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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls66%100101
22Wizards34%9468
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
32.6
33.3
30
72%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
6-9
67%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.6
31.4
32.3
9
54%
10
3
2
1
1
0
3
7
1-3
33%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.5
27.7
22.1
2
25%
8
3
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
26.6
31.4
16
55%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
6-8
75%
5-11
7-14
45%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
25.6
29.4
8
68%
1
10
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
4-9
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.6
25.7
20.0
4
40%
4
3
3
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.7
17.0
15.2
5
32%
10
1
0
1
0
1
4
6
3-4
75%
1-6
2-5
17%
52%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.4
14.2
15.0
9
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
12.0
18.6
2
20%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
12.0
16.7
6
61%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.5
7.6
6.0
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.7
7.6
3.4
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.1
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.1
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.0
35.8
30.4
13
39%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
2-7
29%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
35.5
32.9
8
33%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-8
5-10
13%
48%
2-4
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
31.3
22.0
11
53%
11
1
0
0
2
1
4
7
1-3
33%
5-9
3-5
56%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.7
28.1
31.2
11
36%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
3-10
3-7
30%
43%
1-4
25%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.7
25.6
13.5
10
60%
4
5
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-3
0%
5-7
2-4
71%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
26.1
9.9
5
42%
4
1
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
38%
1-3
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
18.6
24.1
8
57%
4
1
1
1
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.6
16.7
15.9
1
9%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.4
12.0
12.0
1
13%
3
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1-4
25%
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Hall
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
5.8
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.2
4.7
9.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.9
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.1
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.1
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.