FinalWin Prob.pScore
559%97
82
1741%94
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.28889.0
CHA logo CHA
104.58887.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA82
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Simien 2 AST)82
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 179
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHAMcInnis Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07CHAFelton 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Herrmann 2 AST)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Simien 1 AST)74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38CHAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIASimien 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18CHAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P3.T22)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41CHAMISS Anderson Dunk69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAHerrmann STEAL (2 STL)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02CHAAnderson Finger Roll (2 PTS)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAWallace STEAL (3 STL)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)67
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Quinn Reverse Layup67
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55CHAHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)67
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Barron 10' Hook Shot67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 5:31MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 5:33CHAMISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 5:52CHABOBCATS Rebound67
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 6:00CHAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot67
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 6:06CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot67
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 6:24CHAFelton Driving Layup (7 PTS)67
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 6:37CHAHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 6:45CHAHollins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)67
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 7:03MIAKapono 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)67
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 7:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 7:13CHAMISS McInnis 5' Turnaround Jump Shot65
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWright 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)65
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 7:54CHAMISS Hollins 8' Turnaround Jump Shot63
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 8:13CHABOBCATS Rebound63
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Quinn 23' Jump Shot63
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 8:30CHAMcInnis 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)63
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 8:48MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)63
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 9:11CHAHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)60
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 9:11CHAMISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 260
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 9:26MIAQuinn Traveling Turnover (P1.T19)60
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 9:43CHAHerrmann 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)60
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 10:06MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)60
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q4 - 10:22CHAKnight 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)57
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 10:30MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)57
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 10:48CHAMISS McInnis 15' Jump Shot57
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q4 - 11:07CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Doleac 6' Hook Shot57
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 11:27CHAHollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)57
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAQuinn Driving Layup (6 PTS)57
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA55
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound55
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS McInnis 38' 3PT Jump Shot55
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0CHAWallace Layup (22 PTS)53
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)53
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wright 7' Running Jump Shot53
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHAAnderson Layup (17 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)53
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)53
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 1:13CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)53
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 1:13CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)53
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q3 - 1:34CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup53
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 1:46CHAMISS Anderson Reverse Layup53
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 2:06MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 2:06MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 2:06MIAHeat Rebound51
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 2:06CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 2:06CHAMISS Brezec Layup51
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 2:09CHAMISS Anderson Layup51
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 2:27MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 2:27MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 2:31MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 249
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 249
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHeat Rebound49
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 2:53CHAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 3:23CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 3:24CHAMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot49
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 3:47MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS)49
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot47
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 4:03CHAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 4:10CHAAnderson Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)47
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 4:20MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 4:20MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 4:39CHAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)45
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 5:03CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Quinn Layup45
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 5:19MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 5:20CHAMISS Herrmann 13' Jump Shot45
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 5:35CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q3 - 5:56MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)43
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 6:17CHAFelton Layup (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)40
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 6:20CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot40
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q3 - 6:45CHAHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)40
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 7:07CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.0%
59
93.0%
Q3 - 7:15CHAHerrmann Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q3 - 7:17MIAHerrmann STEAL (1 STL)40
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 7:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q3 - 7:34CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.4%
59
92.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade Running Finger Roll (14 PTS)40
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 8:03CHAHerrmann Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)38
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade Running Layup (12 PTS)38
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q3 - 8:41CHAHerrmann Layup (10 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)36
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T15)36
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 9:00MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q3 - 9:02CHAMISS Knight 15' Jump Shot36
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 9:06CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot36
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 9:26CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 9:26CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)36
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q3 - 9:26CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
10.3%
53
89.7%
Q3 - 9:27CHAMISS Herrmann Running Layup36
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 9:36MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)36
10.3%
53
89.7%
Q3 - 9:51CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q3 - 9:51CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q3 - 9:51CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)36
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q3 - 9:52CHAMISS Knight 18' Jump Shot36
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 10:01CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q3 - 10:28CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Herrmann 1 AST)36
16.4%
51
83.6%
Q3 - 10:43CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
20.3%
48
79.7%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
21.1%
48
78.9%
Q3 - 10:53CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
23.0%
48
77.0%
Q3 - 10:59CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
20.3%
48
79.7%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot36
22.5%
48
77.5%
Q3 - 11:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)36
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q3 - 11:24CHAMISS Okafor 10' Jump Shot36
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q3 - 11:34CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)36
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q3 - 11:36CHAMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAWallace Driving Layup (18 PTS)36
25.1%
48
74.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)36
28.5%
46
71.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)36
30.4%
46
69.6%
Q2 - 0:18.0CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)36
31.2%
45
68.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)36
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)36
36.2%
44
63.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 236
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)36
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q2 - 1:04CHAMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot36
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)36
38.1%
43
61.9%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)36
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q2 - 1:30CHAMISS Knight 18' Jump Shot36
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWalker 5' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)36
38.1%
43
61.9%
Q2 - 2:14CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T5)34
35.1%
43
64.9%
Q2 - 2:25CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
32.5%
43
67.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot34
33.3%
43
66.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
35.1%
43
64.9%
Q2 - 2:34CHAMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot34
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
32.5%
43
67.5%
Q2 - 2:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
29.5%
43
70.5%
Q2 - 3:02CHAMISS Okafor 7' Hook Shot32
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q2 - 3:26MIAWalker Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)32
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 3:42CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
26.3%
43
73.7%
Q2 - 4:00CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Jones 15' Fadeaway Jumper30
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 4:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
27.4%
43
72.6%
Q2 - 4:24CHAMISS Felton 23' Jump Shot30
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 4:54MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)30
25.1%
43
74.9%
Q2 - 4:58CHAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)28
21.7%
43
78.3%
Q2 - 5:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 5:24CHAMISS Felton Layup26
19.4%
43
80.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAFelton STEAL (2 STL)26
18.1%
43
81.9%
Q2 - 5:40CHAMcInnis Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 5:51CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q2 - 5:52MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
23.8%
41
76.2%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Williams Tip Shot26
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade Layup26
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
23.8%
41
76.2%
Q2 - 5:59CHAMISS Felton Layup26
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 6:05CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
22.6%
41
77.4%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot26
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 6:16CHAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot26
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)26
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 6:44CHAWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
24.9%
41
75.1%
Q2 - 6:46CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 6:48CHAMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot26
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 7:05CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)26
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Mourning Layup26
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound26
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 7:49CHAAnderson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 8:02CHAAnderson Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)26
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWalker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)26
30.6%
38
69.4%
Q2 - 8:29CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)26
33.1%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 8:29CHAOkafor Tip Shot (7 PTS)26
33.1%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 8:32CHAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot26
37.1%
36
62.9%
Q2 - 8:41CHAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
35.2%
36
64.8%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
36.0%
36
64.0%
Q2 - 9:01CHAAnderson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)26
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWade Tip Shot (6 PTS)26
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot24
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 9:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)24
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 9:29CHAMISS McInnis Layup24
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 9:37CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot24
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 10:00CHAAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)24
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 10:07CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup24
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q2 - 10:27CHAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)24
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 10:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
50.6%
28
49.4%
Q2 - 10:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
50.2%
28
49.8%
Q2 - 10:58CHABrezec 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)22
48.5%
28
51.5%
Q2 - 11:29MIAWalker Driving Layup (10 PTS)22
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 11:43CHAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot20
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound20
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 24' Jump Shot20
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0CHAWallace Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Brezec 1 AST)20
48.5%
26
51.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHAMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIABrezec BLOCK (1 BLK)20
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)20
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0CHAMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot20
52.7%
24
47.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 1:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 1:07CHAMISS Wallace Reverse Layup20
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q1 - 1:13CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
52.1%
24
47.9%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 1:24CHAMISS Anderson Layup20
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q1 - 1:36MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q1 - 1:36MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q1 - 1:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q1 - 1:40CHAMISS Felton 22' Jump Shot18
48.1%
24
51.9%
Q1 - 2:01MIAWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
47.1%
24
52.9%
Q1 - 2:16CHAWallace 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)16
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q1 - 2:44MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
47.1%
22
52.9%
Q1 - 2:47CHAOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q1 - 3:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 3:12MIAWalker Tip Shot (8 PTS)14
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Walker Layup12
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot12
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q1 - 3:32MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 3:34CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 212
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q1 - 3:34CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 3:34CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q1 - 3:35CHAMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot12
42.4%
21
57.6%
Q1 - 3:53MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q1 - 4:15CHAWallace Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)10
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q1 - 4:17CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
41.3%
19
58.7%
Q1 - 4:20CHAMISS Herrmann 14' Running Jump Shot10
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 4:39CHABOBCATS Rebound10
41.2%
19
58.8%
Q1 - 4:39CHAMISS Felton 3PT Jump Shot10
43.0%
19
57.0%
Q1 - 4:55MIAWalker 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)10
41.2%
19
58.8%
Q1 - 5:21CHAWallace 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)8
40.6%
19
59.4%
Q1 - 5:52MIAWilliams 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 6:10CHAWallace Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)6
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIAFelton STEAL (1 STL)6
43.2%
15
56.8%
Q1 - 6:35CHAHerrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)6
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWalker 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
49.2%
12
50.8%
Q1 - 7:17CHAOkafor Layup (4 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)4
48.4%
12
51.6%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
48.4%
10
51.6%
Q1 - 7:46CHAMISS Okafor 7' Turnaround Hook Shot2
47.7%
10
52.3%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)2
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 8:14CHAHerrmann Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)2
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 8:22CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
52.6%
7
47.4%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot2
53.2%
7
46.8%
Q1 - 8:49CHAHerrmann 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)2
54.7%
7
45.3%
Q1 - 8:56CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
56.3%
5
43.7%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
56.9%
5
43.1%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
58.4%
5
41.6%
Q1 - 9:09CHAMISS Felton 16' Jump Shot2
57.6%
5
42.4%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
56.0%
5
44.0%
Q1 - 9:40CHAWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)2
58.4%
5
41.6%
Q1 - 9:42CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 9:44CHAMISS Felton 16' Jump Shot2
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)2
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:25CHAOkafor 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)2
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 10:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:00CHAMISS Felton 15' Jump Shot2
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Okafor vs. Mourning: Tip to Jones0
63.4%
0
36.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.9%
CHA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
27
63%
CHA
16
27
59%
Midrange
MIA
8
28
29%
CHA
10
32
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
CHA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
CHA
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker1761%8.5 / 14
D. Wade1454%7.0 / 13
C. Quinn1267%6.0 / 9
J. Kapono964%4.5 / 7
J. Williams844%4.0 / 9
D. Wright750%3.5 / 7
J. Posey563%2.5 / 4
M. Doleac450%2.0 / 4
E. Jones233%1.0 / 3
E. Barron233%1.0 / 3
W. Simien2100%1.0 / 1
A. Mourning0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Wallace2480%12.0 / 15
W. Herrmann2067%10.0 / 15
D. Anderson1794%8.5 / 9
E. Okafor1161%5.5 / 9
R. Felton935%4.5 / 13
J. McInnis433%2.0 / 6
B. Knight220%1.0 / 5
A. Anderson211%1.0 / 9
P. Brezec233%1.0 / 3
R. Hollins125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
66
+12
-22
78
CHA
76
+12
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.9%
CHA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
104.1
MIA 93.2 +11.4
CHA 104.5
Pace
90.1
91.7
MIA 89.0 +2.0
CHA 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
MIA 16.2 +0.4
CHA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
48.0%
MIA 47.8%
CHA 48.7% +0.9%
TO %
15.3%
15.4%
MIA 22.3%
CHA 13.1% +9.2%
ORB %
24.9%
26.4%
MIA 27.8% +3.4%
CHA 24.4%
FTrt
32.1
32.2
MIA 29.4 +5.0
CHA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
62.0%
MIA 40.0%
CHA 70.6% +30.6%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 9.1%
CHA 10.2% +1.1%
BLK %
8.8%
7.1%
MIA 8.5% +6.7%
CHA 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.0%
MIA 51.9% +0.2%
CHA 51.7%
Rim FG%
61.8%
55.6%
MIA 63.0% +3.7%
CHA 59.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.3%
MIA 28.6%
CHA 31.3% +2.7%
3P %
34.3%
35.7%
MIA 38.5%
CHA 42.1% +3.6%
FT %
69.0%
73.4%
MIA 85.0% +0.8%
CHA 84.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
36.7%
MIA 39.7% +5.1%
CHA 34.6%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
44.0%
MIA 41.2%
CHA 41.0% +0.2%
3P Att. %
24.5%
19.3%
MIA 19.1%
CHA 24.4% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8292
Rebounds4136
Assists1224
Steals89
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)26 (2)
Field Goals30-6834-78
At-the-Rim FG17-2716-27
Midrange FG8-2810-32
2-Point FG25-5526-59
3-Point FG5-138-19
Free Throws17-2016-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
26.4
17
61%
9
0
0
0
3
3
3
6
0-0
-
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
25.1
8
44%
2
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 35
25.0
2
33%
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
21.0
14
54%
5
2
2
0
4
0
1
4
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
18.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
3
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
31.5
9
64%
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
26.5
5
63%
6
1
2
2
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
17.5
12
67%
2
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
16.8
7
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
16.5
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
9.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
5.9
2
100%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 190 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
52%
41
12
8
5
22
0
10
31
17-20
85%
25-55
45%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.