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All Games Monday, October 29, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
27
Kings
26%110
123
10
Heat
74%119
113
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
111.8110104.6
MIA logo MIA
102.7110116.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.123
100%
113
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
28
44
64%
MIA
15
30
50%
Midrange
SAC
8
27
30%
MIA
10
23
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
MIA
13
19.5
39
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAC
15
25
60%
MIA
24
34
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Cauley-Stein2665%13.0 / 20
B. Hield2377%11.5 / 15
D. Fox2067%10.0 / 15
N. Bjelica1963%9.5 / 15
I. Shumpert867%4.0 / 6
M. Bagley750%3.5 / 7
F. Mason638%3.0 / 8
K. Koufos6100%3.0 / 3
J. Jackson429%2.0 / 7
Y. Ferrell450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson3167%15.5 / 23
G. Dragic2063%10.0 / 16
H. Whiteside1667%8.0 / 12
T. Johnson1150%5.5 / 11
J. Winslow941%4.5 / 11
D. Wade836%4.0 / 11
B. Adebayo857%4.0 / 7
R. McGruder750%3.5 / 7
K. Olynyk321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
98
+14
-12
112
MIA
91
+19
-19
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
107.5
SAC 111.8 +9.1
MIA 102.7
Pace
103.5
98.1
SAC 104.6
MIA 116.0 +11.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
15.0
SAC 13.8
MIA 12.4 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.5%
SAC 55.7% +7.3%
MIA 48.4%
TO %
12.4%
14.3%
SAC 11.5% +3.6%
MIA 15.1%
ORB %
23.1%
24.8%
SAC 18.8%
MIA 28.0% +9.2%
FTrt
24.4
24.7
SAC 25.8
MIA 37.0 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
61.2%
SAC 58.3% +5.7%
MIA 52.6%
STL %
8.0%
7.8%
SAC 8.2%
MIA 9.1% +0.9%
BLK %
7.9%
10.2%
SAC 13.2% +0.5%
MIA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
52.9%
SAC 54.9% +4.0%
MIA 50.9%
Rim FG%
60.3%
60.8%
SAC 63.6% +13.6%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
36.8%
SAC 29.6%
MIA 43.5% +13.9%
3P %
37.8%
34.9%
SAC 46.2% +12.9%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
72.6%
69.5%
SAC 60.0%
MIA 70.6% +10.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.3%
SAC 45.4% +12.8%
MIA 32.6%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
25.9%
SAC 27.8%
MIA 25.0% +2.8%
3P Att. %
32.2%
36.8%
SAC 26.8%
MIA 42.4% +15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions110110
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points123113
Rebounds4553
Assists2820
Steals910
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)19 (0)
Fouls2321
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)39 (1)
Field Goals48-9738-92
At-the-Rim FG28-4415-30
Midrange FG8-2710-23
2-Point FG36-7125-53
3-Point FG12-2613-39
Free Throws15-2524-34
Fast Break Pts188
2nd Chance Pts1621
Points in Paint6838
Pts off Turnovers259
Bench Points2736
Biggest Lead1712

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
27 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
35.5
23
77%
8
5
2
1
3
2
0
8
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
4-6
67%
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
34.0
20
67%
4
8
2
1
6
1
1
3
3-5
60%
7-13
54%
1-2
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
33.8
26
65%
13
1
0
1
0
4
2
11
4-7
57%
11-17
65%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 30
32.5
19
63%
5
5
1
2
1
5
3
2
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
3-7
43%
Iman Shumpert
#9 · SF · 6'5" 212 · 28
26.8
8
67%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
Justin Jackson
#25 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
21.9
4
29%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
17.6
6
38%
3
5
1
0
0
3
0
3
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
16.9
7
50%
5
1
0
2
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
12.0
6
100%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 25
8.9
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Troy Williams
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben McLemore
#23 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Skal Labissiere
#7 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Coach's Decision
Zach Randolph
#50 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Procedure Recovery
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
55%
45
28
9
7
12
23
9
36
15-25
60%
36-71
51%
12-26
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.