FinalWin Prob.pScore
851%121
106
1849%120
110
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
102.9103111.7
SAS logo SAS
106.810395.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
110
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.10 55.2%
SAS
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
16
26
62%
SAS
20
32
63%
Midrange
LAL
12
27
44%
SAS
21
43
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
SAS
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
LAL
11
18
61%
SAS
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3588%17.5 / 20
K. Kuzma1554%7.5 / 14
L. Stephenson1458%7.0 / 12
R. Rondo1267%6.0 / 9
J. Hart941%4.5 / 11
J. McGee975%4.5 / 6
L. Ball633%3.0 / 9
J. Williams433%2.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope250%1.0 / 2
S. Mykhailiuk0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3065%15.0 / 23
B. Forbes1680%8.0 / 10
R. Gay1650%8.0 / 16
L. Aldridge1547%7.5 / 16
P. Gasol1179%5.5 / 7
P. Mills10100%5.0 / 5
M. Belinelli840%4.0 / 10
D. Cunningham433%2.0 / 6
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
86
+9
-17
95
SAS
90
+14
-13
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.10 55.2%
SAS
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
112.6
LAL 102.9
SAS 106.8 +3.9
Pace
103.0
98.6
LAL 111.7 +16.1
SAS 95.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.0
LAL 12.9 +2.2
SAS 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
53.4%
LAL 55.2% +5.2%
SAS 50.0%
TO %
14.7%
11.9%
LAL 15.3%
SAS 11.3% +4.0%
ORB %
22.2%
20.9%
LAL 15.9%
SAS 25.5% +9.6%
FTrt
25.7
23.7
LAL 20.9
SAS 26.4 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
58.0%
LAL 46.3% +0.8%
SAS 45.5%
STL %
7.3%
6.2%
LAL 4.9%
SAS 6.8% +1.9%
BLK %
9.2%
8.3%
LAL 6.7%
SAS 9.4% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
56.0%
LAL 55.2% +2.8%
SAS 52.4%
Rim FG%
62.0%
62.7%
LAL 61.5%
SAS 62.5% +1.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
44.0%
LAL 44.4%
SAS 48.8% +4.4%
3P %
33.3%
39.2%
LAL 39.4% +20.6%
SAS 18.8%
FT %
69.9%
81.8%
LAL 61.1%
SAS 79.2% +18.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
43.6%
27.8%
LAL 30.2%
SAS 35.2% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
43.7%
LAL 31.4% +15.9%
SAS 47.3%
3P Att. %
34.2%
28.6%
LAL 38.4% +20.8%
SAS 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsLALSAS
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points106110
Rebounds4249
Assists1920
Steals57
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2517
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals41-8644-91
At-the-Rim FG16-2620-32
Midrange FG12-2721-43
2-Point FG28-5341-75
3-Point FG13-333-16
Free Throws11-1819-24
Fast Break Pts172
2nd Chance Pts816
Points in Paint3854
Pts off Turnovers816
Bench Points3245
Biggest Lead148

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24
36.3
9
41%
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 34
34.3
35
88%
11
4
2
0
4
3
1
10
7-8
88%
11-15
73%
2-6
33%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 23
31.1
15
54%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 21
26.9
6
33%
2
3
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
2-5
40%
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31
24.5
9
75%
5
1
0
4
5
4
0
5
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 33
29.0
12
67%
4
5
0
0
2
4
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
#6 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 28
22.7
14
58%
9
2
1
0
1
4
1
8
0-0
-
4-9
44%
2-3
67%
#19 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 23
17.1
4
33%
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26
16.1
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21
NWT - Suspended
#11 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 19
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
#15 · C · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
55%
42
19
5
5
17
25
7
35
11-18
61%
28-53
53%
13-33
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.