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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks57%98106
18SuperSonics43%9575
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
28.7
25.9
8
57%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
24.6
32.8
20
73%
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
5
6-6
100%
7-10
7-14
70%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.0
22.8
20.9
15
58%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
4-7
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
19.6
25.8
12
75%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.8
14.8
8.2
4
34%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-2
0%
2-5
1-1
40%
57%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
28.4
26.3
4
50%
4
1
0
1
5
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
25.1
21.5
6
43%
5
2
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
20.4
21.9
10
74%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
17.5
23.4
13
71%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
5-5
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 44.6
14.6
7.4
6
43%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
43%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.8
12.2
19.4
5
39%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.6
11.3
24.0
3
150%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
1-1
100%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.2
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.9
37.9
35.4
8
35%
4
3
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-3
67%
3-10
4-8
30%
45%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.3
36.2
34.3
10
45%
4
3
3
1
0
4
1
3
4-7
57%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
29.3
37.9
14
53%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-5
60%
4-8
5-11
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
17.7
34.3
11
51%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-9
6-12
44%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
15.0
22.8
2
53%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
34.0
27.9
8
57%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
0-2
0%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.9
21.9
6.7
2
17%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-5
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
21.5
3.6
12
64%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-1
0%
6-8
0-1
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.2
16.3
16.9
8
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 32.0
10.1
5.1
0
0%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
7.5
0
1-2
45%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 31.1
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.7
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.4
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.