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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Celtics19%8991
3Heat81%10089
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.7
44.4
28.4
28
66%
4
4
3
1
1
2
2
2
5-5
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
3-8
38%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.6
42.6
26.3
11
44%
8
3
0
1
0
4
2
6
6-8
75%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.3
37.5
21.6
20
72%
13
1
2
0
3
0
2
11
2-2
100%
9-13
5-9
69%
51%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.1
37.3
34.6
17
63%
6
8
0
2
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
5-10
4-8
50%
43%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.4
25.6
26.0
2
50%
9
0
0
0
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
19.5
30.9
3
17%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
5-10
0%
47%
1-7
14%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.9
17.7
17.3
3
30%
0
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
1-5
20%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
11.8
22.5
7
81%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.8
3.6
23.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.5
10.0
0
2-3
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
6.7
0
0-1
42%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.1
5.4
0
1-2
49%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 32.0
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
25.7
28.9
16
124%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
5-6
83%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
24.7
30.6
14
62%
7
2
0
0
3
1
1
6
2-3
67%
6-10
7-12
60%
60%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
23.9
30.2
8
48%
1
2
2
2
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
3-7
8-14
43%
53%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.5
22.5
27.4
9
90%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
22.1
26.8
6
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
51%
2-6
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
30.6
23.4
16
74%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
1-2
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
25.9
5.0
7
41%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.6
25.6
9.4
2
13%
2
9
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.8
23.3
10.3
10
56%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.3
8.8
23.1
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
7.0
12.5
1
57%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
5.4
0
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.2
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.