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All Games Monday, November 5, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Celtics
51%111
107
7
Nuggets
49%110
115
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
111.59694.2
DEN logo DEN
118.69798.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
115
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.14 56.9%
DEN
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
21
30
70%
DEN
15
29
52%
Midrange
BOS
14
26
54%
DEN
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
DEN
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
Free Throws
BOS
10
12
83%
DEN
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving3197%15.5 / 16
J. Tatum1547%7.5 / 16
J. Brown1558%7.5 / 13
A. Horford1267%6.0 / 9
M. Smart975%4.5 / 6
G. Hayward850%4.0 / 8
T. Rozier633%3.0 / 9
M. Morris638%3.0 / 8
R. Williams3150%1.5 / 1
A. Baynes250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray4880%24.0 / 30
G. Harris1346%6.5 / 14
T. Lyles1365%6.5 / 10
P. Millsap1045%5.0 / 11
N. Jokić867%4.0 / 6
J. Hernangomez867%4.0 / 6
M. Morris867%4.0 / 6
M. Beasley528%2.5 / 9
M. Plumlee217%1.0 / 6
T. Craig0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
84
+9
-12
93
DEN
84
+20
-13
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.14 56.9%
DEN
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
112.6
BOS 111.5
DEN 118.6 +7.1
Pace
100.0
98.0
BOS 94.2
DEN 98.9 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.7
BOS 15.3
DEN 14.6 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.7%
BOS 55.7% +2.9%
DEN 52.8%
TO %
12.4%
13.1%
BOS 11.5%
DEN 11.3% +0.2%
ORB %
21.7%
26.6%
BOS 17.9%
DEN 31.3% +13.4%
FTrt
21.5
23.2
BOS 13.8
DEN 31.1 +17.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
65.3%
BOS 50.0%
DEN 61.0% +11.0%
STL %
8.5%
7.9%
BOS 9.4% +4.2%
DEN 5.2%
BLK %
9.7%
8.2%
BOS 16.1% +9.0%
DEN 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.5%
BOS 56.9% +1.6%
DEN 55.3%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.6%
BOS 70.0% +18.3%
DEN 51.7%
Mid FG%
43.1%
43.3%
BOS 53.8% +5.7%
DEN 48.1%
3P %
36.5%
35.1%
BOS 29.0%
DEN 38.2% +9.2%
FT %
80.2%
75.5%
BOS 83.3% +11.9%
DEN 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
37.5%
BOS 34.5% +2.3%
DEN 32.2%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
27.7%
BOS 29.9% +0.1%
DEN 30.0%
3P Att. %
38.1%
34.8%
BOS 35.6%
DEN 37.8% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSDEN
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points107115
Rebounds4047
Assists2225
Steals95
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2114
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)32 (4)
Field Goals44-8741-90
At-the-Rim FG21-3015-29
Midrange FG14-2613-27
2-Point FG35-5628-56
3-Point FG9-3113-34
Free Throws10-1220-28
Fast Break Pts139
2nd Chance Pts1314
Points in Paint5042
Pts off Turnovers1715
Bench Points2636
Biggest Lead1810

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
3 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
34.7
15
47%
2
4
1
2
2
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
34.0
31
97%
5
5
3
1
2
3
2
3
1-1
100%
9-11
82%
4-6
67%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32
32.7
12
67%
4
6
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
6-7
86%
0-2
0%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 22
28.8
15
58%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
Gordon Hayward
#20 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 29
25.9
8
50%
9
2
0
0
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
Marcus Smart
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 25
25.1
9
75%
3
3
2
4
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
Terry Rozier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
22.4
6
33%
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
20.4
6
38%
6
1
0
0
4
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
Aron Baynes
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
10.6
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
2.4
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brad Wanamaker
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Theis
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Plantar Fascia Tear
Jabari Bird
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
Inactive - Personal
PJ Dozier
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Walter Lemon Jr.
#45 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
40
22
9
9
12
21
7
33
10-12
83%
35-56
63%
9-31
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.