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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Raptors40%9384
5Pistons60%96100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
37.7
6.2
14
43%
13
1
0
0
0
1
0
13
0-1
0%
4-12
0-1
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
36.1
6.2
3
19%
2
0
2
0
1
4
0
2
1-4
25%
1-4
0-1
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
24.7
24.7
6
30%
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
45%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.9
17.1
20.3
11
70%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
5-7
2-5
71%
51%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.1
15.6
22.6
4
33%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
29.6
1.9
18
77%
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
3-4
75%
6-9
0-1
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
24.5
3.2
5
40%
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
4
3-5
60%
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.5
22.2
20.9
10
43%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.1
19.1
1.9
7
40%
2
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
0-0
67%
37%
0-4
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
13.3
24.1
6
43%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.1
41.5
1
7-15
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.8
37.8
1
2-5
49%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.1
24.5
28.9
6
60%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.2
23.3
26.5
12
60%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
5-9
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.6
21.4
29.2
2
13%
3
10
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-3
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.6
20.9
19.2
8
50%
6
0
1
1
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
17.8
24.7
6
43%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.2
27.1
18.0
10
47%
4
0
2
1
2
1
0
4
2-6
33%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
24.7
23.2
16
78%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
23.5
19.7
12
87%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
46%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.4
19.4
15.4
8
80%
0
11
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.0
13.2
21.5
8
71%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
12.3
18.4
10
100%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.6
12.0
3.0
2
17%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
0-1
17%
52%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38.1
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.6
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.