4 - 1:59MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)79
18.8%
81
81.2%
Q4 - 2:13WASStevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)79
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
20.1%
81
79.9%
Q4 - 2:40WASMason Jr. Foul Turnover (P2.T13)79
33.8%
78
66.2%
Q4 - 2:52WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
48.4%
78
51.6%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot79
44.0%
78
56.0%
Q4 - 3:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
34.0%
78
66.0%
Q4 - 3:11WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
38.2%
78
61.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)79
48.9%
78
51.1%
Q4 - 3:48WASBlatche Dunk (9 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)79
52.7%
76
47.3%
Q4 - 4:09WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
44.3%
76
55.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot77
41.4%
76
58.6%
Q4 - 4:26WASWade STEAL (2 STL)77
34.9%
76
65.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIABarron 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T16)77
44.6%
76
55.4%
Q4 - 4:55WASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Taylor 4 AST)77
35.0%
76
65.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q4 - 5:37WASMason Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q4 - 5:37WASMason Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
25.1%
74
74.9%
Q4 - 5:45WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
20.3%
74
79.7%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper72
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q4 - 6:00WASBooth Foul Turnover (P1.T11)72
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q4 - 6:14MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)72
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q4 - 6:33WASTaylor Dunk (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)72
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)70
20.4%
72
79.6%
Q4 - 6:53WASTaylor Running Dunk (6 PTS)70
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q4 - 6:59MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T14)68
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q4 - 7:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q4 - 7:10WASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot68
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q4 - 7:32MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)68
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q4 - 7:50WASBlatche Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)68
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q4 - 8:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)66
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q4 - 8:06WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot66
11.6%
70
88.4%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q4 - 8:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q4 - 8:38WASMISS Mason Jr. 13' Jump Shot66
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q4 - 8:55WASWizards Rebound66
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot66
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q4 - 9:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q4 - 9:03WASBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)66
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q4 - 9:22MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)66
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q4 - 9:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q4 - 9:36WASMISS Taylor Driving Layup66
26.1%
66
73.9%
Q4 - 9:43MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)66
29.6%
66
70.4%
Q4 - 9:57WASHayes 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q4 - 10:20MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)64
20.8%
66
79.2%
Q4 - 10:41WASMason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)64
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q4 - 10:47WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
20.8%
64
79.2%
Q4 - 10:49WASDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)62
18.1%
64
81.9%
Q4 - 11:04MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)62
21.2%
64
78.8%
Q4 - 11:24WASBlatche Driving Layup (5 PTS)62
24.8%
62
75.2%
Q4 - 11:41WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.0%
62
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS60
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound60
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0WASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot60
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
20.9%
62
79.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
24.6%
60
75.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 259
23.3%
60
76.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
24.6%
60
75.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q3 - 1:09WASTaylor Layup (4 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)59
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 1:13WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 1:15WASMISS Hayes 20' Jump Shot57
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)57
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 1:50WASHaywood Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Taylor 3 AST)57
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q3 - 1:53WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
20.8%
57
79.2%
Q3 - 1:55WASMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot55
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 2:12WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
20.6%
57
79.4%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 255
20.1%
57
79.9%
Q3 - 2:14MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)55
18.7%
57
81.3%
Q3 - 2:32WASHaywood 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q3 - 2:48WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Doleac Driving Layup53
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q3 - 3:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 3:03WASMISS Songaila 11' Jump Shot53
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 3:21MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q3 - 3:38WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 253
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q3 - 3:38WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q3 - 3:40WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 3:42WASMISS Daniels 8' Running Jump Shot52
18.6%
54
81.4%
Q3 - 3:44WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)52
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
17.7%
54
82.3%
Q3 - 3:55WASMISS Songaila 10' Fadeaway Jumper52
18.6%
54
81.4%
Q3 - 4:10MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)52
20.4%
54
79.6%
Q3 - 4:29WASHayes 9' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)52
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)50
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q3 - 5:08WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q3 - 5:08WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q3 - 5:11WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot48
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 5:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 5:25WASMISS Thomas 8' Hook Shot48
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)48
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q3 - 5:56WASThomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)48
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 6:13WASWizards Rebound48
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q3 - 6:14WASMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)48
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)48
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q3 - 6:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q3 - 6:29WASMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)48
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q3 - 6:48MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)48
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q3 - 7:00WASMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot48
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q3 - 7:16MIAWalker 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS)48
31.9%
46
68.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAHEAT Rebound48
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q3 - 7:33WASMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot48
36.1%
44
63.9%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWalker Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
39.0%
44
61.0%
Q3 - 7:59WASWalker STEAL (1 STL)48
42.2%
42
57.8%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 248
47.1%
41
52.9%
Q3 - 8:32WASStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)48
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)45
38.4%
41
61.6%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
41.5%
39
58.5%
Q3 - 9:00WASMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot45
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T9)45
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q3 - 9:36WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)45
40.2%
39
59.8%
Q3 - 10:00MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
33.5%
39
66.5%
Q3 - 10:33WASDaniels Driving Layup (5 PTS)42
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIAWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q3 - 11:01WASMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q3 - 11:12WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
36.7%
35
63.3%
Q3 - 11:37WASDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)40
34.5%
35
65.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASDaniels Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)37
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0WASWizards Rebound37
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0WASMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot37
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)37
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0WASBlatche Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)37
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 1:15MIAJones Reverse Layup (7 PTS)37
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIAHEAT Rebound35
31.4%
31
68.6%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
32.9%
31
67.1%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 235
33.9%
30
66.1%
Q2 - 1:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34.2%
30
65.8%
Q2 - 1:58WASMISS Stevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper35
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 2:10WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
34.8%
30
65.2%
Q2 - 2:28WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 2:28WASMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 234
32.4%
30
67.6%
Q2 - 2:35WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup34
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
30.4%
30
69.6%
Q2 - 2:57WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 234
30.8%
30
69.2%
Q2 - 2:57WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
32.4%
30
67.6%
Q2 - 2:58WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 3:00WASMISS Taylor 16' Jump Shot33
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 3:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)33
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
26.8%
30
73.2%
Q2 - 3:19WASMISS Haywood 14' Hook Shot33
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 3:27WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot33
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 3:49WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)33
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 3:49WASMISS Haywood Tip Shot33
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 3:52WASMISS Taylor Driving Layup33
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)33
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q2 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 4:12WASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q2 - 4:47WASBlatche Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)33
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 4:48WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 4:50WASMISS Haywood 8' Hook Shot31
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 4:52WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)31
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 4:54WASMISS Songaila 17' Jump Shot31
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 5:17WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
22.3%
30
77.7%
Q2 - 5:41WASHaywood Layup (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)31
23.8%
29
76.2%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 6:06MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot29
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 6:22WASHaywood 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)29
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 6:35WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 6:54WASSongaila Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)27
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 7:09WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 7:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 7:23WASMISS Taylor 19' Jump Shot27
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 7:38WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 8:04WASTaylor 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 8:12WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q2 - 8:14WASMISS Blatche 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 8:29MIAWright Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)25
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q2 - 8:50WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q2 - 8:50WASHaywood Tip Shot (4 PTS)25
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q2 - 8:52WASMISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot23
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 9:28WASPosey STEAL (1 STL)23
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q2 - 9:37MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 9:37MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 9:39WASWright STEAL (1 STL)23
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q2 - 9:50WASWizards Rebound23
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot23
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q2 - 10:05WASMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)23
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 10:13WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot23
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q2 - 10:34WASHaywood Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)23
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 10:41WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
13.0%
27
87.0%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 10:50MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q2 - 10:52WASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 11:36MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q2 - 11:38WASMISS Haywood 16' Jump Shot21
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q2 - 11:41WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q2 - 11:43WASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS21
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot21
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0WASMISS Haywood 12' Hook Shot21
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)21
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0WASHayes 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST)21
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 1:15WASMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot18
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 1:35MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 1:55WASHayes 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 2:13WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot16
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound16
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:29WASMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot16
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 2:40WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot16
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 2:47WASWade STEAL (1 STL)16
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:54WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Walker 7' Running Jump Shot16
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 3:17WASJamison 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)16
13.9%
20
86.1%
Q1 - 3:27WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
13.0%
20
87.0%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot14
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q1 - 3:42WASMISS Taylor Driving Layup14
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 3:58WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 4:00WASMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot14
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWalker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)14
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 4:26WASThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 4:35WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q1 - 5:00WASHayes 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 5:19MIAJones Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 5:25WASMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)12
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)12
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 5:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 5:59WASJamison Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)12
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 6:08WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 6:26WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 6:41WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 6:43WASMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot10
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 7:21WASThomas 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMourning Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 7:54WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
13.7%
12
86.3%
Q1 - 7:54WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 8:11MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 8:30WASMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 8:35WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 8:36WASMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)6
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 8:47WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot6
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 8:56WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot6
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWalker Tip Shot (5 PTS)6
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup6
17.2%
7
82.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 9:28WASMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot6
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)6
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 10:05WASHayes Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)6
18.4%
5
81.6%
Q1 - 10:14WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
17.5%
5
82.5%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot4
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 10:33WASThomas Slam Dunk (2 PTS)4
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 10:36WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 10:38WASMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot2
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 11:02MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 11:18WASJamison Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Thomas: Tip to Walker0
17.4%
0
82.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.86 43.2%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
16
26
62%
MIA
15
18
83%
Midrange
WAS
11
40
28%
MIA
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
WAS
10
14
71%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Haywood1454%7.0 / 13
J. Hayes1372%6.5 / 9
A. Jamison1146%5.5 / 12
A. Blatche956%4.5 / 8
D. Taylor836%4.0 / 11
D. Stevenson735%3.5 / 10
A. Daniels750%3.5 / 7
R. Mason Jr.739%3.5 / 9
E. Thomas440%2.0 / 5
D. Songaila214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker1956%9.5 / 17
D. Wade1657%8.0 / 14
E. Jones1071%5.0 / 7
J. Williams975%4.5 / 6
A. Mourning975%4.5 / 6
J. Kapono945%4.5 / 10
M. Doleac956%4.5 / 8
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
E. Barron250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
74
+20
-14
94
MIA
71
+4
-17
75
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.86 43.2%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
104.2
WAS 93.2
MIA 96.6 +3.4
Pace
94.6
90.1
WAS 87.0
MIA 89.1 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
WAS 16.6
MIA 16.2 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.6%
WAS 42.9%
MIA 55.4% +12.5%
TO %
13.9%
15.3%
WAS 14.3% +4.5%
MIA 18.8%
ORB %
28.1%
24.9%
WAS 32.6% +23.2%
MIA 9.4%
FTrt
35.6
32.1
WAS 16.7
MIA 29.2 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.6%
WAS 51.5%
MIA 54.5% +3.0%
STL %
8.1%
7.6%
WAS 6.8% +1.1%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
7.3%
8.8%
WAS 4.1%
MIA 10.6% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.4%
WAS 43.2%
MIA 56.7% +13.5%
Rim FG%
57.8%
61.8%
WAS 61.5%
MIA 83.3% +21.8%
Mid FG%
39.9%
40.5%
WAS 27.5%
MIA 38.7% +11.2%
3P %
34.8%
34.3%
WAS 33.3%
MIA 37.5% +4.2%
FT %
76.5%
69.0%
WAS 71.4% +3.0%
MIA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
34.9%
WAS 31.0% +3.3%
MIA 27.7%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
40.7%
WAS 47.6% +0.1%
MIA 47.7%
3P Att. %
23.7%
24.5%
WAS 21.4%
MIA 24.6% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8285
Rebounds4434
Assists1718
Steals65
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)3 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)31 (3)
Field Goals33-8433-65
At-the-Rim FG16-2615-18
Midrange FG11-4012-31
2-Point FG27-6627-49
3-Point FG6-186-16
Free Throws10-1413-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
28.5
13
72%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
28.1
11
46%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 218 · 26
24.4
7
35%
1
3
0
0
2
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 205 · 32
22.9
7
50%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
17.2
4
40%
6
0
0
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 29
25.4
2
14%
8
2
0
0
3
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 193 · 25
25.1
8
36%
3
4
3
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21
23.1
9
56%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 263 · 27
21.7
14
54%
10
0
0
1
0
2
5
5
2-4
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 27
19.1
7
39%
4
4
1
1
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 230 · 31
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30
#42 · F · 6'8" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'7" 228 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
43%
44
17
6
2
14
0
15
29
10-14
71%
27-66
41%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.