FinalWin Prob.pScore
2641%112
118
2259%116
106
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
125.59487.1
DAL logo DAL
111.695103.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
100%
106
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.23 61.5%
DAL
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
22
28
79%
DAL
20
34
59%
Midrange
NYK
17
27
63%
DAL
9
18
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
7
10.5
29
24%
36%
DAL
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
Free Throws
NYK
19
26
73%
DAL
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Trier2396%11.5 / 12
T. Hardaway1856%9.0 / 16
M. Robinson13130%6.5 / 5
E. Kanter1381%6.5 / 8
D. Dotson1139%5.5 / 14
M. Hezonja1192%5.5 / 6
L. Thomas1083%5.0 / 6
F. Ntilikina739%3.5 / 9
E. Mudiay660%3.0 / 5
N. Vonleh450%2.0 / 4
T. Burke233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Smith Jr.2372%11.5 / 16
D. Finney-Smith1995%9.5 / 10
L. Dončić1860%9.0 / 15
H. Barnes1447%7.0 / 15
W. Matthews964%4.5 / 7
M. Kleber975%4.5 / 6
D. Powell880%4.0 / 5
D. Jordan440%2.0 / 5
J. Barea220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
82
+13
-12
95
DAL
77
+16
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.23 61.5%
DAL
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
109.2
NYK 125.5 +14.0
DAL 111.6
Pace
99.6
99.1
NYK 87.1
DAL 103.2 +16.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.8
NYK 16.5
DAL 14.0 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
51.8%
NYK 58.9% +2.7%
DAL 56.2%
TO %
13.4%
13.6%
NYK 11.2% +6.0%
DAL 17.2%
ORB %
22.2%
22.6%
NYK 25.6%
DAL 26.8% +1.2%
FTrt
27.0
29.1
NYK 31.0 +1.4
DAL 29.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.5%
60.3%
NYK 56.5% +1.5%
DAL 55.0%
STL %
6.7%
6.5%
NYK 13.8% +7.5%
DAL 6.3%
BLK %
9.0%
7.6%
NYK 7.7% +5.9%
DAL 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
54.2%
NYK 61.5% +5.1%
DAL 56.4%
Rim FG%
56.1%
62.0%
NYK 78.6% +19.8%
DAL 58.8%
Mid FG%
37.8%
39.0%
NYK 63.0% +13.0%
DAL 50.0%
3P %
34.0%
34.0%
NYK 24.1%
DAL 37.9% +13.8%
FT %
75.8%
74.2%
NYK 73.1% +10.6%
DAL 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
33.8%
NYK 33.3%
DAL 42.0% +8.6%
Mid Att. %
29.6%
24.0%
NYK 32.1%
DAL 22.2% +9.9%
3P Att. %
33.4%
42.2%
NYK 34.5%
DAL 35.8% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKDAL
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points118106
Rebounds4040
Assists2622
Steals136
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)18 (1)
Fouls2428
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals46-8440-81
At-the-Rim FG22-2820-34
Midrange FG17-279-18
2-Point FG39-5529-52
3-Point FG7-2911-29
Free Throws19-2615-24
Fast Break Pts412
2nd Chance Pts1723
Points in Paint5850
Pts off Turnovers1814
Bench Points6538
Biggest Lead177

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24
36.4
11
39%
8
1
1
0
1
1
1
7
0-2
0%
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
#26 · C · 7'0" 240 · 21
34.0
13
130%
10
3
3
1
0
5
5
5
3-4
75%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27
33.8
18
56%
6
3
1
0
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
4-11
36%
#11 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 20
32.0
7
39%
0
7
3
1
3
2
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
#32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23
10.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
5
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 198 · 23
24.0
23
96%
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
1
6-7
86%
7-7
100%
1-3
33%
#00 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26
20.2
13
81%
5
2
0
2
1
0
0
5
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#42 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 31
17.4
10
83%
2
3
2
0
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 23
16.0
6
60%
2
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
#8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24
9.1
11
92%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
6.8
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#31 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PF · 7'1" 250 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Left Ankle
#4 · PF · 6'9" 242 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee
#5 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck Spasms
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
62%
40
26
13
4
12
24
10
30
19-26
73%
39-55
71%
7-29
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.