FinalWin Prob.pScore
1349%118
95
1951%119
109
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
94.1101121.2
SAS logo SAS
107.910186.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.95
0%
109
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
16
24
67%
SAS
17
30
57%
Midrange
NOP
14
32
44%
SAS
20
43
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
SAS
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
NOP
17
30
57%
SAS
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Holiday2973%14.5 / 20
N. Mirotic2265%11.0 / 17
A. Davis1747%8.5 / 18
E. Moore1169%5.5 / 8
J. Randle1038%5.0 / 13
W. Johnson375%1.5 / 2
I. Clark338%1.5 / 4
D. Miller0-0.0 / 1
T. Frazier0-0.0 / 3
F. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2654%13.0 / 24
L. Aldridge2261%11.0 / 18
D. Cunningham1583%7.5 / 9
P. Mills1594%7.5 / 8
M. Belinelli1470%7.0 / 10
B. Forbes750%3.5 / 7
R. Gay627%3.0 / 11
P. Gasol233%1.0 / 3
D. Bertans250%1.0 / 2
J. Poeltl0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
85
+9
-16
94
SAS
92
+10
-9
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
112.6
NOP 94.1 +13.9
SAS 107.9
Pace
103.4
98.6
NOP 121.2 +34.6
SAS 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.0
NOP 11.9 +4.8
SAS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.4%
NOP 50.6%
SAS 51.0% +0.4%
TO %
14.0%
11.9%
NOP 15.1%
SAS 8.1% +7.0%
ORB %
24.1%
20.9%
NOP 14.6%
SAS 16.0% +1.4%
FTrt
25.4
23.7
NOP 39.0 +24.4
SAS 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
58.0%
NOP 61.1%
SAS 64.4% +3.3%
STL %
7.2%
6.2%
NOP 3.0%
SAS 7.9% +4.9%
BLK %
9.1%
8.3%
NOP 11.0% +3.9%
SAS 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.0%
NOP 50.0%
SAS 53.4% +3.4%
Rim FG%
62.1%
62.7%
NOP 66.7% +10.0%
SAS 56.7%
Mid FG%
41.1%
44.0%
NOP 43.8%
SAS 46.5% +2.7%
3P %
34.4%
39.2%
NOP 28.6%
SAS 34.8% +6.2%
FT %
76.1%
81.8%
NOP 56.7%
SAS 78.6% +21.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
27.8%
NOP 31.2%
SAS 31.3% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
43.7%
NOP 41.6% +3.2%
SAS 44.8%
3P Att. %
32.4%
28.6%
NOP 27.3% +3.3%
SAS 24.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsNOPSAS
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes20.028.0
Points95109
Rebounds4843
Assists2229
Steals38
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (0)
Fouls2121
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (0)35 (1)
Field Goals36-7745-96
At-the-Rim FG16-2417-30
Midrange FG14-3220-43
2-Point FG30-5637-73
3-Point FG6-218-23
Free Throws17-3011-14
Fast Break Pts1111
2nd Chance Pts911
Points in Paint4646
Pts off Turnovers1018
Bench Points1333
Biggest Lead721

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · C · 6'10" 253 · 26
39.7
17
47%
8
3
2
5
3
3
0
8
7-10
70%
5-11
45%
0-2
0%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 28
39.1
29
73%
4
8
0
0
3
3
1
3
3-4
75%
13-18
72%
0-3
0%
#3 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
35.8
22
65%
16
1
0
0
0
1
0
16
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
2-6
33%
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 30
34.1
11
69%
1
3
0
0
1
3
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
#33 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
21.3
3
75%
5
0
0
1
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 24
26.2
10
38%
6
2
1
1
2
2
2
4
4-12
33%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
18.7
3
38%
4
3
0
1
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
14.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
7.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 21
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ankle sprain
#34 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
48
22
3
8
16
21
6
42
17-30
57%
30-56
54%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.