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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Magic52%93104
2276ers48%9287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
42.6
34.8
35
90%
11
5
3
1
0
5
5
6
7-10
70%
14-15
5-9
93%
58%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
36.4
30.0
13
54%
7
3
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.2
28.8
28.3
10
48%
3
5
3
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.5
28.6
30.5
11
41%
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
2
1-3
33%
5-12
5-10
42%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
14.8
22.6
2
33%
4
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
28.9
20.5
14
59%
7
3
0
0
3
1
3
4
2-2
100%
6-11
3-5
55%
47%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.9
24.8
17.9
8
58%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
16.1
21.0
4
33%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.7
10.5
8.5
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.9
8.5
7.0
5
83%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.6
8.2
0
0-1
43%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36.0
4.0
0
0-1
55%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.8
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
40.4
35.7
14
42%
3
5
3
2
0
7
1
2
7-11
64%
2-9
5-11
22%
50%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
37.2
35.5
18
49%
8
3
2
1
0
3
4
4
4-5
80%
7-16
5-10
44%
49%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
29.8
28.9
11
74%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
58%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.9
27.9
31.9
7
52%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-5
5-8
40%
55%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
22.7
29.5
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
5-11
20%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.1
32.7
29.0
14
59%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
46%
4-6
67%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.7
27.3
25.7
7
27%
8
3
0
1
0
0
3
5
3-4
75%
2-11
4-8
18%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.5
17.3
26.5
14
85%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-5
60%
4-4
3-7
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.4
2.6
2.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.3
1.1
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.4
1.1
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
10.0
0
1-3
50%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.3
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.