FinalWin Prob.pScore
2414%109
107
186%124
116
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
104.910295.4
TOR logo TOR
113.7102109.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALTOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.02 51.0%
TOR
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
19
39
49%
TOR
23
40
57%
Midrange
DAL
7
23
30%
TOR
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
TOR
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
DAL
19
24
79%
TOR
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2273%11.0 / 15
W. Matthews2181%10.5 / 13
D. Jordan1869%9.0 / 13
H. Barnes1439%7.0 / 18
J. Brunson836%4.0 / 11
M. Kleber850%4.0 / 8
J. Barea729%3.5 / 12
D. Finney-Smith542%2.5 / 6
D. Powell4200%2.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2166%10.5 / 16
K. Lowry2067%10.0 / 15
J. Valančiūnas1753%8.5 / 16
D. Green1594%7.5 / 8
S. Ibaka1142%5.5 / 13
P. Siakam1063%5.0 / 8
C. Miles1083%5.0 / 6
L. Brown956%4.5 / 8
N. Powell2100%1.0 / 1
M. Richardson125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
88
+16
-14
104
TOR
90
+13
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.02 51.0%
TOR
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
113.1
DAL 104.9
TOR 113.7 +8.8
Pace
99.1
100.2
DAL 95.4
TOR 109.6 +14.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.4
DAL 15.1
TOR 13.1 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
54.3%
DAL 47.8%
TOR 54.4% +6.6%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
DAL 12.8%
TOR 11.5% +1.3%
ORB %
22.6%
21.8%
DAL 19.1%
TOR 25.5% +6.4%
FTrt
29.1
24.7
DAL 26.1 +4.1
TOR 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
60.3%
DAL 57.9% +5.6%
TOR 52.3%
STL %
6.5%
8.2%
DAL 5.9%
TOR 9.8% +3.9%
BLK %
7.6%
9.1%
DAL 9.4% +1.3%
TOR 8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
56.5%
DAL 51.0%
TOR 55.8% +4.8%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.6%
DAL 48.7%
TOR 57.5% +8.8%
Mid FG%
39.0%
43.1%
DAL 30.4%
TOR 41.7% +11.3%
3P %
34.0%
36.6%
DAL 40.0%
TOR 40.7% +0.7%
FT %
74.2%
80.4%
DAL 79.2%
TOR 85.0% +5.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
36.4%
DAL 42.4%
TOR 44.0% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
25.6%
DAL 25.0% +1.4%
TOR 26.4%
3P Att. %
42.2%
37.9%
DAL 32.6% +2.9%
TOR 29.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALTOR
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points107116
Rebounds4450
Assists2223
Steals610
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (1)
Fouls1722
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (7)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)38 (2)
Field Goals38-9244-91
At-the-Rim FG19-3923-40
Midrange FG7-2310-24
2-Point FG26-6233-64
3-Point FG12-3011-27
Free Throws19-2417-20
Fast Break Pts1725
2nd Chance Pts1411
Points in Paint4852
Pts off Turnovers1418
Bench Points2433
Biggest Lead017

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#77 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 20
35.1
22
73%
5
4
0
0
3
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-8
38%
4-6
67%
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
33.5
18
69%
15
5
0
1
2
1
5
10
8-9
89%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
32.2
21
81%
0
1
0
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
6-7
86%
3-8
38%
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
29.7
8
36%
3
4
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
2-4
50%
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26
28.2
14
39%
6
3
0
1
1
2
1
5
3-5
60%
4-12
33%
1-5
20%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
30.4
8
50%
8
1
2
4
0
0
1
7
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25
19.9
5
42%
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 34
15.5
7
29%
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
14.5
4
200%
2
0
2
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Strain
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 40
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
51%
44
22
6
6
14
17
9
35
19-24
79%
26-62
42%
12-30
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.