FinalWin Prob.pScore
1445%113
111
1355%115
120
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
111.0100100.5
MIA logo MIA
120.010099.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
120
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.08 53.9%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
13
26
50%
MIA
18
27
67%
Midrange
POR
12
29
41%
MIA
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
MIA
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
Free Throws
POR
25
28
89%
MIA
17
26
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard4272%21.0 / 29
C. McCollum1945%9.5 / 21
Z. Collins1381%6.5 / 8
E. Turner836%4.0 / 11
J. Layman788%3.5 / 4
J. Nurkić536%2.5 / 7
M. Leonard542%2.5 / 6
N. Stauskas563%2.5 / 4
S. Curry3150%1.5 / 1
A. Aminu233%1.0 / 3
M. Harkless250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2870%14.0 / 20
K. Olynyk1986%9.5 / 11
D. Wade1979%9.5 / 12
R. McGruder1464%7.0 / 11
J. Richardson1137%5.5 / 15
J. Winslow1050%5.0 / 10
T. Johnson739%3.5 / 9
B. Adebayo758%3.5 / 6
H. Whiteside525%2.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
91
+11
-9
102
MIA
88
+21
-12
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.08 53.9%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
107.5
POR 111.0
MIA 120.0 +9.0
Pace
99.5
98.1
POR 100.5 +1.0
MIA 99.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.0
POR 14.3 +0.1
MIA 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
51.5%
POR 48.9%
MIA 53.6% +4.7%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
POR 8.2% +2.6%
MIA 10.8%
ORB %
26.6%
24.8%
POR 16.7%
MIA 32.0% +15.3%
FTrt
25.8
24.7
POR 31.8 +4.7
MIA 27.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
61.2%
POR 37.8%
MIA 47.7% +9.9%
STL %
6.6%
7.8%
POR 7.0%
MIA 7.0%
BLK %
8.3%
10.2%
POR 14.0%
MIA 14.5% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
52.9%
POR 53.9%
MIA 55.6% +1.7%
Rim FG%
59.0%
60.8%
POR 50.0%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
Mid FG%
42.5%
36.8%
POR 41.4% +4.7%
MIA 36.7%
3P %
35.9%
34.9%
POR 36.4%
MIA 38.5% +2.1%
FT %
81.4%
69.5%
POR 89.3% +23.9%
MIA 65.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
37.3%
POR 29.5% +1.4%
MIA 28.1%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
25.9%
POR 33.0%
MIA 31.3% +1.7%
3P Att. %
33.9%
36.8%
POR 37.5%
MIA 40.6% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsPORMIA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points111120
Rebounds4256
Assists1421
Steals77
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)12 (1)
Fouls2521
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)40 (1)
Field Goals37-8844-96
At-the-Rim FG13-2618-27
Midrange FG12-2911-30
2-Point FG25-5529-57
3-Point FG12-3315-39
Free Throws25-2817-26
Fast Break Pts415
2nd Chance Pts1224
Points in Paint3248
Pts off Turnovers157
Bench Points3643
Biggest Lead319

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 28
36.9
42
72%
7
6
0
0
1
3
2
5
7-7
100%
10-17
59%
5-11
45%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27
35.7
19
45%
7
2
0
1
0
4
2
5
2-5
40%
4-13
31%
3-7
43%
#27 · C · 7'0" 290 · 24
24.1
5
36%
7
0
1
1
3
3
1
6
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
#8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28
20.9
2
33%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25
12.8
7
88%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
#1 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 30
25.2
8
36%
4
3
2
2
2
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
#33 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21
23.8
13
81%
4
0
0
2
0
4
1
3
8-8
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#31 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28
19.4
3
150%
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#11 · C · 7'1" 255 · 27
17.4
5
42%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#6 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
13.4
5
63%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#4 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
10.4
2
50%
4
1
1
2
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#24 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 19
Inactive - Coach's Decision | (Two-Way)
#9 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision | (Two-Way)
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
54%
42
14
7
8
9
25
8
34
25-28
89%
25-55
45%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.