FinalWin Prob.pScore
2631%109
117
1569%116
110
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
120.69795.9
SAS logo SAS
113.49798.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.117
100%
110
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.4%
SAS
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
25
72%
SAS
10
16
63%
Midrange
ORL
16
34
47%
SAS
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
SAS
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
Free Throws
ORL
13
18
72%
SAS
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Gordon2668%13.0 / 19
D. Augustin1875%9.0 / 12
T. Ross1771%8.5 / 12
E. Fournier1662%8.0 / 13
N. Vučević1354%6.5 / 12
M. Bamba1255%6.0 / 11
J. Grant8133%4.0 / 3
J. Martin583%2.5 / 3
W. Iwundu220%1.0 / 5
J. Simmons0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2566%12.5 / 19
P. Mills1657%8.0 / 14
M. Belinelli1568%7.5 / 11
L. Aldridge1454%7.0 / 13
B. Forbes1350%6.5 / 13
P. Gasol1267%6.0 / 9
D. Bertans840%4.0 / 10
Q. Pondexter583%2.5 / 3
J. Poeltl2100%1.0 / 1
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
89
+13
-8
102
SAS
86
+15
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.4%
SAS
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
112.6
ORL 120.6 +7.2
SAS 113.4
Pace
98.4
98.6
ORL 95.9
SAS 98.1 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
ORL 15.0
SAS 14.7 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
53.4%
ORL 57.1% +7.1%
SAS 50.0%
TO %
12.7%
11.9%
ORL 8.3% +1.7%
SAS 10.0%
ORB %
21.9%
20.9%
ORL 25.0% +1.2%
SAS 23.8%
FTrt
21.6
23.7
ORL 19.8
SAS 28.4 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
58.0%
ORL 63.0%
SAS 65.8% +2.8%
STL %
6.7%
6.2%
ORL 7.2% +4.1%
SAS 3.1%
BLK %
9.5%
8.3%
ORL 7.5%
SAS 8.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
56.0%
ORL 57.4% +2.9%
SAS 54.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.7%
ORL 72.0% +9.5%
SAS 62.5%
Mid FG%
40.3%
44.0%
ORL 47.1% +3.9%
SAS 43.2%
3P %
35.6%
39.2%
ORL 37.5% +3.2%
SAS 34.3%
FT %
78.2%
81.8%
ORL 72.2%
SAS 88.0% +15.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
27.8%
ORL 27.5% +9.3%
SAS 18.2%
Mid Att. %
32.1%
43.7%
ORL 37.4% +4.7%
SAS 42.0%
3P Att. %
36.0%
28.6%
ORL 35.2%
SAS 39.8% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points117110
Rebounds4343
Assists2925
Steals73
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)11 (0)
Fouls2221
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals46-9138-88
At-the-Rim FG18-2510-16
Midrange FG16-3416-37
2-Point FG34-5926-53
3-Point FG12-3212-35
Free Throws13-1822-25
Fast Break Pts181
2nd Chance Pts1518
Points in Paint4822
Pts off Turnovers2211
Bench Points4250
Biggest Lead263

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 23
41.2
26
68%
8
0
1
0
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
7-10
70%
4-10
40%
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26
32.8
16
62%
1
7
3
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-8
25%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 31
32.5
18
75%
5
7
0
0
1
3
3
2
5-6
83%
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 28
32.5
13
54%
8
3
1
1
0
1
0
8
1-3
33%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 24
13.8
2
20%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28
31.4
17
71%
3
4
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
#17 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 29
18.0
0
0%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 20
15.5
12
55%
11
1
0
1
0
4
5
6
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 26
15.5
8
133%
2
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
#2 · PF · 6'10" 239 · 24
6.8
5
83%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · SF · 6'6" 198 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · C · 7'1" 275 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore right knee
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained right ankle
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
57%
43
29
7
4
8
22
11
32
13-18
72%
34-59
58%
12-32
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.