FinalWin Prob.pScore
2357%94
102
3043%92
118
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
108.594108.3
ATL logo ATL
125.59483.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL102
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDArmstrong Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)102
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Ivey 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDGreene 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)99
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:00INDDiogu Dunk (20 PTS) (Baston 2 AST)99
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ATLIvey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25INDBaston Layup (9 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 3 AST)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29INDMISS Baston 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ATLMISS Ivey 16' Jump Shot95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03ATLJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05INDJones BLOCK (2 BLK)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20ATLMISS Ivey 15' Jump Shot95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50INDDiogu 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06ATLSmith 6' Jump Shot (25 PTS)93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22INDMISS McLeod 20' Jump Shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33ATLIvey Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 12 AST)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59ATLLue Running Layup (25 PTS)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 4:25INDMISS Diogu 6' Jump Shot93
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41ATLSmith 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)93
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 4:56INDMurphy 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 2 AST)93
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:18ATLWilliams 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)91
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 5:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)91
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 5:29ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 191
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 5:41INDMcLeod Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)91
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 5:49ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T10)91
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 6:06INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)91
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 6:20ATLShel. Williams Layup (19 PTS)88
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 6:45INDMurphy Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (McLeod 4 AST)88
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 7:01INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 7:04ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 7:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 7:12INDWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)86
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 7:28ATLShel. Williams 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)86
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 7:54INDMcLeod 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 8:06ATLLue 10' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)84
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 8:20INDDiogu Foul Turnover (P2.T14)84
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 8:26ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
4.2%
98
95.8%
Q4 - 8:26ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 8:41ATLJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 8:42INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot84
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 9:00ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)84
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 9:17INDGreene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
9.9%
94
90.1%
Q4 - 9:17INDGreene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
9.3%
94
90.7%
Q4 - 9:22ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)82
8.1%
94
91.9%
Q4 - 9:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 9:42INDMISS Shaw. Williams 15' Jump Shot82
6.8%
94
93.2%
Q4 - 9:59INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
8.0%
94
92.0%
Q4 - 10:01ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot82
8.7%
94
91.3%
Q4 - 10:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
7.4%
94
92.6%
Q4 - 10:08ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 10:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)82
7.3%
94
92.7%
Q4 - 10:23INDMISS McLeod Layup82
7.9%
94
92.1%
Q4 - 10:40ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
9.2%
94
90.8%
Q4 - 11:03INDShaw. Williams Reverse Layup (7 PTS)82
12.1%
92
87.9%
Q4 - 11:15INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
10.1%
92
89.9%
Q4 - 11:15ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 180
9.8%
92
90.2%
Q4 - 11:34INDGreene Foul Turnover (P2.T13)80
12.1%
90
87.9%
Q4 - 11:36INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
14.7%
90
85.3%
Q4 - 11:38ATLMISS Lue 12' Jump Shot80
13.8%
90
86.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL80
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
13.7%
90
86.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDMISS McLeod 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
14.5%
90
85.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
16.2%
90
83.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
16.8%
89
83.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
19.2%
88
80.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Smith Layup80
21.5%
88
78.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0INDDiogu Layup (16 PTS) (McLeod 3 AST)80
19.2%
88
80.8%
Q3 - 1:04INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
17.9%
88
82.1%
Q3 - 1:06ATLMISS Ivey 15' Jump Shot78
17.0%
88
83.0%
Q3 - 1:18INDBaston 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
15.1%
88
84.9%
Q3 - 1:34INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
12.8%
88
87.2%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot76
12.1%
88
87.9%
Q3 - 1:40ATLHAWKS Rebound76
10.7%
88
89.3%
Q3 - 1:41ATLMISS Jones Layup76
12.1%
88
87.9%
Q3 - 2:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
10.7%
88
89.3%
Q3 - 2:01INDMISS Diogu 7' Jump Shot76
12.4%
88
87.6%
Q3 - 2:13INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
14.0%
88
86.0%
Q3 - 2:15ATLMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot76
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q3 - 2:32INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q3 - 2:32INDDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
11.4%
88
88.6%
Q3 - 2:32INDPacers Rebound74
10.0%
88
90.0%
Q3 - 2:32ATLMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot74
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q3 - 2:42ATLHAWKS Rebound74
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q3 - 2:42ATLMISS Batista Layup74
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q3 - 3:10INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q3 - 3:10INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 273
9.0%
88
91.0%
Q3 - 3:29ATLJones Dunk (10 PTS) (Lue 8 AST)73
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q3 - 3:51INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q3 - 3:51INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q3 - 4:01INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q3 - 4:03ATLMISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot71
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q3 - 4:14ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
8.6%
86
91.4%
Q3 - 4:16INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.1%
86
90.9%
Q3 - 4:21INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q3 - 4:26ATLMISS Smith Layup71
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q3 - 4:41ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
8.6%
86
91.4%
Q3 - 4:43INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 271
8.8%
86
91.2%
Q3 - 4:43INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 271
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q3 - 4:44ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)71
10.2%
86
89.8%
Q3 - 4:59ATLJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q3 - 5:01INDMISS Diogu Free Throw 1 of 171
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q3 - 5:03INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
8.3%
86
91.7%
Q3 - 5:06ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup69
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q3 - 5:18INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)69
7.0%
86
93.0%
Q3 - 5:33ATLJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q3 - 5:33ATLJones Layup (8 PTS)66
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q3 - 5:35ATLMISS Shel. Williams 12' Jump Shot66
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q3 - 5:49ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q3 - 5:51INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot66
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 6:02INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q3 - 6:05ATLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot66
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q3 - 6:18INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q3 - 6:20INDMISS Granger Layup64
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q3 - 6:25INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 6:27INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot64
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q3 - 6:40ATLHAWKS Rebound64
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 6:40ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q3 - 6:40ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 264
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q3 - 6:59INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 6:59INDGranger Layup (9 PTS)64
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 7:01INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot62
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q3 - 7:24ATLLue 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)62
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 7:34ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 7:36INDSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)62
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 7:56ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T7)62
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q3 - 8:07INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)62
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q3 - 8:10ATLJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)59
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q3 - 8:12ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 8:14ATLMISS Smith Layup59
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 8:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 8:18ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot59
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 8:38INDGranger Layup (7 PTS)59
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 8:40INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 8:42INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 8:57INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 8:59ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 9:23ATLLue Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)57
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 9:23ATLLue Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)57
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 9:23INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P3.T12)57
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q3 - 9:39INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q3 - 9:41ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 257
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 9:41ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 9:51INDHarrison Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)57
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 9:58INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q3 - 10:00ATLMISS Lue 31' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 10:04ATLHAWKS Rebound57
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 10:04ATLMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot57
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q3 - 10:27ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 10:27INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q3 - 10:39INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q3 - 10:42ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot57
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q3 - 11:10INDTinsley 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q3 - 11:24ATLWilliams 17' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)55
6.1%
78
93.9%
Q3 - 11:41ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 11:43INDMISS Granger Layup55
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL55
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDSmith STEAL (2 STL)55
8.0%
76
92.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0INDArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)55
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0INDArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)54
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0INDPacers Rebound53
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot53
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDHarrison Driving Dunk (2 PTS)53
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLShel. Williams Running Layup (15 PTS)51
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q2 - 1:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q2 - 1:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q2 - 1:12ATLIvey Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)49
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q2 - 1:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q2 - 1:18INDSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)49
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q2 - 1:33ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q2 - 1:33ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q2 - 1:51INDMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)49
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q2 - 2:05ATLLue Foul Turnover (P2.T5)46
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q2 - 2:07ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q2 - 2:09INDShel. Williams BLOCK (2 BLK)46
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q2 - 2:23ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q2 - 2:23ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q2 - 2:42INDDunleavy Layup (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)46
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q2 - 2:56INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q2 - 2:57ATLMISS Smith Layup44
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q2 - 3:02ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q2 - 3:04ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 244
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q2 - 3:04ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)44
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q2 - 3:13ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q2 - 3:18INDSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)44
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q2 - 3:36ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)44
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q2 - 3:49INDMcLeod Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q2 - 3:49INDMcLeod Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q2 - 4:05ATLShel. Williams Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)42
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q2 - 4:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q2 - 4:21INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
15.3%
60
84.7%
Q2 - 4:50ATLShel. Williams Layup (11 PTS)42
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q2 - 4:53ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q2 - 4:55ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot42
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q2 - 5:18ATLHAWKS Rebound42
18.6%
58
81.4%
Q2 - 5:18INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)42
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q2 - 5:29ATLLue 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)42
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q2 - 5:43INDGreene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q2 - 5:43INDGreene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
21.7%
56
78.3%
Q2 - 5:56ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)40
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q2 - 6:12INDGreene 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q2 - 6:19INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 6:21ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot38
22.8%
53
77.2%
Q2 - 6:45INDShaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Greene 2 AST)38
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q2 - 7:05ATLSmith 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)36
21.1%
53
78.9%
Q2 - 7:17INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)36
22.7%
51
77.3%
Q2 - 7:37ATLSmith Driving Layup (10 PTS)36
24.7%
51
75.3%
Q2 - 7:47INDDiogu Foul Turnover (P1.T8)36
26.5%
49
73.5%
Q2 - 8:01ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)36
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q2 - 8:18INDShaw. Williams Layup (3 PTS)36
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 8:26INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
29.2%
47
70.8%
Q2 - 8:27ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)34
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 8:27ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot34
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 8:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot34
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 8:37ATLMISS Williams Layup34
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 8:43INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)34
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 8:48INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
29.2%
47
70.8%
Q2 - 8:49ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup34
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 9:09INDDiogu Layup (10 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)34
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 9:22ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)32
25.9%
47
74.1%
Q2 - 9:25ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
23.8%
47
76.2%
Q2 - 9:27ATLMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot32
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 9:39INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q2 - 9:39INDDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
23.4%
47
76.6%
Q2 - 9:39INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
22.2%
47
77.8%
Q2 - 9:40INDMISS Greene Layup30
20.8%
47
79.2%
Q2 - 9:47ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Shel. Williams 2 AST)30
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q2 - 10:07INDDiogu Dunk (6 PTS) (Baston 1 AST)30
24.1%
45
75.9%
Q2 - 10:18ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 10:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 10:35INDBaston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
24.1%
43
75.9%
Q2 - 10:35INDBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 10:49ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)26
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 10:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 10:59INDMISS Baston Layup26
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 11:15INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 11:17ATLMISS Ivey 14' Jump Shot26
26.1%
41
73.9%
Q2 - 11:45INDMcLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diogu 1 AST)26
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
21.3%
41
78.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)23
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)23
23.8%
39
76.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLShel. Williams 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
25.1%
39
74.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0INDMcLeod 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)23
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
25.1%
37
74.9%
Q1 - 1:09INDShaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q1 - 1:09INDMISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 220
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q1 - 1:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)20
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q1 - 1:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)20
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q1 - 1:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q1 - 1:20INDMISS McLeod 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q1 - 1:37ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)20
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q1 - 1:52INDBaston Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q1 - 2:04ATLLue Layup (8 PTS)17
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q1 - 2:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q1 - 2:10INDMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
28.5%
31
71.5%
Q1 - 2:22ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q1 - 2:22ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
29.9%
30
70.1%
Q1 - 2:39INDDiogu 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q1 - 2:48ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q1 - 3:04ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q1 - 3:07INDMISS Diogu 5' Jump Shot15
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 3:26ATLWilliams 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)15
36.9%
26
63.1%
Q1 - 3:52INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)15
38.7%
24
61.3%
Q1 - 4:12ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)13
37.6%
24
62.4%
Q1 - 4:37INDMcLeod 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)13
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q1 - 4:42INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 4:44ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q1 - 4:44ATLMISS Jones Layup11
36.8%
22
63.2%
Q1 - 4:46ATLMISS Jones Layup11
36.8%
22
63.2%
Q1 - 4:54INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q1 - 4:54INDDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 5:06ATLWilliams Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)9
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 5:12ATLJump Ball Jones vs. Baston: Tip to Smith9
36.4%
20
63.6%
Q1 - 5:12INDJones BLOCK (1 BLK)9
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 5:27ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Granger: Tip to9
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 5:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 5:42INDMISS Diogu 4' Jump Shot9
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q1 - 6:04ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 6:04ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 6:23INDShel. Williams STEAL (2 STL)9
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 6:43ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)9
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 6:59INDDunleavy Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)9
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 7:05INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
50.1%
15
49.9%
Q1 - 7:07ATLMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot9
49.4%
15
50.6%
Q1 - 7:19INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 7:19INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 7:32ATLJones Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)7
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 7:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 7:37INDShel. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)7
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 8:00ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
50.0%
13
50.0%
Q1 - 8:05INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)7
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 8:18ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
54.4%
11
45.6%
Q1 - 8:29INDTinsley Layup (2 PTS) (Harrison 1 AST)7
56.0%
9
44.0%
Q1 - 8:47ATLJones Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
54.3%
9
45.7%
Q1 - 9:00INDMurphy 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)5
56.0%
7
44.0%
Q1 - 9:16ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 9:16ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 23
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 9:17INDShel. Williams STEAL (1 STL)3
53.8%
6
46.2%
Q1 - 9:29ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)3
56.2%
6
43.8%
Q1 - 9:52INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 10:12ATLJones Layup (2 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)0
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 10:23ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 10:24INDMISS Tinsley Layup0
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 10:26INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 10:28INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot0
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 10:44ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 11:05INDHarrison Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 11:12INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 11:14ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot0
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 11:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 11:38INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot0
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 11:55ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)0
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Harrison: Tip to Lue0
59.7%
0
40.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.19 59.3%
ATL
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
18
35
51%
ATL
24
40
60%
Midrange
IND
12
22
55%
ATL
20
37
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
ATL
6
0%
Free Throws
IND
27
32
84%
ATL
30
36
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Diogu2067%10.0 / 15
D. Granger1568%7.5 / 11
M. Dunleavy1161%5.5 / 9
K. McLeod1161%5.5 / 9
T. Murphy945%4.5 / 10
M. Baston956%4.5 / 8
O. Greene990%4.5 / 5
S. Williams758%3.5 / 6
J. Tinsley450%2.0 / 4
R. Marshall350%1.5 / 3
D. Harrison225%1.0 / 4
D. Armstrong2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2552%12.5 / 24
T. Lue2569%12.5 / 18
M. Williams2372%11.5 / 16
S. Williams2175%10.5 / 14
S. Jones1470%7.0 / 10
A. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
R. Ivey425%2.0 / 8
E. Batista0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+7
-16
85
ATL
83
+15
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.19 59.3%
ATL
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
102.9
IND 108.5
ATL 125.5 +17.0
Pace
92.4
90.2
IND 108.3 +25.2
ATL 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
IND 13.3 +4.0
ATL 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
47.1%
IND 52.8%
ATL 53.0% +0.2%
TO %
17.1%
16.7%
IND 15.8%
ATL 10.0% +5.8%
ORB %
28.4%
29.3%
IND 19.4%
ATL 31.6% +12.2%
FTrt
32.4
34.6
IND 45.1 +1.7
ATL 43.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.6%
IND 62.9%
ATL 68.2% +5.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
IND 7.4%
ATL 7.4%
BLK %
8.5%
8.7%
IND 7.8%
ATL 15.8% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
50.8%
IND 59.3% +0.3%
ATL 59.0%
Rim FG%
56.1%
55.2%
IND 51.4%
ATL 60.0% +8.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.3%
IND 54.5% +0.4%
ATL 54.1%
3P %
34.6%
32.9%
IND 35.7% +35.7%
ATL 0.0%
FT %
76.0%
76.1%
IND 84.4% +1.1%
ATL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
38.8%
IND 49.3% +1.1%
ATL 48.2%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
44.9%
IND 31.0% +13.6%
ATL 44.6%
3P Att. %
21.2%
16.3%
IND 19.7% +12.5%
ATL 7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDATL
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes20.827.2
Points102118
Rebounds3341
Assists2230
Steals77
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)29 (3)
Field Goals35-7144-83
At-the-Rim FG18-3524-40
Midrange FG12-2220-37
2-Point FG30-5744-77
3-Point FG5-140-6
Free Throws27-3230-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 230 · 27
35.8
11
61%
9
2
1
0
1
2
1
8
3-5
60%
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 24
27.8
15
68%
3
2
1
2
0
3
2
1
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
2-2
100%
F · 6'11" 245 · 27
23.1
9
45%
3
1
0
0
1
4
0
3
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
16.9
4
50%
1
3
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
12.3
2
25%
2
1
0
1
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
27.9
20
67%
7
1
1
1
2
6
2
5
6-7
86%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
27.0
11
61%
0
5
0
1
2
4
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 230 · 21
25.4
7
58%
1
3
1
0
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 31
22.1
9
56%
3
2
0
1
2
2
0
3
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 208 · 25
14.0
9
90%
2
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25
5.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 180 · 39
2.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'6" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
59%
33
22
7
6
16
0
7
26
27-32
84%
30-57
53%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.