FinalWin Prob.pScore
1158%93
88
2942%91
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.88486.0
BOS logo BOS
101.28482.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS88
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
97.8%
85
2.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 13 AST)88
91.3%
85
8.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0BOSRondo 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
79.0%
85
21.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)86
85.8%
83
14.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
63.9%
83
36.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot83
51.7%
83
48.3%
Q4 - 1:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
62.7%
83
37.3%
Q4 - 1:18BOSMISS Green 19' Jump Shot83
58.2%
83
41.8%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 12 AST)83
48.2%
83
51.8%
Q4 - 1:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
27.1%
83
72.9%
Q4 - 1:33BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 2 of 280
25.6%
83
74.4%
Q4 - 1:33BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 280
20.1%
83
79.9%
Q4 - 1:51BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
19.2%
83
80.8%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 280
20.1%
83
79.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 280
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q4 - 2:14BOSPowe 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS)80
32.1%
83
67.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAPowe STEAL (2 STL)80
37.9%
81
62.1%
Q4 - 2:30BOSRay Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
55.0%
81
45.0%
Q4 - 2:30BOSMISS Ray Free Throw 1 of 280
57.1%
80
42.9%
Q4 - 2:58BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
49.4%
80
50.6%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
53.9%
80
46.1%
Q4 - 3:16BOSGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
64.3%
80
35.7%
Q4 - 3:19BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
49.2%
80
50.8%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
54.0%
80
46.0%
Q4 - 3:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
64.6%
80
35.4%
Q4 - 3:32BOSMISS Ray 15' Jump Shot80
58.8%
80
41.2%
Q4 - 3:41BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
52.1%
80
47.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot80
55.0%
80
45.0%
Q4 - 4:04BOSRondo Slam Dunk (9 PTS)80
61.5%
80
38.5%
Q4 - 4:08MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)80
69.5%
78
30.5%
Q4 - 4:19BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)80
77.3%
78
22.7%
Q4 - 4:43BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
69.5%
78
30.5%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot80
72.1%
78
27.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
77.4%
78
22.6%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
72.1%
78
27.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
75.6%
78
24.4%
Q4 - 5:13BOSMISS Green 12' Jump Shot80
73.6%
78
26.5%
Q4 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
68.6%
78
31.4%
Q4 - 5:41MIAHeat Rebound80
75.7%
78
24.3%
Q4 - 5:42BOSMISS Ray 3PT Jump Shot80
73.6%
78
26.4%
Q4 - 5:46BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
68.6%
78
31.4%
Q4 - 5:48MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)80
70.9%
78
29.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
74.7%
78
25.3%
Q4 - 6:06BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 280
73.8%
78
26.2%
Q4 - 6:06BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 280
70.5%
78
29.5%
Q4 - 6:24BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
67.6%
78
32.4%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup80
69.9%
78
30.1%
Q4 - 6:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
74.8%
78
25.2%
Q4 - 6:48BOSMISS Green 20' Jump Shot80
72.7%
78
27.3%
Q4 - 7:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
67.5%
78
32.5%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot80
69.5%
78
30.5%
Q4 - 7:27BOSPowe 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)80
74.0%
78
26.0%
Q4 - 7:28BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
78.3%
76
21.7%
Q4 - 7:30BOSMISS Perkins 7' Jump Shot80
81.8%
76
18.2%
Q4 - 7:51BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
78.3%
76
21.7%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Kapono 6' Jump Shot80
79.9%
76
20.1%
Q4 - 8:15BOSPerkins 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)80
81.4%
76
18.6%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWalker 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
85.0%
74
15.0%
Q4 - 8:56BOSGreen 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
81.6%
74
18.4%
Q4 - 8:59BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
85.0%
72
15.0%
Q4 - 9:01BOSMISS Green 6' Jump Shot78
86.2%
72
13.8%
Q4 - 9:15MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)78
84.0%
72
16.0%
Q4 - 9:18MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
76.7%
72
23.3%
Q4 - 9:21BOSMISS Telfair 3' Layup75
75.3%
72
24.7%
Q4 - 9:30BOSTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
71.9%
72
28.1%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
73.4%
72
26.6%
Q4 - 9:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
76.7%
72
23.3%
Q4 - 9:51BOSMISS Rondo 23' Jump Shot75
75.3%
72
24.7%
Q4 - 10:08BOSCELTICS Rebound75
71.0%
72
29.0%
Q4 - 10:08BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
74.3%
72
25.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)75
71.0%
72
29.0%
Q4 - 10:52BOSGomes Foul Turnover (P2.T6)73
66.6%
72
33.4%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMourning Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)73
60.4%
72
39.6%
Q4 - 11:24BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
65.7%
72
34.3%
Q4 - 11:24BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
66.8%
71
33.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)73
70.2%
70
29.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
60.6%
70
39.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
60.6%
70
39.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 32' 3PT Jump Shot70
56.8%
70
43.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0BOSGreen 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)70
60.8%
70
39.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
65.6%
68
34.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
60.8%
68
39.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Kapono 6' Jump Shot68
57.3%
68
42.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0BOSGomes 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)68
60.8%
68
39.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)68
65.4%
66
34.6%
Q3 - 1:19BOSGreen 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Telfair 5 AST)66
61.1%
66
38.9%
Q3 - 1:33MIATelfair STEAL (1 STL)66
65.5%
64
34.5%
Q3 - 1:52BOSTelfair 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)66
69.9%
64
30.1%
Q3 - 2:04BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
72.6%
62
27.4%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Haslem Layup66
73.9%
62
26.1%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)66
76.5%
62
23.5%
Q3 - 2:14MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)66
73.9%
62
26.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
76.6%
62
23.4%
Q3 - 2:26BOSMISS Green 22' Jump Shot66
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q3 - 2:49MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)66
72.8%
62
27.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAHeat Rebound64
69.0%
62
31.0%
Q3 - 3:06BOSMISS Ray 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
67.7%
62
32.3%
Q3 - 3:28BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
64.8%
62
35.2%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
66.1%
62
33.9%
Q3 - 3:48BOSGreen 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Telfair 4 AST)64
69.0%
62
31.0%
Q3 - 3:54MIAPowe STEAL (1 STL)64
75.9%
59
24.1%
Q3 - 4:17BOSRay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)64
78.8%
59
21.2%
Q3 - 4:30BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
83.7%
56
16.3%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup64
84.5%
56
15.5%
Q3 - 4:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
86.2%
56
13.8%
Q3 - 4:56BOSMISS Gomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
85.5%
56
14.5%
Q3 - 4:59BOSCELTICS Rebound64
83.7%
56
16.3%
Q3 - 4:59BOSMISS Gomes 5' Running Jump Shot64
85.5%
56
14.5%
Q3 - 5:17BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
83.2%
56
16.8%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot64
83.9%
56
16.1%
Q3 - 5:41BOSRay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)64
85.6%
56
14.4%
Q3 - 5:55BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
89.1%
53
10.9%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
89.6%
53
10.4%
Q3 - 6:21BOSGomes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Green 2 AST)64
90.1%
53
9.9%
Q3 - 6:36MIAPosey 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)64
92.5%
50
7.5%
Q3 - 6:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
91.4%
50
8.6%
Q3 - 6:49BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
91.0%
50
9.0%
Q3 - 7:08MIAHaslem 1' Layup (15 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)62
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 7:22BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
87.9%
50
12.1%
Q3 - 7:22BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
88.1%
49
11.9%
Q3 - 7:23BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
89.2%
48
10.8%
Q3 - 7:24BOSMISS Powe 3' Layup60
90.3%
48
9.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
89.2%
48
10.8%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 259
88.9%
48
11.1%
Q3 - 7:58BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 1 AST)59
89.5%
48
10.5%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)59
91.6%
45
8.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
89.2%
45
10.8%
Q3 - 8:25BOSMISS Telfair 22' Jump Shot56
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHaslem Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)56
87.4%
45
12.6%
Q3 - 8:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
89.2%
45
10.8%
Q3 - 8:56BOSMISS Green 17' Jump Shot56
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)56
86.9%
45
13.1%
Q3 - 9:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q3 - 9:53BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
84.7%
45
15.3%
Q3 - 10:17MIAHaslem 1' Layup (10 PTS)54
82.8%
45
17.2%
Q3 - 10:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup52
79.2%
45
20.8%
Q3 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
79.2%
45
20.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q3 - 10:46BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot52
80.2%
45
19.8%
Q3 - 11:06BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
79.1%
45
20.9%
Q3 - 11:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
80.7%
45
19.3%
Q3 - 11:29BOSMISS Green 11' Jump Shot52
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q3 - 11:42BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q3 - 11:44BOSMISS Gomes 22' Jump Shot52
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS52
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound52
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Powe 18' Jump Shot52
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
78.3%
45
21.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup52
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
79.8%
45
20.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup52
78.8%
45
21.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSGomes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)52
79.8%
45
20.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJones 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)52
78.3%
45
21.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0BOSTelfair Foul Turnover (P1.T4)50
75.3%
45
24.7%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)50
73.4%
45
26.6%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
70.0%
45
30.0%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 1:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
69.4%
45
30.6%
Q2 - 1:08BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup48
69.0%
45
31.0%
Q2 - 1:24MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS)48
68.0%
45
32.0%
Q2 - 1:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
63.7%
45
36.3%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup46
62.6%
45
37.4%
Q2 - 1:55BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)46
63.7%
45
36.3%
Q2 - 2:11MIAO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)46
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q2 - 2:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q2 - 2:24BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
66.2%
42
33.8%
Q2 - 2:37BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
65.2%
42
34.8%
Q2 - 2:58BOSRondo 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q2 - 3:08BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 144
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q2 - 3:29BOSRondo Layup (5 PTS)42
67.1%
40
32.9%
Q2 - 3:31BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
69.4%
38
30.6%
Q2 - 3:33BOSMISS Ray 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
71.4%
38
28.6%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWilliams 2' Layup (5 PTS)42
69.4%
38
30.6%
Q2 - 3:54BOSRay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)40
67.1%
38
32.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)40
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 4:19MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
58.8%
38
41.2%
Q2 - 4:22BOSMISS Pinkney 19' Jump Shot37
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 4:39BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 237
56.4%
38
43.6%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 237
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q2 - 4:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
58.8%
38
41.2%
Q2 - 4:55BOSMISS Green 9' Jump Shot37
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 4:59BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot37
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 5:16BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T2)37
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q2 - 5:27BOSTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 5:35MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q2 - 5:37BOSMISS Perkins 5' Jump Shot37
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 6:07MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)37
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 6:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 6:21BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup35
53.1%
38
46.9%
Q2 - 6:30BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
50.8%
38
49.2%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Hook Shot35
51.8%
38
48.2%
Q2 - 6:53BOSGreen 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)35
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 7:09MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)35
56.8%
36
43.2%
Q2 - 7:30BOSGreen 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Ray 3 AST)33
54.4%
36
45.6%
Q2 - 7:32BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
56.8%
34
43.2%
Q2 - 7:35MIAPinkney BLOCK (1 BLK)33
57.6%
34
42.4%
Q2 - 7:55BOSPowe 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)33
59.6%
34
40.4%
Q2 - 7:58BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
61.9%
32
38.1%
Q2 - 8:00BOSMISS Telfair 5' Jump Shot33
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAPayton 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 8:39BOSPowe 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pinkney 1 AST)31
59.5%
32
40.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWalker Inbound Turnover (P2.T3)31
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q2 - 8:50BOSGreen 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
64.4%
30
35.6%
Q2 - 8:57BOSCELTICS Rebound31
66.4%
28
33.6%
Q2 - 8:58BOSMISS Green 1' Layup31
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 9:10BOSPinkney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
66.3%
28
33.7%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Walker Layup31
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 9:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
68.8%
28
31.2%
Q2 - 9:33BOSMISS Ray 17' Jump Shot31
68.0%
28
32.0%
Q2 - 9:55MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)31
66.3%
28
33.7%
Q2 - 10:13BOSRay 1' Finger Roll (6 PTS)28
61.7%
28
38.3%
Q2 - 10:30MIAPinkney STEAL (1 STL)28
63.8%
26
36.2%
Q2 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
66.3%
26
33.7%
Q2 - 10:39BOSMISS Powe 7' Jump Shot28
65.6%
26
34.4%
Q2 - 10:58BOSTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
63.8%
26
36.2%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot28
64.6%
26
35.4%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
66.0%
26
34.0%
Q2 - 11:15BOSMISS Pinkney Free Throw 2 of 228
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q2 - 11:15BOSMISS Pinkney Free Throw 1 of 228
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q2 - 11:29BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
63.8%
26
36.2%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
64.5%
26
35.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIAHeat Rebound28
66.0%
26
34.0%
Q2 - 11:45BOSMISS Gomes 7' Jump Shot28
65.4%
26
34.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
63.8%
26
36.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0BOSMISS Telfair 14' Jump Shot28
65.0%
26
35.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMourning 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)28
63.9%
26
36.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 226
60.9%
26
39.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
59.3%
26
40.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0BOSCELTICS Rebound26
61.7%
25
38.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Haslem 1' Dunk26
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q1 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
63.5%
25
36.5%
Q1 - 1:03BOSMISS Powe 14' Jump Shot26
62.9%
25
37.1%
Q1 - 1:24MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T1)26
61.7%
25
38.3%
Q1 - 1:40BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ray 2 AST)26
63.4%
25
36.6%
Q1 - 2:00MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)26
68.2%
22
31.8%
Q1 - 2:09MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
63.9%
22
36.1%
Q1 - 2:10BOSMISS Ray 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
63.2%
22
36.8%
Q1 - 2:35MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q1 - 2:35MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
59.4%
22
40.6%
Q1 - 2:48BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 221
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q1 - 2:48BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
57.8%
22
42.2%
Q1 - 2:55BOSGomes Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)21
59.6%
21
40.4%
Q1 - 3:07MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)21
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q1 - 3:29BOSGomes Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)19
59.6%
20
40.4%
Q1 - 3:46BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
61.5%
18
38.5%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot19
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 4:05BOSGomes 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Powe 1 AST)19
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 4:08BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
65.6%
16
34.4%
Q1 - 4:10BOSMISS Ray 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
67.3%
16
32.7%
Q1 - 4:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
65.6%
16
34.4%
Q1 - 4:39BOSPerkins 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
62.0%
16
38.0%
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)16
63.7%
14
36.3%
Q1 - 5:30BOSGreen 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)14
61.9%
14
38.1%
Q1 - 5:34BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
63.7%
12
36.3%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
64.4%
12
35.6%
Q1 - 5:55BOSRay Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)14
65.8%
12
34.2%
Q1 - 6:20BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
70.7%
8
29.3%
Q1 - 6:21MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)14
71.2%
8
28.8%
Q1 - 6:39BOSRondo 1' Layup (2 PTS)14
72.4%
8
27.6%
Q1 - 6:40BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
73.9%
6
26.1%
Q1 - 6:41BOSMISS Ray 1' Layup14
75.0%
6
25.0%
Q1 - 6:46BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
73.9%
6
26.1%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Haslem 11' Turnaround Jump Shot14
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 7:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 7:03BOSMISS Gomes 21' Jump Shot14
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 7:18BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot14
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 7:24MIARay BLOCK (1 BLK)14
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 7:43BOSGomes 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)14
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 8:01BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
76.5%
4
23.5%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 214
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 214
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
77.9%
4
22.1%
Q1 - 8:20BOSMISS Perkins 5' Hook Shot14
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 8:36MIAO'Neal 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)14
76.4%
4
23.6%
Q1 - 8:56BOSGreen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)12
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 9:21MIAPosey Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)12
76.2%
2
23.8%
Q1 - 9:35BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 9:54MIAO'Neal 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 10:09BOSMISS Ray 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 10:29MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
67.3%
2
32.7%
Q1 - 10:39BOSMISS Green 22' Jump Shot5
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 11:03MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)5
65.5%
2
34.5%
Q1 - 11:24BOSGreen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ray 1 AST)2
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
62.0%
0
38.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
BOS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
35
60%
BOS
13
23
57%
Midrange
MIA
8
21
38%
BOS
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
BOS
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
9
17
53%
BOS
9
18
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2250%11.0 / 22
U. Haslem1745%8.5 / 19
J. Posey1381%6.5 / 8
J. Kapono950%4.5 / 9
J. Williams840%4.0 / 10
A. Walker8100%4.0 / 4
E. Jones536%2.5 / 7
A. Mourning4100%2.0 / 2
G. Payton250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gomes2475%12.0 / 16
G. Green2142%10.5 / 25
A. Ray1346%6.5 / 14
R. Rondo1161%5.5 / 9
L. Powe1045%5.0 / 11
K. Perkins440%2.0 / 5
S. Telfair217%1.0 / 6
K. Pinkney0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+11
-10
85
BOS
77
+14
-7
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
BOS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
102.9
MIA 104.8 +3.6
BOS 101.2
Pace
90.1
92.3
MIA 86.0 +3.9
BOS 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.4
MIA 16.8 +0.8
BOS 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.9%
MIA 51.3% +3.8%
BOS 47.5%
TO %
15.3%
16.8%
MIA 10.6%
BOS 8.3% +2.3%
ORB %
24.9%
27.2%
MIA 23.3% +0.6%
BOS 22.7%
FTrt
32.1
33.7
MIA 22.1
BOS 22.5 +0.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.0%
MIA 66.7% +10.8%
BOS 55.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 3.6%
BOS 6.0% +2.4%
BLK %
8.8%
7.5%
MIA 6.8%
BOS 8.9% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.7%
MIA 51.8% +5.1%
BOS 46.7%
Rim FG%
61.8%
54.8%
MIA 60.0% +3.5%
BOS 56.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.6%
MIA 38.1% +2.0%
BOS 36.1%
3P %
34.3%
36.7%
MIA 33.3%
BOS 38.1% +4.8%
FT %
69.0%
76.7%
MIA 52.9% +2.9%
BOS 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
37.4%
MIA 45.5% +16.7%
BOS 28.7%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.7%
MIA 27.3% +17.7%
BOS 45.0%
3P Att. %
24.5%
19.9%
MIA 27.3% +1.0%
BOS 26.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8885
Rebounds4443
Assists2419
Steals35
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)33 (1)
Field Goals36-7734-80
At-the-Rim FG21-3513-23
Midrange FG8-2113-36
2-Point FG29-5626-59
3-Point FG7-218-21
Free Throws9-179-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
37.5
17
45%
9
1
0
0
1
3
5
4
1-2
50%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
34.4
8
40%
2
13
3
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
G · 6'6" 200 · 35
34.2
5
36%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
33.3
22
50%
11
3
0
1
2
3
3
8
2-9
22%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
31.1
13
81%
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
23.2
9
50%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
16.9
2
50%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
14.8
8
100%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
14.7
4
100%
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
52%
44
24
3
4
10
0
10
34
9-17
53%
29-56
52%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.