FinalWin Prob.pScore
1236%90
94
564%94
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.99580.9
CLE logo CLE
98.99188.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
OT1 - 0:00.0CLE94
100%
90
0%
OT1 - 0:05.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
99.5%
90
0.5%
OT1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 293
99.4%
90
0.6%
OT1 - 0:05.0CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)93
99.3%
90
0.7%
OT1 - 0:05.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
98.1%
90
1.9%
OT1 - 0:05.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)92
97.8%
90
2.2%
OT1 - 0:12.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
96.4%
87
3.6%
OT1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 291
96.5%
87
3.5%
OT1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 291
97.8%
87
2.2%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
98.6%
87
1.4%
OT1 - 0:15.0CLEMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
97.9%
87
2.1%
OT1 - 0:22.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
93.5%
87
6.5%
OT1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 291
93.9%
87
6.1%
OT1 - 0:24.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
96.6%
87
3.4%
OT1 - 0:27.0CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)90
93.5%
87
6.5%
OT1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
84.0%
87
16.0%
OT1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
81.2%
87
18.8%
OT1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)88
73.3%
87
26.7%
OT1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot88
57.3%
87
42.7%
OT1 - 0:55.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
66.1%
87
33.9%
OT1 - 0:56.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 1' Layup88
60.9%
87
39.1%
OT1 - 0:58.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
48.5%
87
51.5%
OT1 - 1:00CLEMISS Ilgauskas 9' Jump Shot88
60.2%
87
39.8%
OT1 - 1:23MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)88
45.7%
87
54.3%
OT1 - 1:45CLEGooden Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)85
24.6%
87
75.4%
OT1 - 2:03CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
15.8%
87
84.2%
OT1 - 2:06MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot85
18.5%
87
81.5%
OT1 - 2:25CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)85
26.8%
87
73.2%
OT1 - 2:25CLEGooden 1' Layup (14 PTS)85
26.8%
87
73.2%
OT1 - 2:28CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
31.9%
85
68.1%
OT1 - 2:28CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup85
43.1%
85
56.9%
OT1 - 2:30CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
31.9%
85
68.1%
OT1 - 2:30CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot85
43.1%
85
56.9%
OT1 - 2:33CLEMISS James 10' Jump Shot85
43.1%
85
56.9%
OT1 - 2:50CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)85
31.7%
85
68.3%
OT1 - 2:52MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
36.8%
85
63.2%
OT1 - 3:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
47.0%
85
53.0%
OT1 - 3:10CLEMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot85
42.3%
85
57.7%
OT1 - 3:23CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
32.2%
85
67.8%
OT1 - 3:25MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot85
36.5%
85
63.5%
OT1 - 3:49CLEGooden 1' Layup (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)85
43.8%
85
56.2%
OT1 - 3:55MIAIlgauskas STEAL (2 STL)85
52.7%
83
47.3%
OT1 - 3:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
62.3%
83
37.7%
OT1 - 4:00MIAMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot85
55.7%
83
44.3%
OT1 - 4:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
62.6%
83
37.4%
OT1 - 4:21CLEMISS Gooden 15' Fadeaway Jumper85
59.7%
83
40.3%
OT1 - 4:45MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)85
53.0%
83
47.0%
OT1 - 5:00CLEJump Ball Gooden vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem83
44.1%
83
55.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0CLEJump Ball Hughes vs. Jones: Tip to Pavlovic83
30.3%
83
69.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Posey 2' Layup83
38.2%
83
61.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)83
52.2%
83
47.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)83
56.3%
82
43.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T14)83
65.9%
81
34.1%
Q4 - 1:00CLEHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
77.6%
81
22.4%
Q4 - 1:00CLEHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
80.0%
80
20.0%
Q4 - 1:06CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)83
84.5%
79
15.5%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
86.7%
79
13.3%
Q4 - 1:25CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 1:25CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
89.8%
78
10.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P2.T13)83
90.9%
77
9.1%
Q4 - 2:03CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)83
93.9%
77
6.1%
Q4 - 2:03CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)83
94.5%
76
5.5%
Q4 - 2:03CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
95.3%
75
4.7%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Hook Shot83
96.2%
75
3.8%
Q4 - 2:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot83
96.1%
75
3.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q4 - 2:50CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
97.0%
75
3.0%
Q4 - 3:02CLECAVALIERS Rebound83
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Walker 2' Layup83
94.8%
75
5.2%
Q4 - 3:30CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)83
96.5%
75
3.5%
Q4 - 3:49MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)83
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q4 - 4:11CLEMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
93.3%
72
6.7%
Q4 - 4:35MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)80
91.6%
72
8.4%
Q4 - 4:55CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)78
88.5%
72
11.5%
Q4 - 4:55CLEGooden 1' Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)78
88.5%
72
11.5%
Q4 - 4:59CLEMISS Gooden 14' Jump Hook Shot78
93.6%
70
6.4%
Q4 - 5:06CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
88.1%
70
11.9%
Q4 - 5:08CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
90.5%
70
9.5%
Q4 - 5:38MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)78
88.4%
70
11.6%
Q4 - 5:54CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)75
79.9%
70
20.1%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMarshall STEAL (1 STL)75
84.9%
67
15.1%
Q4 - 6:33CLEJames 1' Layup (25 PTS)75
89.0%
67
11.0%
Q4 - 6:39CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
91.3%
65
8.7%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
92.1%
65
7.9%
Q4 - 7:13CLEHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
91.6%
65
8.4%
Q4 - 7:13CLEHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q4 - 7:14CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
93.3%
63
6.7%
Q4 - 7:15CLEMISS Marshall 7' Jump Hook Shot75
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q4 - 7:16CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
93.3%
63
6.7%
Q4 - 7:18CLEMISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot75
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q4 - 7:24CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
93.3%
63
6.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot75
93.9%
63
6.1%
Q4 - 7:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
95.1%
63
4.9%
Q4 - 7:43CLEMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot75
94.6%
63
5.4%
Q4 - 8:00MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)75
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q4 - 8:19CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
87.0%
63
13.0%
Q4 - 8:19CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)72
87.7%
62
12.3%
Q4 - 8:19CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
89.6%
61
10.4%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMarshall BLOCK (1 BLK)72
90.3%
61
9.7%
Q4 - 8:42CLEHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
91.8%
61
8.2%
Q4 - 8:42CLEHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
92.3%
60
7.7%
Q4 - 8:56CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
93.6%
59
6.4%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
94.0%
59
6.0%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
93.7%
59
6.3%
Q4 - 9:15CLEMISS Hughes Layup72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q4 - 9:22MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)72
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
93.8%
59
6.2%
Q4 - 9:40CLEMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q4 - 9:49CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q4 - 9:51MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot72
92.7%
59
7.3%
Q4 - 10:08CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q4 - 10:08CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
92.9%
58
7.1%
Q4 - 10:24MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)72
93.9%
57
6.1%
Q4 - 10:41MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
90.9%
57
9.1%
Q4 - 10:42CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
88.7%
57
11.3%
Q4 - 10:42CLEMISS Varejao 1' Tip Shot69
90.3%
57
9.7%
Q4 - 10:43CLEMISS Varejao 3' Layup69
90.3%
57
9.7%
Q4 - 11:04CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
87.4%
57
12.6%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot69
88.1%
57
11.9%
Q4 - 11:23MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
89.7%
57
10.3%
Q4 - 11:26CLEMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot69
89.1%
57
10.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)69
87.5%
57
12.5%
Q4 - 12:00CLEJames Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)69
89.8%
57
10.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE69
91.6%
56
8.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)69
89.7%
56
10.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
85.9%
56
14.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0CLEMISS Gibson 22' Jump Shot67
85.1%
56
14.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
83.3%
56
16.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot67
84.1%
56
15.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
86.0%
56
14.0%
Q3 - 1:17MIAWalker Layup (14 PTS) (Kapono 5 AST)67
86.6%
54
13.4%
Q3 - 1:17MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
84.3%
54
15.7%
Q3 - 1:20CLEMISS Varejao 5' Jump Shot65
83.4%
54
16.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)65
81.5%
54
18.5%
Q3 - 1:40MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
78.4%
54
21.6%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
76.0%
54
24.0%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
78.5%
54
21.5%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot63
76.0%
54
24.0%
Q3 - 2:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
76.5%
54
23.5%
Q3 - 2:22CLEMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
75.3%
54
24.7%
Q3 - 2:39MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T9)63
72.7%
54
27.3%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
76.6%
54
23.4%
Q3 - 2:55CLEMISS Pavlovic 21' Jump Shot63
75.4%
54
24.6%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)63
71.6%
54
28.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
68.0%
54
32.0%
Q3 - 3:33CLEMISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 261
67.5%
54
32.5%
Q3 - 3:33CLEMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 261
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 3:43MIAPosey Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)61
63.8%
54
36.2%
Q3 - 3:46CLEJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)61
68.0%
54
32.0%
Q3 - 3:56CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
63.8%
54
36.2%
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup61
65.1%
54
34.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
66.6%
54
33.4%
Q3 - 4:14CLEMISS Gooden 16' Jump Shot61
65.2%
54
34.8%
Q3 - 4:28CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
62.1%
54
37.9%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
63.5%
54
36.5%
Q3 - 4:48CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
66.7%
54
33.3%
Q3 - 4:48CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
68.0%
53
32.0%
Q3 - 4:54CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot61
71.2%
52
28.8%
Q3 - 5:14CLEJames Foul Turnover (P2.T15)61
72.5%
52
27.5%
Q3 - 5:17CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
68.8%
52
31.2%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
72.5%
52
27.5%
Q3 - 5:35CLEMISS Pavlovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
71.4%
52
28.6%
Q3 - 5:53CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
68.8%
52
31.2%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot61
70.0%
52
30.0%
Q3 - 6:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
70.9%
52
29.1%
Q3 - 6:11CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
69.8%
52
30.2%
Q3 - 6:16CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
67.2%
52
32.8%
Q3 - 6:18CLEMISS Pavlovic 1' Alley Oop Dunk61
69.8%
52
30.2%
Q3 - 6:24CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
67.3%
52
32.7%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot61
68.4%
52
31.6%
Q3 - 6:43CLEGooden 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)61
71.0%
52
29.0%
Q3 - 6:58MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
74.0%
50
26.0%
Q3 - 7:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q3 - 7:11CLEMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot59
68.5%
50
31.5%
Q3 - 7:23CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
65.8%
50
34.2%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Posey 23' Jump Shot59
67.0%
50
33.0%
Q3 - 7:35CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P3.T14)59
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q3 - 7:47CLECAVALIERS Rebound59
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q3 - 7:47CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot59
68.6%
50
31.4%
Q3 - 8:02MIAHaslem 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)59
65.1%
50
34.9%
Q3 - 8:24CLEHughes 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
62.1%
50
37.9%
Q3 - 8:35CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
65.1%
48
34.9%
Q3 - 8:36CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot57
67.8%
48
32.2%
Q3 - 8:49CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
65.1%
48
34.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot57
66.3%
48
33.7%
Q3 - 9:10CLEGooden Foul Turnover (P2.T13)57
67.2%
48
32.8%
Q3 - 9:23CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
63.8%
48
36.2%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 257
64.3%
48
35.7%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 257
66.7%
48
33.3%
Q3 - 9:50CLEPavlovic Foul Turnover (P2.T12)57
67.3%
48
32.7%
Q3 - 9:56CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
63.9%
48
36.1%
Q3 - 9:58MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)57
65.0%
48
35.0%
Q3 - 10:12CLEJames 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
66.1%
48
33.9%
Q3 - 10:22MIAJones 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)57
68.9%
46
31.1%
Q3 - 10:35CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)55
66.2%
46
33.8%
Q3 - 10:35CLECAVALIERS Rebound55
62.5%
46
37.5%
Q3 - 10:35CLEMISS Hughes 1' Layup55
65.1%
46
34.9%
Q3 - 10:59MIAPavlovic STEAL (1 STL)55
62.6%
46
37.4%
Q3 - 11:12CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)55
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)55
61.5%
46
38.5%
Q3 - 11:41MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q3 - 11:42CLEMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot53
57.3%
46
42.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
54.8%
46
45.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound53
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot53
55.9%
46
44.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)53
56.7%
46
43.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kapono 4 AST)53
54.5%
46
45.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw Technical50
46.9%
46
53.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEHughes 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
46.9%
46
53.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)50
51.2%
44
48.8%
Q2 - 1:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
43.0%
44
57.0%
Q2 - 1:03CLEMISS Gooden 16' Jump Shot47
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 1:21CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 1:23CLEMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 1:38CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw Technical47
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 1:48CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot47
41.9%
44
58.1%
Q2 - 2:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
43.2%
44
56.8%
Q2 - 2:05CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 147
42.8%
44
57.2%
Q2 - 2:10CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
47.4%
42
52.6%
Q2 - 2:36CLEHughes 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)47
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
51.2%
40
48.8%
Q2 - 3:01MIAHaslem 1' Layup (7 PTS)47
51.2%
40
48.8%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Layup45
46.3%
40
53.7%
Q2 - 3:24CLEGooden 10' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)45
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 3:31CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
51.3%
38
48.7%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
52.3%
38
47.7%
Q2 - 3:52CLEGooden Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)45
54.7%
38
45.3%
Q2 - 4:07MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)45
50.4%
38
49.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
44.7%
38
55.3%
Q2 - 4:21CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Dunk42
43.8%
38
56.2%
Q2 - 4:41MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)42
41.9%
38
58.1%
Q2 - 5:07CLEJames 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)40
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)40
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 5:36CLEIlgauskas Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)40
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 5:46MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)40
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 6:01CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 6:01CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
50.0%
33
50.0%
Q2 - 6:12CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
51.8%
32
48.2%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot40
52.8%
32
47.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
55.1%
32
44.9%
Q2 - 6:23CLEMISS Gibson 4' Running Jump Shot40
54.1%
32
45.9%
Q2 - 6:45MIAPayton 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)40
51.8%
32
48.2%
Q2 - 7:05CLEGooden 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)38
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 7:19CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Bank Shot38
52.0%
30
48.0%
Q2 - 7:34MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
54.0%
30
46.0%
Q2 - 7:36CLEMISS Ilgauskas 7' Hook Shot38
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q2 - 7:57MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)38
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 8:11MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 8:12CLEMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot35
44.8%
30
55.2%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)35
42.8%
30
57.2%
Q2 - 8:33MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 8:35CLEMISS Snow 1' Driving Layup32
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)32
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q2 - 9:07CLEGooden 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 9:27CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32.9%
28
67.1%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot29
33.6%
28
66.4%
Q2 - 9:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
35.4%
28
64.6%
Q2 - 9:36CLEMISS Gibson 20' Jump Shot29
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q2 - 9:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
32.9%
28
67.1%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 228
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 10:03CLEHughes 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)28
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T4)28
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 10:22CLESnow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)28
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 10:42MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 10:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 11:00CLEJames 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 11:07MIAPayton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)26
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q2 - 11:13MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 11:15CLEMISS James 3' Layup24
31.9%
24
68.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAVarejao STEAL (1 STL)24
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 11:36CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)24
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 11:36CLECAVALIERS Rebound24
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 11:36CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot24
32.0%
24
68.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0CLEMISS Varejao 4' Jump Shot24
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T2)24
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0CLESnow Foul Turnover (P1.T5)24
36.4%
22
63.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 223
34.0%
22
66.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw Technical23
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0CLEPavlovic 1' Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)23
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 1:09CLEPavlovic Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)23
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 1:17CLEPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot23
39.7%
19
60.3%
Q1 - 1:40CLEPavlovic 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)23
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 1:56MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
43.7%
17
56.3%
Q1 - 2:16CLEPavlovic 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
38.8%
17
61.2%
Q1 - 2:28CLEMISS James Free Throw Technical20
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 2:42MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 3:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 118
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 3:25CLEPollard 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIAHaslem 2' Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)16
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 3:57CLEJames 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)14
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 4:03CLECAVALIERS Rebound14
35.6%
11
64.4%
Q1 - 4:03CLEMISS Varejao 8' Jump Hook Shot14
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 4:19CLEPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
35.6%
11
64.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 4:46CLEJames 1' Layup (4 PTS)14
38.1%
11
61.9%
Q1 - 4:47CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 4:49CLEMISS Pavlovic 16' Jump Shot14
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 4:57CLEPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup14
40.6%
9
59.4%
Q1 - 5:20CLEJames 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
41.3%
9
58.7%
Q1 - 5:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 5:45MIAO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)14
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Williams 2' Layup12
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 6:03CLEPavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
40.6%
7
59.4%
Q1 - 6:15CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
44.4%
4
55.6%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
45.1%
4
54.9%
Q1 - 6:45CLEHughes Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAHaslem 1' Layup (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)12
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 7:35CLEPavlovic 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)10
41.6%
4
58.4%
Q1 - 7:42CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 7:44CLEMISS James 15' Jump Shot10
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIAPosey 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 8:22MIAHeat Rebound8
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 8:35CLEIlgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)8
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 8:41CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 8:44CLEMISS Ilgauskas 7' Hook Shot8
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 9:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 27
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 9:09CLEMISS Gooden 12' Jump Hook Shot7
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:11CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 9:12CLEMISS James 15' Jump Shot7
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)7
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 26
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 9:34CLEIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 9:44MIAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)6
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 9:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 10:15CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 10:23MIAO'Neal 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 10:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 10:43CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 10:57MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 11:19CLEIlgauskas Layup (2 PTS)2
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. O'Neal: Tip to Posey0
30.6%
0
69.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
CLE
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
24
67%
CLE
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
8
28
29%
CLE
13
40
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
CLE
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
13
26
50%
CLE
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2067%10.0 / 15
A. Walker2091%10.0 / 11
U. Haslem1554%7.5 / 14
E. Jones1346%6.5 / 14
J. Kapono1150%5.5 / 11
J. Williams525%2.5 / 10
J. Posey531%2.5 / 8
G. Payton450%2.0 / 4
A. Mourning125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3570%17.5 / 25
S. Pavlovic1450%7.0 / 14
L. Hughes1454%7.0 / 13
D. Gooden1447%7.0 / 15
Z. Ilgauskas627%3.0 / 11
D. Marshall330%1.5 / 5
A. Varejao214%1.0 / 7
S. Pollard2100%1.0 / 1
D. Gibson0-0.0 / 3
E. Snow0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+11
-15
91
CLE
74
+23
-17
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
CLE
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
105.9
MIA 98.9 +0.0
CLE 98.9
Pace
90.1
90.5
MIA 80.9
CLE 88.3 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.3
MIA 17.8
CLE 16.3 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
48.4%
MIA 51.9% +12.6%
CLE 39.3%
TO %
15.3%
15.0%
MIA 14.4% +2.0%
CLE 16.4%
ORB %
24.9%
29.7%
MIA 20.9%
CLE 34.7% +13.8%
FTrt
32.1
32.0
MIA 33.3
CLE 34.5 +1.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.4%
MIA 82.9% +37.7%
CLE 45.2%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 8.4% +0.7%
CLE 7.7%
BLK %
8.8%
6.9%
MIA 5.9% +2.1%
CLE 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
50.9%
MIA 51.1% +5.6%
CLE 45.5%
Rim FG%
61.8%
59.1%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
CLE 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
37.1%
MIA 28.6%
CLE 32.5% +3.9%
3P %
34.3%
35.2%
MIA 42.3% +17.3%
CLE 25.0%
FT %
69.0%
69.6%
MIA 50.0%
CLE 82.8% +32.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
36.4%
MIA 30.8%
CLE 33.3% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.5%
MIA 35.9% +11.7%
CLE 47.6%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.1%
MIA 33.3% +14.3%
CLE 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes28.224.7
Points9490
Rebounds4151
Assists2914
Steals87
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)17 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals35-7831-84
At-the-Rim FG16-2414-28
Midrange FG8-2813-40
2-Point FG24-5227-68
3-Point FG11-264-16
Free Throws13-2624-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 35
42.4
13
46%
3
8
2
0
0
5
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
41.9
20
67%
8
2
1
1
4
4
1
7
2-5
40%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
36.0
15
54%
6
0
1
1
0
3
4
2
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
32.4
5
25%
4
3
1
0
2
3
0
4
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
28.0
5
31%
5
1
3
0
2
5
2
3
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
28.0
11
50%
4
5
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-7
14%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
25.0
20
91%
6
2
0
0
4
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
6-8
75%
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
20.6
4
50%
4
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
10.8
1
25%
1
0
0
2
2
4
0
1
1-4
25%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
94
51%
41
29
8
4
15
0
9
32
13-26
50%
24-52
46%
11-26
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.