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All Games Monday, November 5, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Heat
49%111
120
21
Pistons
51%112
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.1111103.5
DET logo DET
101.811399.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
OT1 - End of 1st OT.120
100%
115
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.1%
DET
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
32
69%
DET
18
40
45%
Midrange
MIA
10
35
29%
DET
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
DET
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
20
31
65%
DET
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2761%13.5 / 22
G. Dragic2153%10.5 / 20
D. Wade1853%9.0 / 17
K. Olynyk1354%6.5 / 12
B. Adebayo1192%5.5 / 6
J. Winslow941%4.5 / 11
T. Johnson9113%4.5 / 4
R. McGruder844%4.0 / 9
D. Jones450%2.0 / 4
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2563%12.5 / 20
R. Jackson2552%12.5 / 24
B. Griffin2455%12.0 / 22
L. Galloway2166%10.5 / 16
G. Robinson III1662%8.0 / 13
I. Smith422%2.0 / 9
B. Brown0-0.0 / 1
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
94
+14
-17
108
DET
94
+25
-19
119
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.1%
DET
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.0
MIA 108.1 +6.3
DET 101.8
Pace
98.1
97.3
MIA 103.5 +3.9
DET 99.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.2
MIA 13.9 +0.6
DET 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.8%
MIA 51.0% +4.8%
DET 46.2%
TO %
14.3%
13.2%
MIA 13.2% +0.7%
DET 13.9%
ORB %
24.8%
24.9%
MIA 18.8%
DET 33.9% +15.1%
FTrt
24.7
26.1
MIA 31.6 +4.9
DET 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.9%
MIA 54.5%
DET 62.8% +8.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.1%
MIA 9.0% +1.9%
DET 7.1%
BLK %
10.2%
7.1%
MIA 11.4% +6.9%
DET 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.0%
MIA 53.1% +5.2%
DET 47.9%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.5%
MIA 68.8% +23.8%
DET 45.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
38.4%
MIA 28.6%
DET 46.7% +18.1%
3P %
34.9%
34.8%
MIA 38.7% +7.3%
DET 31.4%
FT %
69.5%
74.7%
MIA 64.5% +0.2%
DET 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
36.7%
MIA 32.7%
DET 38.1% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
23.9%
MIA 35.7%
DET 28.6% +7.1%
3P Att. %
36.8%
39.4%
MIA 31.6%
DET 33.3% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions111113
Possession Minutes25.827.3
Points120115
Rebounds5060
Assists2427
Steals108
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)19 (0)
Fouls2630
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)21 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (4)39 (3)
Field Goals44-9843-105
At-the-Rim FG22-3218-40
Midrange FG10-3514-30
2-Point FG32-6732-70
3-Point FG12-3111-35
Free Throws20-3118-28
Fast Break Pts1510
2nd Chance Pts1225
Points in Paint5248
Pts off Turnovers2013
Bench Points4425
Biggest Lead129

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
38.0
27
61%
8
4
0
2
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
8-16
50%
3-5
60%
Justise Winslow
#20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23
34.5
9
41%
6
5
3
0
1
4
0
6
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
33.5
21
53%
7
6
0
1
3
1
2
5
6-7
86%
6-12
50%
1-6
17%
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
33.4
8
44%
5
2
2
0
2
3
0
5
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
29.0
11
92%
8
1
3
1
0
3
3
5
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
28.8
18
53%
1
2
0
1
3
2
1
0
2-6
33%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
23.9
13
54%
5
4
1
2
2
5
0
5
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
3-9
33%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 26
21.7
9
113%
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
18.5
4
50%
6
0
0
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Injury
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sports Hernia Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
120
53%
50
24
10
8
17
26
9
41
20-31
65%
32-67
48%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.