Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, November 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Thunder | 38% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Celtics | 77% | 117 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Bucks | 31% | 119 | 134 |
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Wednesday, November 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 70% | 119 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pistons | 56% | 112 | 103 |
 | 24 | Magic | 44% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Heat | 58% | 115 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 59% | 117 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 24% | 111 | 98 |
 | 11 | Pelicans | 76% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 23% | 106 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Raptors | 81% | 126 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Timberwolves | 42% | 119 | 110 |
 | 13 | Lakers | 58% | 122 | 114 |
Tuesday, November 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 24% | 113 | 102 |
 | 17 | Hornets | 76% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Mavericks | 47% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | 54% | 115 | 104 |
| 27 | Suns | 46% | 114 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 54% | 119 | 103 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 117 | 118 |
Monday, November 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 40% | 111 | 100 |
| 24 | Magic | 60% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 49% | 111 | 120 |
| 21 | Pistons | 51% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 48% | 110 | 98 |
| 9 | Pacers | 52% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 45% | 110 | 116 |
| 25 | Knicks | 55% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 41% | 118 | 116 |
| 10 | Thunder | 59% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 44% | 109 | 124 |
| 8 | Jazz | 56% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 51% | 111 | 107 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 11% | 105 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 123 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 35% | 117 | 109 |
| 13 | Clippers | 65% | 122 | 120 |
Sunday, November 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 22% | 116 | 109 |
| 5 | Bucks | 78% | 127 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 41% | 114 | 95 |
| 21 | Wizards | 59% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 59% | 116 | 97 |
| 22 | Nets | 41% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 31% | 109 | 117 |
| 15 | Spurs | 69% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 63% | 113 | 100 |
| 28 | Suns | 37% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 41% | 116 | 81 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 53% | 119 | 121 |
| 10 | Lakers | 47% | 118 | 107 |
Saturday, November 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 33% | 111 | 99 |
| 7 | 76ers | 67% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 111 | 94 |
| 16 | Hornets | 75% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 55% | 108 | 101 |
| 9 | Pacers | 45% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 71% | 121 | 118 |
| 30 | Hawks | 29% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 74% | 121 | 96 |
| 28 | Bulls | 26% | 112 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 49% | 118 | 95 |
| 19 | Spurs | 51% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 39% | 108 | 88 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 61% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 48% | 118 | 114 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 119 | 110 |
Friday, November 2, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 52% | 116 | 120 |
| 25 | Magic | 48% | 115 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 57% | 115 | 119 |
| 23 | Nets | 43% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 72% | 114 | 107 |
| 28 | Bulls | 28% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 45% | 118 | 134 |
| 19 | Wizards | 55% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 41% | 112 | 118 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 59% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 32% | 103 | 110 |
| 6 | Jazz | 68% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 80% | 123 | 107 |
| 27 | Suns | 20% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 19% | 116 | 99 |
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 128 | 116 |
Thursday, November 1, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 32% | 115 | 113 |
| 4 | 76ers | 68% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 68% | 119 | 110 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 32% | 113 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 47% | 117 | 111 |
| 17 | Hornets | 53% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 54% | 121 | 146 |
| 28 | Hawks | 46% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 39% | 113 | 113 |
| 3 | Celtics | 61% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 42% | 116 | 119 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 118 | 132 |
Wednesday, October 31, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 44% | 111 | 119 |
| 22 | Nets | 56% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 66% | 112 | 107 |
| 26 | Knicks | 34% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 76% | 122 | 108 |
| 30 | Bulls | 24% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 61% | 117 | 125 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 39% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 19% | 115 | 121 |
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 127 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 29% | 117 | 113 |
| 9 | Lakers | 71% | 125 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 63% | 119 | 120 |
| 27 | Suns | 37% | 114 | 90 |
Tuesday, October 30, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 40% | 114 | 107 |
| 24 | Magic | 60% | 118 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 45% | 116 | 114 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 55% | 118 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 45% | 113 | 113 |
| 18 | Hornets | 55% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 35% | 112 | 112 |
| 2 | Raptors | 65% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 30% | 107 | 105 |
| 3 | Celtics | 70% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 46% | 117 | 110 |
| 16 | Thunder | 54% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 49% | 116 | 95 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 51% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 113 | 104 |
| 10 | Rockets | 66% | 119 | 85 |
Monday, October 29, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 110 | 103 |
| 7 | Pacers | 63% | 115 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 19% | 111 | 92 |
| 3 | 76ers | 81% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 26% | 110 | 123 |
| 10 | Heat | 74% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 49% | 113 | 96 |
| 25 | Knicks | 51% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 49% | 116 | 109 |
| 13 | Bucks | 51% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 124 | 149 |
| 30 | Bulls | 16% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 47% | 121 | 120 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 53% | 123 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 27% | 114 | 108 |
| 16 | Spurs | 73% | 122 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 39% | 117 | 111 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 61% | 121 | 116 |
Sunday, October 28, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 122 | 120 |
| 22 | Nets | 23% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 19% | 110 | 110 |
| 11 | Thunder | 81% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 61% | 116 | 113 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 39% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 46% | 120 | 104 |
| 18 | Clippers | 54% | 121 | 136 |
Saturday, October 27, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 57% | 113 | 109 |
| 15 | Pistons | 43% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 62% | 116 | 132 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 38% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 31% | 116 | 97 |
| 25 | Hawks | 69% | 123 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 72% | 115 | 119 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 28% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 26% | 111 | 103 |
| 4 | 76ers | 74% | 120 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 113 | 111 |
| 13 | Heat | 55% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 31% | 108 | 96 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 69% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 28% | 111 | 91 |
| 7 | Bucks | 72% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 121 | 106 |
| 18 | Spurs | 49% | 120 | 110 |
Friday, October 26, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 28% | 111 | 106 |
| 20 | Hornets | 72% | 119 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 80% | 123 | 128 |
| 26 | Knicks | 20% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 14% | 109 | 107 |
| 1 | Raptors | 86% | 124 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 39% | 114 | 133 |
| 16 | Rockets | 61% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 48% | 120 | 125 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 52% | 121 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 27% | 113 | 115 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 73% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 66% | 124 | 112 |
| 28 | Kings | 34% | 118 | 116 |