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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 13, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Warriors45%105125
16Kings55%107108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.0
39.4
32.1
26
61%
8
3
2
1
0
3
5
3
2-3
67%
9-15
4-8
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.0
37.6
31.6
25
55%
2
4
5
2
0
3
1
1
5-6
83%
7-15
5-10
47%
47%
2-5
40%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.5
35.7
36.3
13
55%
4
4
4
2
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
6-11
6-13
55%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.2
30.5
33.4
17
68%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
28.7
26.5
12
38%
9
1
0
1
0
1
5
4
1-2
50%
4-10
4-7
40%
48%
1-5
20%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.0
30.2
21.8
4
45%
12
0
0
1
2
0
3
9
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.1
24.9
20.5
17
67%
9
1
0
1
1
3
1
8
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
11.8
17.1
11
81%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
1.1
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.1
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 31.1
5.2
0
0-1
44%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
4.5
0
1-1
47%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.3
33.8
25.3
15
74%
2
6
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.2
33.4
28.1
18
71%
4
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
2-4
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
32.8
27.4
23
63%
14
1
1
1
0
2
5
9
7-10
70%
8-14
5-9
57%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
31.8
30.5
16
51%
7
5
3
1
1
0
1
6
6-6
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.9
26.0
31.3
9
56%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.9
29.9
2.6
4
23%
2
0
3
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
48%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.4
26.4
27.0
13
48%
4
4
0
2
0
1
3
1
7-8
88%
0-6
4-8
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.9
15.2
23.8
9
73%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-5
20%
4-4
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
10.7
16.6
1
13%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-4
25%
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.0
22.9
1
3-6
51%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.4
8.4
0
1-3
51%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 32.1
2.4
0
0-1
49%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.