for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, April 11, 2007
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Magic
27%87
99
4
Pistons
73%95
104
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
116.58589.9
DET logo DET
123.88479.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET99
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)97
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot97
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)97
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)97
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLAriza Layup (9 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)97
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (McDyess 4 AST)95
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
10.2%
97
89.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
12.5%
97
87.5%
Q4 - 1:13DETPrince 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (17 PTS)95
19.2%
97
80.8%
Q4 - 1:35ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)95
27.5%
95
72.5%
Q4 - 1:52ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
20.1%
95
79.9%
Q4 - 1:54DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot93
17.6%
95
82.4%
Q4 - 2:21ORLAriza Dunk (7 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)93
12.1%
95
87.9%
Q4 - 2:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)91
9.7%
95
90.3%
Q4 - 2:30DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot91
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q4 - 2:46DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 2:47DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot91
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q4 - 3:01ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q4 - 3:01ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 290
5.8%
95
94.2%
Q4 - 3:18ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
7.2%
95
92.8%
Q4 - 3:20ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot90
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 3:39ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
8.5%
95
91.5%
Q4 - 3:41DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
7.6%
95
92.4%
Q4 - 3:52ORLWallace STEAL (1 STL)90
5.8%
95
94.2%
Q4 - 4:18DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)90
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 4:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
15.7%
92
84.3%
Q4 - 4:23DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot90
19.7%
92
80.3%
Q4 - 4:37ORLAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)90
15.6%
92
84.4%
Q4 - 4:48ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
21.7%
92
78.3%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot90
17.3%
92
82.7%
Q4 - 5:04DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)90
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 5:20DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
16.4%
92
83.6%
Q4 - 5:22ORLWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)90
17.9%
92
82.1%
Q4 - 5:35ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 5:38DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot90
20.0%
92
80.0%
Q4 - 5:53ORLNelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)90
16.4%
92
83.6%
Q4 - 5:53ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)89
15.6%
92
84.4%
Q4 - 5:53ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)88
14.8%
92
85.2%
Q4 - 6:12DETHamilton Layup (21 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)87
10.2%
92
89.8%
Q4 - 6:34ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)87
12.7%
90
87.3%
Q4 - 6:51ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
7.6%
90
92.4%
Q4 - 6:53DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot84
6.9%
90
93.1%
Q4 - 7:14ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)84
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q4 - 7:26DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)82
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 7:39DETPISTONS Rebound82
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 7:40DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot82
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 8:00ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 8:09DETMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)80
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q4 - 8:31DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 8:33ORLMISS Ariza 12' Jump Shot80
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 8:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)80
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q4 - 8:55DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot80
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 9:15ORLAriza Tip Shot (5 PTS)80
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 9:16ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 9:19ORLMISS Dooling 16' Running Jump Shot78
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 9:48DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)78
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 9:57DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q4 - 9:59ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot78
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 10:16DETBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)78
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 10:31ORLAriza Tip Shot (3 PTS)78
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q4 - 10:32ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 10:33ORLMISS Howard Layup76
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 10:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 10:43DETMISS McDyess 17' Turnaround Jump Shot76
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 11:07ORLMilicic Foul Turnover (P1.T8)76
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 11:17DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q4 - 11:17DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 11:17DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 11:19DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot76
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 11:37ORLDooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)76
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL73
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound73
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot73
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)73
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMilicic Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)73
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETHamilton Palming Turnover (P2.T7)71
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q3 - 1:13ORLDooling 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)71
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 1:29DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 1:29DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:34ORLWebber STEAL (1 STL)69
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 1:44ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 1:46DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot69
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 2:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q3 - 2:03ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot69
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 2:25DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 2:45ORLBattie Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)69
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 3:01DETWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)67
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q3 - 3:01DETMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 267
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 3:18ORLDooling Layup (12 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)67
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 3:35ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q3 - 3:38DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot65
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 3:58ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)65
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 4:16DETHamilton Dunk (15 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)63
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 4:20ORLBillups STEAL (2 STL)63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)63
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 4:29DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 4:46ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:46ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 5:01DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)61
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 5:06DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 5:08DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot61
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 5:24ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)61
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 5:42DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)58
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 5:59ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T5)58
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 6:13DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)58
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 6:34DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 6:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 258
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 6:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 258
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 6:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)58
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 6:37ORLWebber BLOCK (2 BLK)58
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 6:55DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)58
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 7:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 7:09ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot58
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 7:27DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)58
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 7:44ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
14.7%
62
85.3%
Q3 - 7:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)56
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 7:58DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot56
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 8:23ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 8:23ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q3 - 8:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
11.6%
62
88.4%
Q3 - 8:36ORLMISS Nelson Layup55
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 8:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)55
11.6%
62
88.4%
Q3 - 8:45DETMISS Prince Layup55
11.1%
62
88.9%
Q3 - 8:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 8:50DETMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot55
11.1%
62
88.9%
Q3 - 9:15ORLBattie Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)55
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 9:30DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 9:30DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q3 - 9:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 9:31DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 9:48ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)53
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 10:06DETBillups Driving Layup (12 PTS)53
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 10:23ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)53
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 10:28ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q3 - 10:30DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot51
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q3 - 10:51ORLHoward Dunk (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)51
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 11:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)49
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 11:07DETMISS Webber 7' Running Hook Shot49
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 11:27ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)49
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q3 - 11:42DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)46
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET46
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound46
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Delfino 38' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLBattie Dunk (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)46
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot44
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)44
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0DETPrince Layup (4 PTS)41
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q2 - 1:04DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 1:06ORLMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot41
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 1:23DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)41
5.8%
54
94.2%
Q2 - 1:28ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)41
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 1:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 1:31ORLDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)41
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 1:51DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)41
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 2:16ORLHill Layup (14 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q2 - 2:20DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 2:45ORLHill Driving Dunk (12 PTS)39
7.0%
50
93.0%
Q2 - 2:59DETDavis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)37
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 3:16DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 237
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 3:17ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 3:30ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 3:32DETMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot36
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 3:52DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 3:54ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot36
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 4:07ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 4:08DETMISS Hunter 22' Jump Shot36
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:29ORLDooling 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 4:33ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 4:36DETMISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 4:54ORLDooling 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 5:12DETWallace 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)32
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 5:22DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 5:24ORLMISS Ariza 22' Jump Shot32
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 5:44DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)32
5.5%
47
94.5%
Q2 - 5:59ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 5:59ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 6:14ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 6:16DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 6:27ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 6:27ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 6:41DETWallace 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)28
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 7:02DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 7:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 228
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 7:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 228
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 7:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)28
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 7:05ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot28
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 7:25DETHunter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)28
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 7:32ORLMurray STEAL (1 STL)28
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 7:39ORLMagic Rebound28
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 7:40ORLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)28
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 7:42DETMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 7:54DETPISTONS Rebound28
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 7:55ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot28
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 8:27DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 8:46ORLDooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 8:57ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 8:59DETMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot26
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 9:20ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 9:33DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
6.3%
39
93.7%
Q2 - 9:33DETMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 224
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q2 - 9:45DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
6.3%
38
93.7%
Q2 - 9:47DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot24
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q2 - 10:08ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)24
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 10:29DETMaxiell Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)21
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q2 - 10:38DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 10:41ORLMISS Milicic 9' Hook Shot21
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 11:07DETMurray 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q2 - 11:27DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 11:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 221
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 11:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 11:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)21
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 11:29ORLMISS Ariza 7' Hook Shot21
6.1%
36
93.9%
Q2 - 11:47DETMaxiell 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)21
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL21
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound21
7.8%
34
92.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot21
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)21
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)21
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLMagic Rebound21
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot21
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 220
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q1 - 1:04DETDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
8.6%
32
91.4%
Q1 - 1:28ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)20
10.4%
29
89.6%
Q1 - 1:41DETDavis Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)18
9.4%
29
90.6%
Q1 - 1:56ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q1 - 1:56ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 217
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q1 - 2:16DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q1 - 2:33DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 217
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 2:34ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 2:53DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)16
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 3:02ORLHill Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)16
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 3:06DETWebber Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 3:15DETPISTONS Rebound14
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 3:16ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot14
10.8%
23
89.2%
Q1 - 3:37DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)14
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 3:54ORLHoward Tip Shot (6 PTS)14
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 3:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)12
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 3:56ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot12
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 3:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)12
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 3:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot12
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 4:20DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)12
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 4:36ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 4:36ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 4:37ORLMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)10
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 4:57DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)10
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 5:24ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)10
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 5:41DETHamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 6:04ORLTurkoglu 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 6:20DETWebber Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 6:42ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)6
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 6:47ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 6:49DETMISS Webber 16' Jump Shot4
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 7:01DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 7:02ORLMISS Howard Layup4
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 7:22DETBillups Driving Layup (6 PTS)4
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 7:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.6%
10
86.4%
Q1 - 7:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot4
13.9%
10
86.1%
Q1 - 7:54DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)4
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 8:12ORLHill Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)4
15.4%
8
84.6%
Q1 - 8:28DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 8:41DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 8:43ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot2
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 8:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 8:46ORLWebber BLOCK (1 BLK)2
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 9:09DETBillups 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 9:15DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
4
82.8%
Q1 - 9:18ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 9:33DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)2
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMagic Rebound2
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 9:48ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 21
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 9:54DETBillups Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)1
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 9:58DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 10:01ORLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)1
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 10:06DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)1
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 10:27DETPISTONS Rebound1
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 10:29ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot1
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 10:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)1
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 10:42DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot1
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 10:45DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 10:47DETMISS Hamilton Layup1
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:08ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)1
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:13ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot1
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:22DETMISS Hamilton Layup1
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:41ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 21
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
20.7%
0
79.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 53.8%
DET
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
21
33
64%
DET
10
13
77%
Midrange
ORL
12
34
35%
DET
23
47
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
7
57%
86%
DET
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
ORL
21
35
60%
DET
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2292%11.0 / 12
J. Nelson1753%8.5 / 16
K. Dooling1761%8.5 / 14
D. Howard1230%6.0 / 20
T. Ariza945%4.5 / 10
H. Turkoglu750%3.5 / 7
T. Battie660%3.0 / 5
J. Redick5125%2.5 / 2
D. Milicic450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2893%14.0 / 15
R. Hamilton2148%10.5 / 22
T. Prince1771%8.5 / 12
A. McDyess1470%7.0 / 10
R. Wallace956%4.5 / 8
D. Davis5125%2.5 / 2
C. Webber338%1.5 / 4
R. Murray338%1.5 / 4
J. Maxiell2100%1.0 / 1
L. Hunter233%1.0 / 3
C. Delfino0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+18
-10
93
DET
73
+10
-11
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 53.8%
DET
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
108.1
ORL 116.5
DET 123.8 +7.3
Pace
89.8
88.0
ORL 89.9 +10.2
DET 79.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
17.0
ORL 16.0 +2.0
DET 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.8%
ORL 52.7%
DET 60.0% +7.3%
TO %
18.0%
13.2%
ORL 10.1% +1.7%
DET 11.8%
ORB %
29.3%
28.3%
ORL 37.8% +12.0%
DET 25.8%
FTrt
39.3
30.7
ORL 47.3 +26.0
DET 21.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
60.1%
ORL 59.5%
DET 75.6% +16.1%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
ORL 7.1%
DET 7.1%
BLK %
8.5%
9.2%
ORL 8.3%
DET 11.9% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.2%
ORL 53.8%
DET 61.9% +8.1%
Rim FG%
61.6%
58.3%
ORL 63.6%
DET 76.9% +13.3%
Mid FG%
38.3%
41.7%
ORL 35.3%
DET 48.9% +13.6%
3P %
35.6%
34.4%
ORL 57.1% +3.8%
DET 53.3%
FT %
70.2%
77.4%
ORL 60.0%
DET 87.5% +27.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
31.1%
ORL 44.6% +27.3%
DET 17.3%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
48.8%
ORL 45.9% +16.7%
DET 62.7%
3P Att. %
15.8%
20.1%
ORL 9.5%
DET 20.0% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions8584
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points99104
Rebounds3731
Assists2231
Steals66
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)23 (3)
Field Goals37-7441-75
At-the-Rim FG21-3310-13
Midrange FG12-3423-47
2-Point FG33-6733-60
3-Point FG4-78-15
Free Throws21-3514-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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17 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
41.5
12
30%
16
1
0
2
2
1
8
8
6-16
38%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
G · 6'8" 225 · 35
34.9
22
92%
4
4
0
2
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
10-12
83%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
33.9
17
53%
3
7
3
0
1
4
1
2
4-5
80%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
31.5
7
50%
3
6
0
1
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
Tony Battie
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
26.4
6
60%
4
1
1
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
24.0
9
45%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
20.5
4
50%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
18.5
17
61%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
5-11
45%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
8.7
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
Travis Diener
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Pat Garrity
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
James Augustine
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
37
22
6
5
10
0
14
23
21-35
60%
33-67
49%
4-7
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.