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All Games Saturday, October 27, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Magic
28%111
91
7
Bucks
72%119
113
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
85.8106104.1
MIL logo MIL
107.6105106.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.91
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.82 41.0%
MIL
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
8
19
42%
MIL
25
40
63%
Midrange
ORL
15
39
38%
MIL
6
12
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
43
23%
35%
MIL
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
15
17
88%
MIL
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević1673%8.0 / 11
D. Augustin1161%5.5 / 9
E. Fournier1042%5.0 / 12
J. Simmons1045%5.0 / 11
A. Gordon926%4.5 / 17
W. Iwundu857%4.0 / 7
M. Bamba758%3.5 / 6
T. Ross732%3.5 / 11
J. Grant536%2.5 / 7
K. Birch467%2.0 / 3
J. Isaac214%1.0 / 7
J. Martin217%1.0 / 6
I. Briscoe0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2181%10.5 / 13
K. Middleton1875%9.0 / 12
M. Brogdon1673%8.0 / 11
D. DiVincenzo1583%7.5 / 9
B. Lopez11110%5.5 / 5
P. Connaughton1071%5.0 / 7
T. Snell758%3.5 / 6
E. Bledsoe638%3.0 / 8
J. Henson429%2.0 / 7
M. Dellavedova375%1.5 / 2
E. Ilyasova233%1.0 / 3
S. Brown0-0.0 / 5
T. Maker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
95
+18
-11
113
MIL
84
+8
-21
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.82 41.0%
MIL
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
113.9
ORL 85.8 +21.8
MIL 107.6
Pace
98.4
103.2
ORL 104.1
MIL 106.9 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
13.9
ORL 13.8
MIL 13.5 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
55.0%
ORL 37.6%
MIL 56.1% +18.5%
TO %
12.7%
12.8%
ORL 9.2% +9.4%
MIL 18.6%
ORB %
21.9%
20.8%
ORL 17.7% +1.0%
MIL 16.7%
FTrt
21.6
25.5
ORL 16.8
MIL 28.0 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
60.1%
ORL 63.6% +5.1%
MIL 58.5%
STL %
6.7%
7.2%
ORL 8.5% +2.8%
MIL 5.7%
BLK %
9.5%
10.4%
ORL 11.5%
MIL 12.1% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
57.1%
ORL 41.0%
MIL 60.8% +19.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
64.1%
ORL 42.1%
MIL 62.5% +20.4%
Mid FG%
40.3%
39.4%
ORL 38.5%
MIL 50.0% +11.5%
3P %
35.6%
35.2%
ORL 23.3%
MIL 33.3% +10.0%
FT %
78.2%
77.2%
ORL 88.2%
MIL 91.3% +3.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
40.2%
ORL 18.8%
MIL 48.8% +30.0%
Mid Att. %
32.1%
17.8%
ORL 38.6%
MIL 14.6% +24.0%
3P Att. %
36.0%
42.0%
ORL 42.6% +6.0%
MIL 36.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIL
Possessions106105
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points91113
Rebounds4157
Assists2124
Steals96
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)21 (0)
Fouls2219
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)51 (1)
Field Goals33-10141-82
At-the-Rim FG8-1925-40
Midrange FG15-396-12
2-Point FG23-5831-52
3-Point FG10-4310-30
Free Throws15-1721-23
Fast Break Pts1210
2nd Chance Pts149
Points in Paint3054
Pts off Turnovers1614
Bench Points4341
Biggest Lead531

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
24 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Aaron Gordon
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 23
30.8
9
26%
5
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
0-6
0%
Evan Fournier
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26
26.9
10
42%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
1-6
17%
Jonathan Isaac
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 21
22.4
2
14%
3
1
1
3
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
D.J. Augustin
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 31
21.6
11
61%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
Nikola Vucevic
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 28
21.5
16
73%
9
1
1
1
3
4
3
6
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 26
26.4
5
36%
5
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Mohamed Bamba
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 20
22.9
7
58%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
Terrence Ross
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28
17.5
7
32%
1
4
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-7
14%
Jonathon Simmons
#17 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 29
17.5
10
45%
4
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
2-4
50%
Wes Iwundu
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 24
12.1
8
57%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
#2 · PF · 6'10" 239 · 24
6.8
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Briscoe
#13 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 23
6.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Khem Birch
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 26
6.8
4
67%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Troy Caupain
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Amile Jefferson
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Timofey Mozgov
#21 · C · 7'1" 275 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore right knee
Melvin Frazier Jr.
#35 · SF · 6'6" 198 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
41%
41
21
9
6
11
22
11
30
15-17
88%
23-58
40%
10-43
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.