FinalWin Prob.pScore
2053%119
100
2347%118
119
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
101.099100.3
DAL logo DAL
119.010098.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
119
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.02 51.0%
DAL
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
15
25
60%
DAL
16
24
67%
Midrange
WAS
11
26
42%
DAL
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
DAL
15
22.5
34
44%
66%
Free Throws
WAS
15
20
75%
DAL
26
27
96%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Wall2450%12.0 / 24
O. Porter Jr.1986%9.5 / 11
B. Beal1953%9.5 / 18
D. Howard867%4.0 / 6
A. Rivers857%4.0 / 7
J. Green880%4.0 / 5
K. Oubre630%3.0 / 10
M. Morris425%2.0 / 8
J. Smith2100%1.0 / 1
T. Brown Jr.250%1.0 / 2
T. Satoransky0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2372%11.5 / 16
W. Matthews2285%11.0 / 13
H. Barnes1968%9.5 / 14
D. Smith Jr.1968%9.5 / 14
D. Finney-Smith1192%5.5 / 6
D. Jordan880%4.0 / 5
J. Barea857%4.0 / 7
D. Powell758%3.5 / 6
M. Kleber220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
89
+8
-10
97
DAL
84
+12
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.02 51.0%
DAL
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
109.2
WAS 101.0
DAL 119.0 +18.0
Pace
101.7
99.1
WAS 100.3 +1.5
DAL 98.8
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
14.8
WAS 14.4 +0.2
DAL 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
51.8%
WAS 49.4%
DAL 56.7% +7.3%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
WAS 9.5% +5.8%
DAL 15.3%
ORB %
21.2%
22.6%
WAS 11.1%
DAL 24.3% +13.2%
FTrt
26.6
29.1
WAS 23.3
DAL 32.9 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
60.3%
WAS 73.0% +8.9%
DAL 64.1%
STL %
8.1%
6.5%
WAS 7.1% +3.1%
DAL 4.0%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
WAS 12.5% +2.7%
DAL 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
54.2%
WAS 51.0%
DAL 62.0% +11.0%
Rim FG%
64.0%
62.0%
WAS 60.0%
DAL 66.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.0%
WAS 42.3% +9.0%
DAL 33.3%
3P %
34.0%
34.0%
WAS 31.4%
DAL 44.1% +12.7%
FT %
76.8%
74.2%
WAS 75.0%
DAL 96.3% +21.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
33.8%
WAS 29.1%
DAL 29.3% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
24.0%
WAS 30.2%
DAL 29.3% +1.0%
3P Att. %
37.0%
42.2%
WAS 40.7%
DAL 41.5% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASDAL
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points100119
Rebounds3349
Assists2725
Steals74
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)16 (1)
Fouls2422
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)40 (2)
Field Goals37-8639-82
At-the-Rim FG15-2516-24
Midrange FG11-268-24
2-Point FG26-5124-48
3-Point FG11-3515-34
Free Throws15-2026-27
Fast Break Pts1617
2nd Chance Pts99
Points in Paint3438
Pts off Turnovers2314
Bench Points2628
Biggest Lead124

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 28
41.0
24
50%
4
10
3
1
2
3
1
3
6-8
75%
6-14
43%
2-6
33%
#22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 25
37.6
19
86%
5
5
3
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
5-6
83%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 25
36.9
19
53%
6
4
1
2
2
3
0
6
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
1-9
11%
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
32.9
8
67%
11
2
0
1
1
3
2
9
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 29
22.4
4
25%
1
3
0
0
2
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23
22.8
6
30%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-5
0%
#1 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 26
18.8
8
57%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
#32 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 32
15.1
8
80%
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
#31 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
5.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#14 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 33
4.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#6 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 19
1.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 21
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
#7 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#52 · SG · 6'5" 179 · 28
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
33
27
7
6
10
24
5
28
15-20
75%
26-51
51%
11-35
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.