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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 13, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs82%98110
30Timberwolves18%8791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
26.1
30.6
8
34%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.6
23.0
10.5
11
79%
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
3-5
60%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
21.2
32.2
12
77%
10
2
1
1
2
2
2
8
2-4
50%
5-6
7-13
83%
53%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.8
19.4
32.1
5
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
1.7
32.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
7-13
-
54%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.3
26.9
20.5
13
70%
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
2-5
40%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.2
26.4
15.4
9
67%
4
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
25.0
9.1
18
80%
6
0
0
0
1
3
1
5
2-3
67%
5-6
1-2
83%
51%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
21.8
4.6
7
51%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
21.7
27.3
21
88%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-5
3-6
100%
51%
3-6
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
14.8
13.7
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
12.0
5.7
3
26%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.1
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.6
41.5
29.1
15
54%
7
2
1
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
1-4
25%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.4
33.1
29.3
5
20%
9
1
1
1
1
3
4
5
3-6
50%
1-10
4-9
10%
52%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.4
30.8
23.4
6
34%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.8
26.5
21.2
23
80%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
7-10
2-5
70%
46%
3-4
75%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.1
23.4
14.6
8
50%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.6
27.9
25.2
16
50%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-13
3-6
54%
45%
0-2
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.5
21.6
24.0
14
70%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
4-8
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.2
18.4
10.9
4
106%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
12.4
10.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.8
4.2
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.3
21.6
1
1-3
42%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.1
5.6
0
1-1
40%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.