FinalWin Prob.pScore
2319%89
91
381%100
89
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
107.18589.0
MIA logo MIA
103.58682.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0BOSJefferson 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)91
95.4%
89
4.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0BOSCeltics Rebound89
55.9%
89
44.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)89
41.3%
89
58.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0BOSCeltics Rebound89
48.0%
89
52.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0BOSMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
29.4%
89
70.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)89
44.3%
89
55.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Barron 10' Turnaround Jump Shot89
36.3%
89
63.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0BOSWest 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS)89
25.5%
89
74.5%
Q4 - 1:17MIADoleac 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
16.3%
89
83.7%
Q4 - 1:18MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
23.8%
87
76.2%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Barron Layup87
32.8%
87
67.2%
Q4 - 1:38BOSBarron STEAL (1 STL)87
23.4%
87
76.6%
Q4 - 1:49MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P2.T14)87
34.5%
87
65.5%
Q4 - 2:08MIAJump Ball Barron vs. Rondo: Tip to Doleac87
21.9%
87
78.1%
Q4 - 2:09BOSMISS Telfair 3PT Jump Shot87
25.4%
87
74.6%
Q4 - 2:27BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
35.2%
87
64.8%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot87
30.5%
87
69.5%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q4 - 2:52BOSMISS Telfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
25.9%
87
74.1%
Q4 - 3:17MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
34.5%
87
65.5%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 1 of 287
35.5%
86
64.5%
Q4 - 3:19MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
30.3%
86
69.7%
Q4 - 3:21BOSMISS Gomes 20' Jump Shot87
34.4%
86
65.6%
Q4 - 3:40MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 9 AST)87
39.7%
86
60.3%
Q4 - 3:57BOSRondo Driving Layup (17 PTS)87
48.9%
84
51.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIABarron Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)85
40.5%
84
59.5%
Q4 - 4:22BOSWright STEAL (1 STL)85
49.3%
82
50.7%
Q4 - 4:38BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)85
59.4%
82
40.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 285
58.1%
82
41.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
52.0%
82
48.0%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
58.9%
81
41.1%
Q4 - 4:40BOSMISS Rondo 15' Fadeaway Jumper85
61.8%
81
38.2%
Q4 - 5:03MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)85
61.2%
81
38.8%
Q4 - 5:27MIAHEAT Rebound85
53.1%
81
46.9%
Q4 - 5:28BOSMISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot85
55.7%
81
44.3%
Q4 - 5:40MIADoleac 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 8 AST)85
61.7%
81
38.3%
Q4 - 5:59BOSTelfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)85
69.1%
79
30.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
49.2%
79
50.8%
Q4 - 6:23MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
51.0%
78
49.0%
Q4 - 6:38BOSWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)82
55.8%
77
44.2%
Q4 - 6:57MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
41.9%
77
58.1%
Q4 - 6:57MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
42.7%
76
57.3%
Q4 - 7:18BOSJefferson Driving Dunk (18 PTS)79
44.9%
75
55.1%
Q4 - 7:36MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)77
39.1%
75
60.9%
Q4 - 8:00BOSJefferson Layup (16 PTS)77
52.0%
72
48.0%
Q4 - 8:25MIAKapono 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)75
43.5%
72
56.5%
Q4 - 8:42BOSPowe Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)75
49.8%
70
50.2%
Q4 - 8:56MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)75
56.3%
70
43.7%
Q4 - 8:57MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Quinn Tip Shot75
72.0%
67
28.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Quinn 8' Running Jump Shot75
72.0%
67
28.0%
Q4 - 9:24BOSGomes 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)75
64.6%
67
35.4%
Q4 - 9:43BOSWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
53.4%
67
46.6%
Q4 - 9:45BOSMISS Telfair 3PT Jump Shot72
49.1%
67
50.9%
Q4 - 9:54BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
53.5%
67
46.5%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
51.6%
67
48.4%
Q4 - 10:17BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q4 - 10:17BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
43.9%
67
56.1%
Q4 - 10:22BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
40.1%
67
59.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot70
38.3%
67
61.7%
Q4 - 10:40BOSWest Layup (23 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)70
34.3%
67
65.7%
Q4 - 10:44MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)68
29.8%
67
70.2%
Q4 - 10:56MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q4 - 10:58BOSMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot68
26.3%
67
73.7%
Q4 - 11:24MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)68
29.7%
67
70.3%
Q4 - 11:45BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gomes 3 AST)68
34.2%
65
65.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 6' Hook Shot65
24.0%
65
76.0%
Q3 - 0:10.0BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
21.0%
65
79.0%
Q3 - 0:10.0BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
20.4%
65
79.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
17.8%
65
82.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0BOSMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
15.8%
65
84.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
17.8%
65
82.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0BOSWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)63
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)60
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q3 - 1:17BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P2.T14)60
20.5%
60
79.5%
Q3 - 1:29BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
24.0%
60
76.0%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot60
22.9%
60
77.1%
Q3 - 1:56BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
20.5%
60
79.5%
Q3 - 1:56BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 2:00BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 2:02BOSMISS Gomes 22' Jump Shot58
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 2:22BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
17.3%
60
82.7%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 2:49BOSWest Layup (18 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)58
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 2:54MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)56
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 3:27BOSJefferson Dunk (14 PTS)56
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q3 - 3:29BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 3:30BOSMISS Rondo Layup54
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 3:38BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot54
8.8%
60
91.2%
Q3 - 3:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 4:00BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 254
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 4:00BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
8.7%
60
91.3%
Q3 - 4:24MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS)53
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 4:45BOSWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
9.1%
58
90.9%
Q3 - 4:45BOSWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 4:46MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q3 - 4:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 4:48BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot51
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q3 - 4:54BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot51
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q3 - 5:10BOSWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q3 - 5:10BOSWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 5:14BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup49
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)49
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 5:28BOSPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)49
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 5:47BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 149
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 6:05BOSRondo Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
8.2%
55
91.8%
Q3 - 6:10BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 6:29BOSJefferson Layup (12 PTS) (Gomes 2 AST)47
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q3 - 6:44BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper45
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q3 - 7:00BOSGomes Foul Turnover (P3.T12)45
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q3 - 7:14MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)45
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q3 - 7:32BOSJones STEAL (2 STL)45
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 7:46MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)45
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 7:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q3 - 7:54BOSMISS Gomes 3PT Jump Shot45
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q3 - 8:01BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 145
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q3 - 8:16BOSWest Layup (12 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)45
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q3 - 8:19BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot43
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 8:37BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q3 - 8:37BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q3 - 8:58MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS)41
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q3 - 9:18BOSRondo Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
10.9%
45
89.1%
Q3 - 9:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)39
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q3 - 9:59BOSMISS West 8' Running Jump Shot39
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q3 - 10:08BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot39
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q3 - 10:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q3 - 10:19BOSMISS Jefferson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot39
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q3 - 10:43BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot39
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q3 - 11:03BOSWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q3 - 11:26BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Walker 9' Running Hook Shot36
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q3 - 11:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot36
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot36
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)36
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSCeltics Rebound36
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot36
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)36
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0BOSMISS Jefferson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 1:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)36
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 1:26BOSPerkins 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 1:28BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 1:30BOSO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)34
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 1:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 1:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 2:15BOSWest 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)34
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 2:28BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 2:57BOSJefferson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)32
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)30
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q2 - 3:30BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)30
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 3:33BOSCeltics Rebound30
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 3:34BOSO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)30
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 3:57MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)30
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 4:16BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q2 - 4:16BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q2 - 4:20BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 4:49BOSJefferson 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)28
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 4:57BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup26
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q2 - 5:15BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 5:15BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q2 - 5:35MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)24
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q2 - 5:45MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
12.0%
27
88.0%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q2 - 6:08BOSMISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 224
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 6:08BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 6:19BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot23
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q2 - 6:34BOSTelfair Foul Turnover (P1.T8)23
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q2 - 6:40BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot23
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q2 - 6:58MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q2 - 7:00BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q2 - 7:17MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)23
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 7:38MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q2 - 7:40BOSMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
14.8%
24
85.2%
Q2 - 8:16BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q2 - 8:29MIAQuinn Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)20
13.3%
23
86.7%
Q2 - 8:47BOSPowe Layup (2 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST)20
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q2 - 9:05MIAQuinn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)18
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q2 - 9:23BOSRay Foul Turnover (P1.T7)18
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q2 - 9:26BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot18
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q2 - 9:39BOSDoleac STEAL (1 STL)18
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q2 - 9:48BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot18
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q2 - 9:54MIAHEAT Rebound18
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup18
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q2 - 9:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q2 - 10:00BOSMISS Green 21' Jump Shot18
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q2 - 10:27MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)18
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q2 - 10:47MIAHEAT Rebound18
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q2 - 10:49BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q2 - 11:01MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T7)18
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q2 - 11:14BOSGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T5)18
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q2 - 11:34BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Barron 9' Turnaround Jump Shot18
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS18
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound18
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Telfair 41' 3PT Jump Shot18
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAKapono 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)18
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0BOSMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot18
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0BOSMISS Powe 9' Turnaround Jump Shot18
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 1:12MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)18
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16.6%
17
83.4%
Q1 - 1:20BOSMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)18
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 1:49BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)18
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 2:02BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 2:29BOSRondo Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
19.2%
15
80.8%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)16
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 2:41BOSMISS West Layup16
16.8%
15
83.2%
Q1 - 2:45BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper16
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 3:05BOSWest Driving Layup (5 PTS)16
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 3:35MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)14
15.0%
15
85.0%
Q1 - 3:56BOSWest Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)14
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 4:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 4:06BOSMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 4:11BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 4:13BOSMISS Rondo 14' Jump Shot12
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)12
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 4:23MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 4:24BOSMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot12
15.0%
12
85.0%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 4:55MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 4:57BOSMISS Green 18' Jump Shot12
18.7%
9
81.3%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)12
19.0%
9
81.0%
Q1 - 5:36BOSJefferson 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (West 3 AST)12
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 5:47BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup10
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 6:03MIAHEAT Rebound10
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 6:05BOSMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.9%
6
81.1%
Q1 - 6:11BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot10
19.4%
6
80.6%
Q1 - 6:31BOSRondo Layup (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)10
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 6:34MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
17.4%
6
82.6%
Q1 - 6:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 6:48BOSMISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 28
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 6:48BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 7:06MIAWade Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
15.9%
6
84.1%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Walker Layup7
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 7:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 7:14BOSMISS West 16' Jump Shot7
17.2%
4
82.8%
Q1 - 7:24BOSWest Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
18.1%
4
81.9%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 7:45BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)6
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 8:00BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot6
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 8:16BOSWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 8:26BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 8:49BOSJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 8:49BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 8:57BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAHEAT Rebound4
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 9:10BOSMISS West 18' Jump Shot4
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 9:31MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 9:46BOSGomes Layup (2 PTS)4
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 9:48BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 9:50BOSO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)2
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:13MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 10:22BOSJones STEAL (1 STL)2
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 10:32MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 10:43BOSMISS Gomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 10:58BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 11:00BOSMISS Gomes 22' Jump Shot2
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 11:12MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:37BOSJefferson Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)2
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to Rondo0
14.3%
0
85.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.5%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
18
22
82%
MIA
9
16
56%
Midrange
BOS
7
25
28%
MIA
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
MIA
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
Free Throws
BOS
23
26
88%
MIA
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2867%14.0 / 21
A. Jefferson2071%10.0 / 14
R. Rondo1761%8.5 / 14
R. Gomes1142%5.5 / 13
L. Powe788%3.5 / 4
G. Green317%1.5 / 9
S. Telfair330%1.5 / 5
K. Perkins250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams16133%8.0 / 6
J. Kapono1673%8.0 / 11
S. O'Neal1464%7.0 / 11
M. Doleac1056%5.0 / 9
E. Jones990%4.5 / 5
D. Wade850%4.0 / 8
E. Barron744%3.5 / 8
A. Walker625%3.0 / 12
C. Quinn213%1.0 / 8
D. Wright150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
70
+14
-15
84
MIA
72
+9
-14
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.5%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
104.2
BOS 107.1 +3.6
MIA 103.5
Pace
92.3
90.1
BOS 89.0 +6.6
MIA 82.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.5
BOS 16.2 +1.3
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
50.6%
BOS 48.6%
MIA 52.1% +3.5%
TO %
16.8%
15.3%
BOS 17.3%
MIA 14.9% +2.4%
ORB %
27.2%
24.9%
BOS 28.1% +11.0%
MIA 17.1%
FTrt
33.7
32.1
BOS 37.1 +12.1
MIA 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
57.6%
BOS 61.3%
MIA 71.9% +10.6%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
BOS 8.2% +0.1%
MIA 8.1%
BLK %
7.5%
8.8%
BOS 9.8% +1.3%
MIA 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
52.4%
BOS 53.5%
MIA 54.3% +0.8%
Rim FG%
54.8%
61.8%
BOS 81.8% +25.5%
MIA 56.3%
Mid FG%
38.6%
40.5%
BOS 28.0%
MIA 34.3% +6.3%
3P %
36.7%
34.3%
BOS 26.1%
MIA 52.4% +26.3%
FT %
76.7%
69.0%
BOS 88.5% +10.7%
MIA 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
34.9%
BOS 31.4% +9.2%
MIA 22.2%
Mid Att. %
42.7%
40.7%
BOS 35.7% +12.9%
MIA 48.6%
3P Att. %
19.9%
24.5%
BOS 32.9% +3.7%
MIA 29.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points9189
Rebounds4330
Assists1923
Steals77
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)23 (5)
Field Goals31-7032-72
At-the-Rim FG18-229-16
Midrange FG7-2512-35
2-Point FG25-4721-51
3-Point FG6-2311-21
Free Throws23-2614-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 180 · 24
44.4
28
67%
4
4
3
1
2
2
2
2
5-5
100%
7-11
64%
3-8
38%
F · 6'7" 245 · 25
42.6
11
42%
8
3
0
0
4
4
2
6
6-8
75%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 280 · 22
37.5
20
71%
13
1
2
3
0
1
2
11
2-2
100%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 186 · 21
37.3
17
61%
6
8
0
0
2
5
1
5
7-8
88%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 22
25.6
2
50%
9
0
0
0
2
3
2
7
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
19.5
3
17%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-7
14%
G · 6'0" 170 · 22
17.7
3
30%
0
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
11.8
7
88%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
· 6'2" 205 · 23
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 30
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30
#50 · C · 6'10" 235 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#41 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · · 6'4" 213 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
54%
43
19
7
5
15
0
9
34
23-26
88%
25-47
53%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.