Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 13, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pistons | 42% | 93 | 84 |
 | 12 | Raptors | 58% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bucks | 42% | 97 | 104 |
 | 26 | Celtics | 58% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 29% | 91 | 86 |
| 15 | Nets | 71% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Heat | 74% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Hornets | 46% | 99 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Timberwolves | 18% | 87 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bobcats | 32% | 91 | 81 |
 | 11 | Bulls | 68% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Mavericks | 64% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | 22% | 102 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, April 12, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 34% | 91 | 76 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 40% | 96 | 118 |
| 8 | Lakers | 60% | 99 | 110 |
Wednesday, April 11, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Celtics | 60% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 24% | 94 | 82 |
| 8 | Heat | 76% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 27% | 87 | 99 |
| 4 | Pistons | 73% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 42% | 96 | 104 |
| 24 | Bucks | 58% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 16% | 89 | 100 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 69% | 94 | 105 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 31% | 88 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 46% | 102 | 115 |
| 14 | Jazz | 54% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 16% | 98 | 91 | |
| 2 | Suns | 84% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 86 | 95 |
Tuesday, April 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 49% | 91 | 86 |
| 28 | 76ers | 51% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 52% | 101 | 96 | |
| 21 | Wizards | 48% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 59% | 97 | 82 |
| 17 | Bobcats | 41% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 46% | 92 | 96 |
| 30 | Hawks | 54% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 62% | 102 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 45% | 91 | 100 |
| 19 | Hornets | 55% | 93 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 16% | 84 | 69 |
| 10 | Bulls | 84% | 97 | 98 |
Monday, April 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 68% | 94 | 91 |
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 88 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 55% | 98 | 117 |
| 24 | Bucks | 45% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 12% | 82 | 96 |
| 1 | Spurs | 88% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 46% | 95 | 111 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 54% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 26% | 87 | 86 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 34% | 101 | 111 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 63% | 97 | 95 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 37% | 92 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 43% | 105 | 102 |
| 10 | Warriors | 57% | 108 | 126 |
Sunday, April 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 40% | 89 | 82 |
| 6 | Pistons | 60% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 54% | 107 | 115 |
| 9 | Lakers | 46% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 46% | 95 | 89 |
| 14 | Raptors | 54% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 23% | 92 | 111 |
| 4 | Heat | 77% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 36% | 90 | 104 |
| 22 | 76ers | 64% | 94 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 58% | 96 | 112 |
| 15 | Kings | 42% | 93 | 106 |
Saturday, April 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 24% | 91 | 89 |
| 17 | Magic | 76% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Celtics | 38% | 90 | 98 |
| 25 | Pacers | 62% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 30% | 97 | 114 |
| 16 | Nets | 70% | 104 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 21% | 95 | 99 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 39% | 91 | 96 | |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 61% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 42% | 96 | 118 |
| 27 | Bucks | 58% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 15% | 85 | 74 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 85% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 26% | 97 | 106 | |
| 10 | Jazz | 74% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 41% | 96 | 96 |
| 13 | Clippers | 59% | 99 | 93 |
Friday, April 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 54% | 97 | 94 |
| 22 | 76ers | 46% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 36% | 92 | 112 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 64% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 58% | 93 | 88 |
| 29 | Celtics | 42% | 91 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 52% | 94 | 99 |
| 25 | Knicks | 48% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 46% | 96 | 102 |
| 30 | Hawks | 54% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 59% | 100 | 99 |
| 23 | Wizards | 41% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 64% | 107 | 116 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 36% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 59% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Hornets | 41% | 101 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 38% | 93 | 74 | |
| 14 | Bulls | 62% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 83 | 85 |
| 9 | Rockets | 76% | 92 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 47% | 100 | 103 |
| 12 | Kings | 53% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 52% | 101 | 71 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 48% | 100 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 56% | 101 | 112 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 44% | 100 | 109 | |
Thursday, April 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 36% | 90 | 94 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 64% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 42% | 99 | 85 |
| 3 | Spurs | 58% | 101 | 92 |
Wednesday, April 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 32% | 99 | 108 |
| 16 | Wizards | 68% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 40% | 93 | 111 |
| 18 | Magic | 60% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 27% | 90 | 86 |
| 15 | Nets | 73% | 97 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 51% | 95 | 92 |
| 27 | Knicks | 49% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 43% | 89 | 106 |
| 5 | Pistons | 57% | 92 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 49% | 98 | 89 |
| 26 | Bucks | 51% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 35% | 94 | 92 | |
| 19 | Hornets | 65% | 99 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 22% | 95 | 110 |
| 1 | Rockets | 78% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 35% | 100 | 115 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 65% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 64% | 97 | 89 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 40% | 95 | 82 |
| 13 | Clippers | 60% | 98 | 90 |
Tuesday, April 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 52% | 99 | 119 | |
| 27 | Bucks | 48% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 51% | 103 | 102 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 49% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 66% | 94 | 100 |
| 25 | Pacers | 34% | 89 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 39% | 94 | 89 |
| 11 | Heat | 61% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 78% | 110 | 116 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 22% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 17% | 88 | 91 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 55% | 93 | 101 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 45% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 62% | 100 | 97 |
| 16 | Kings | 38% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 42% | 102 | 111 |
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 105 | 105 |
Sunday, April 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 32% | 88 | 88 |
| 5 | Pistons | 68% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 64% | 94 | 105 |
| 29 | Hawks | 36% | 90 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 76% | 95 | 99 |
| 26 | Pacers | 24% | 86 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 52% | 106 | 121 |
| 25 | Bucks | 48% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 42% | 101 | 104 |
| 4 | Suns | 58% | 103 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 22% | 99 | 117 |
| 11 | Warriors | 78% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 48% | 90 | 96 |
| 24 | Celtics | 52% | 91 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 32% | 95 | 94 |
| 16 | Raptors | 68% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 40% | 90 | 105 |
| 18 | Magic | 60% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 25% | 90 | 86 |
| 1 | Rockets | 75% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 55% | 102 | 114 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 45% | 101 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 40% | 100 | 103 |
| 8 | Lakers | 60% | 103 | 126 |
Saturday, March 31, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 39% | 89 | 112 |
| 6 | Bulls | 61% | 93 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 32% | 92 | 82 |
| 14 | Nets | 68% | 97 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 90 | 94 |
| 19 | Hornets | 72% | 98 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 47% | 92 | 99 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 93 | 86 |